Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$110

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-31

last 11-07 23:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

76% 47% -$12

Politics

21% 67% +$4

Tech

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	11-01 05:08
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$1	20¢	$1	$0	11-07 15:11
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?	No	+2	$1	54¢	$1	$0	11-07 23:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-01 03:43
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 06:34
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 23:53
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-16 03:35
Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-01 03:43
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-21 07:17
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-23 04:04
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-13 23:25
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-02 19:56
Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-23 03:33
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-14 07:25
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-12 17:33
Will Chewy say "Automation" during earnings call?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-08 12:58
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-23 11:41
wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-03 04:15
spx up or down on august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	-$2	08-16 04:46
tsla above 345 on august 14 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-13 19:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-02 11:54
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-14 07:25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-07 15:24
will aapl dip to 300 by august 10 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-12 09:28
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-01 13:57
Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-01 03:42
will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-13 11:01
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-12 01:28
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-01 23:33
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-22 00:52
will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-13 02:54
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 12:44
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-31 19:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 23:31:58	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x135e85…
11-07 15:11:25	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb16c30…
11-05 13:17:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4a03d5…
11-05 01:07:00	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2d4f31…
11-02 03:44:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xff9149…
11-01 19:43:24	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x333faf…
11-01 05:08:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7aaf4b…
10-27 14:59:32	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xabae79…
10-27 06:52:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x422c58…
10-20 18:53:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdea22d…
10-17 22:42:05	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x30c633…
10-17 12:27:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfbbaa6…
10-14 06:29:05	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x42aa03…
10-13 22:18:37	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcf4d9f…
10-10 11:58:30	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x22984b…
10-09 12:10:52	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x55b2d7…
10-08 03:59:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcca316…
10-08 03:58:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4772bd…
10-07 17:18:25	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc31f57…
10-07 16:35:58	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x77e531…
10-06 12:37:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf1d509…
10-06 04:37:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6dc4bd…
10-05 17:58:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0812b8…
10-05 09:41:43	will abnb dip to 156 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x760b05…
10-05 00:51:44	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdedd77…
10-02 01:36:57	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026 from october 1	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x15277d…
10-01 10:51:35	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x36c24d…
09-28 14:34:30	will abnb dip to 150 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf69e41…
09-28 05:47:03	will amzn reach 252 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7996bf…
09-27 21:46:38	will spy reach 780 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7a6976…
09-27 11:59:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x37e8f5…
09-27 01:07:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0f968b…
09-26 07:41:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd03a5c…
09-26 07:16:23	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x41cec2…
09-24 19:43:47	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x606038…
09-23 11:41:26	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x10ae7d…
09-23 03:33:17	Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x9090bf…
09-21 07:17:14	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xb72130…
09-20 22:27:14	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x649883…
09-19 23:53:31	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x80396a…
09-19 06:34:52	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x447b8f…
09-16 03:35:28	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x50374c…
09-14 07:25:45	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xebf5df…
09-14 07:25:37	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x437bcb…
09-13 23:25:04	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x633cde…
09-08 17:50:13	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0xc0546a…
09-08 12:58:25	Will Chewy say "Automation" during earnings call?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5efb5b…
09-07 23:39:39	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x08f3c3…
09-07 15:24:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfe565e…
09-01 03:43:13	Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x449411…
09-01 03:43:13	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x282f31…
09-01 03:42:42	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xbf8197…
08-23 04:04:49	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0a345b…
08-22 00:52:22	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x16f7ec…
08-16 04:46:15	spx up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7215fc…
08-14 03:06:13	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc6cc52…
08-13 19:05:55	tsla above 345 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd66f03…
08-13 11:01:15	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x43ef6f…
08-13 02:54:16	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x13436f…
08-12 17:33:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xea5fc7…
08-12 09:28:40	will aapl dip to 300 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x41f555…
08-12 01:28:18	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x97eb7d…
08-11 12:44:16	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7b4a9f…
08-03 04:15:42	wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xec1227…
08-02 19:56:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2c9120…
08-02 11:54:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x6a7292…
08-01 23:33:54	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x85ad80…
08-01 13:57:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x768537…
08-01 03:59:09	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x9a4279…
07-31 19:57:53	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x938a54…
07-31 19:57:48	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x17c594…
07-31 11:57:15	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x095a41…
07-31 01:03:03	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd8ce36…