Careful-Host — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$216

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

89.8%

Resolved

2,222

Trades

3,447

lifetime

Volume

$157.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-22 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 96% -$261

Other

43% 81% +$45

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		-1	-$1	97¢	$-1	$0	06-11 14:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	29	$5.8K	3,420	3,420	+0	No	+$1,003	06-12 14:21
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12?	19	$3.2K	1,735	1,735	+0	No	+$80	06-12 16:38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10?	19	$2.5K	1,322	1,322	+0	No	+$188	06-10 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 9?	15	$1.7K	945	945	+0	No	+$201	06-09 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on June 9?	18	$1.4K	810	810	+0	No	+$107	06-09 09:12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	9	$1.4K	916	916	+0	No	+$448	06-02 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?	8	$1.3K	1,701	41	+1,660	No	-$1,239	06-13 16:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	14	$1.2K	1,802	0	+1,802	Yes	-$1,234	06-13 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 7?	8	$1.2K	622	622	+0	No	+$33	06-07 12:46
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 8?	10	$1.2K	627	627	+0	No	+$52	06-08 09:47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	10	$1.0K	620	620	+0	No	+$205	06-09 16:14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	19	$1000	1,028	1,028	+0	No	+$121	06-15 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 11?	6	$996	520	520	+0	No	+$41	06-11 17:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	16	$948	586	586	+0	Yes	-$3	06-27 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11?	37	$929	976	496	+479	Yes	-$344	06-11 16:54
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	1	$690	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$310	06-11 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?	24	$671	607	607	+0	No	-$27	06-10 23:51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?	20	$607	434	434	+0	Yes	+$56	06-16 16:35
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	5	$585	315	313	+2	No	+$43	04-21 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	4	$556	323	323	+0	Yes	+$76	06-26 14:30
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$532	277	277	+0	No	+$22	05-14 12:53
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?	5	$526	370	370	+0	No	+$207	06-10 16:40
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	3	$458	508	200	+308	Yes	-$202	06-11 13:32
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	12	$446	269	269	+0	No	-$27	05-12 14:03
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 11?	9	$443	283	283	+0	No	+$17	06-11 11:53
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	5	$443	478	263	+215	No	-$308	04-24 14:55
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$415	220	220	+0	No	+$24	05-13 03:19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	6	$392	314	314	+0	No	+$2	06-23 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	3	$385	211	211	+0	No	+$25	06-17 04:44
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$383	194	194	+0	No	+$3	05-04 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 02:49:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 21?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x34c7bd…
08-22 02:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 21?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x0324e3…
08-22 02:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 21?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe58a24…
08-21 20:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 21?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9c3980…
08-21 20:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 21?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0x1d1269…
08-21 18:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 21?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x23b5e7…
08-21 17:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 21?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2eb9df…
08-21 17:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xce7ffb…
08-21 17:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb20c52…
08-21 17:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 21?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8e0709…
08-21 17:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 21?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb8e15f…
08-21 15:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 21?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x3e35ae…
08-21 14:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 21?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xb7aa65…
08-21 14:21:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 21?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xe1eca3…
08-21 00:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xbaf7dc…
08-21 00:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xe7f440…
08-21 00:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xa12ed7…
08-20 23:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 20?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd6cc21…
08-20 23:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 20?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x8c960f…
08-20 23:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 20?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x4d7f9f…
08-20 23:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 20?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x1e8618…
08-20 18:58:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 20?	No	BUY	46	94¢	$43	0xabe41b…
08-20 18:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 20?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xde1a81…
08-20 17:06:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 20?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd99599…
08-20 16:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 20?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x1eba7f…
08-20 16:00:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 20?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x58db84…
08-20 15:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 20?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x2415d0…
08-20 15:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 20?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xb858be…
08-20 05:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 19?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x6632ab…
08-20 05:11:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 19?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xfaa17b…
08-20 05:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 20?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x6bc28e…
08-20 00:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb10db4…
08-19 17:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 19?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x162a7a…
08-19 17:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 19?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xfa4d77…
08-19 17:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcb0a42…
08-19 17:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x1b9366…
08-19 16:00:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 19?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf6575f…
08-19 15:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 19?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xbb65a9…
08-19 15:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x8d1ad1…
08-19 15:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 20?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x359d9a…
08-19 15:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xfa5fbc…
08-19 11:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 20?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x7dcf17…
08-19 11:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 19?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xfbafce…
08-19 11:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 19?	No	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0x1ab373…
08-19 11:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x7d908d…
08-19 11:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xf4a1b0…
08-19 11:44:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 19?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x2214ee…
08-19 11:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 19?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x80a9fe…
08-18 20:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 18?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe91bfb…
08-18 14:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 18?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x3c5c0c…
08-18 13:39:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 18?	No	BUY	49	92¢	$45	0x0e05dd…
08-18 13:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xa085ff…
08-18 13:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x4adc0d…
08-18 12:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 18?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xe6b66b…
08-18 12:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on August 18?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x16e049…
08-18 07:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x2e86eb…
08-18 05:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 17?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x19d785…
08-18 05:19:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 17?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x61f36c…
08-18 05:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 18?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xfe522e…
08-18 05:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 18?	No	SELL	54	80¢	$43	0xd6c73e…
08-17 23:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 18?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xce839b…
08-17 23:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x77bfaf…
08-17 23:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 18?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x07ee9c…
08-17 23:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 17?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xbc0496…
08-17 23:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 102-103°F on August 17?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa077d4…
08-17 23:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x423a2d…
08-17 23:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 17?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x8d024f…
08-17 19:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 102-103°F on August 17?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x225673…
08-17 18:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 17?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x5b9d78…
08-17 18:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 17?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$44	0x0bd70a…
08-17 16:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xf7318e…
08-17 14:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x4fd46b…
08-17 14:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0xa7f89b…
08-17 14:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xc95334…
08-17 14:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xb22416…
08-17 13:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xf80490…
08-17 13:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x66b661…
08-17 13:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x321511…
08-17 13:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5107a3…
08-17 13:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x201d7c…
08-17 13:14:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 17?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xd5110b…
08-17 13:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 17?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xdcef05…
08-17 13:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 17?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xd839a7…
08-17 13:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 17?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xa2b8e0…
08-17 13:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 17?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x414ca1…
08-17 13:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 17?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x360f38…
08-17 12:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x1bdcec…
08-17 12:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x98bd58…
08-17 12:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x7f5cbf…
08-17 12:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xa2a362…
08-17 12:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x9840a4…
08-16 16:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 16?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x5a39c5…
08-16 13:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 16?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe28988…
08-16 08:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 16?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x56d009…
08-16 08:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 16?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x41cf9c…
08-16 06:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 16?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0x8a1e97…
08-16 05:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 16?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xc1b23c…
08-16 05:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 16?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xb9f840…
08-16 03:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 16?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x4139e0…
08-16 03:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 16?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x462d40…