Slight-Quicksand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$241

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-14 11:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

70% — —

Politics

27% 0% $-231

Crypto

3% 25% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$981	681	681	+0	open	—	04-13 11:34
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	5	$706	225,882	225,882	-0	open	—	03-24 02:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$447	289	289	+0	open	—	05-14 11:08
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	1	$349	387	0	+387	open	—	04-13 11:36
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$278	325	325	+0	open	—	03-23 21:49
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	2	$277	157	157	+0	open	—	05-14 11:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$222	125	125	+0	open	—	04-25 02:45
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$191	494	494	+0	open	—	03-23 21:49
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$167	287	0	+287	open	—	03-10 09:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$154	0	385	-385	Yes	$-231	03-10 09:55
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	1	$100	141	0	+141	open	—	04-16 10:29
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	1	$77	188	0	+188	open	—	04-16 10:35
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$76	441	441	+0	open	—	03-23 21:49
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$50	178	0	+178	open	—	05-14 11:10
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$50	132	0	+132	open	—	05-14 11:10
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$50	139	0	+139	open	—	05-14 11:11
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$40	88	0	+88	open	—	05-14 11:12
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$20	294	0	+294	open	—	05-14 11:10
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$20	60	0	+60	open	—	05-14 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$18	14	14	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 02:14
btc updown 5m 1772020500	2	$18	26	0	+26	open	—	02-25 11:59
btc updown 5m 1772020200	3	$14	22	11	+11	open	—	02-25 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 02:27
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-16 10:19
btc updown 5m 1771955700	4	$9	170	0	+170	open	—	02-24 17:58
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$8	119	0	+119	open	—	05-14 11:13
Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$8	209	0	+209	open	—	05-14 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	04-25 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Up	$-5	05-08 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-08 02:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 11:13:04	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	119	7¢	$8	0x84cb6a…
05-14 11:12:59	Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	209	4¢	$8	0x0acecc…
05-14 11:12:26	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0x458273…
05-14 11:12:05	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	88	45¢	$40	0xedc374…
05-14 11:11:45	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xf1221d…
05-14 11:10:46	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x663444…
05-14 11:10:35	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	294	7¢	$20	0x227273…
05-14 11:10:07	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	178	28¢	$50	0x5a8d68…
05-14 11:08:29	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	SELL	157	87¢	$137	0xef7aea…
05-14 11:08:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	111	93¢	$103	0x41f021…
05-08 02:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xdf8d0e…
05-08 02:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2c62ca…
05-08 02:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x3dc22a…
05-08 02:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf95e2f…
05-08 02:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xbfcf81…
05-08 02:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb15f20…
05-08 02:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x65070c…
05-03 18:06:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	111	81¢	$90	0xd9f1ef…
05-02 07:18:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	178	79¢	$141	0x69307c…
05-01 11:49:00	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	BUY	157	89¢	$140	0x62dbe5…
04-25 09:01:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	178	63¢	$112	0x39d318…
04-25 03:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x257e6b…
04-25 03:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x957fce…
04-25 02:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x7cfd7e…
04-25 02:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x271477…
04-25 02:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x34ab8b…
04-25 02:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x11ca2b…
04-25 02:45:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	125	98¢	$122	0xf30cc6…
04-16 10:35:34	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	188	41¢	$77	0xc0c0d5…
04-16 10:31:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xab8761…
04-16 10:29:00	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x4f3025…
04-16 10:19:28	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe71b03…
04-13 11:36:01	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	No	BUY	387	90¢	$349	0x90d77a…
04-13 11:34:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	353	99¢	$349	0xa2954c…
03-24 02:15:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	353	64¢	$226	0x823437…
03-24 02:08:57	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	SELL	216,378	0¢	$216	0x952d6d…
03-24 02:08:17	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	SELL	9,503	0¢	$10	0x8b7942…
03-23 21:53:41	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	58,795	0¢	$118	0xb04785…
03-23 21:50:05	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	137,337	0¢	$275	0x972694…
03-23 21:49:41	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	SELL	325	39¢	$128	0x0122ff…
03-23 21:49:37	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	494	20¢	$101	0xb6e048…
03-23 21:49:27	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	Yes	SELL	441	10¢	$46	0x821e3f…
03-23 20:10:37	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	494	18¢	$90	0x3c4101…
03-23 20:10:27	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	Yes	BUY	441	7¢	$30	0xcd6146…
03-23 20:09:35	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	BUY	325	46¢	$150	0x9a7546…
03-23 20:08:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	328	63¢	$207	0x510a0b…
03-23 19:53:09	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	29,750	0¢	$87	0xecbd96…
03-21 10:52:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x67dcc0…
03-10 09:56:11	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	287	58¢	$167	0x726755…
03-10 09:55:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	40¢	$154	0x2fa525…
02-25 11:59:58	btc updown 5m 1772020500	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x1d2fe1…
02-25 11:58:32	btc updown 5m 1772020500	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc1ee70…
02-25 11:53:16	btc updown 5m 1772020200	Down	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x28e354…
02-25 11:52:18	btc updown 5m 1772020200	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xf66d75…
02-25 11:52:18	btc updown 5m 1772020200	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xcdad9c…
02-24 18:08:36	btc updown 5m 1771956300	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x223425…
02-24 17:58:50	btc updown 5m 1771955700	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x75f625…
02-24 17:57:56	btc updown 5m 1771955700	Down	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x5a7eae…
02-24 17:57:06	btc updown 5m 1771955700	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xad7682…
02-24 17:56:54	btc updown 5m 1771955700	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1b96c4…
02-24 17:52:28	btc updown 5m 1771955400	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x30a3d9…
02-22 12:30:42	btc updown 5m 1771763400	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8251e6…
02-22 12:27:32	btc updown 5m 1771763100	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x3721dd…
02-22 12:27:10	btc updown 5m 1771763100	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x087fc8…