Brown-Pray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

342

Trades

514

lifetime

Volume

$3.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 11-02 07:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Sports

52% 36% -$46

Other

22% 16% -$26

Tech

18% 43% +$40

Politics

7% 50% -$4

Crypto

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+761	$20	1¢	$7	-$13	10-27 14:50
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+5,500	$8	0¢	$6	-$2	10-31 06:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$287	157	157	+0	No	+$12	04-07 18:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$206	108	108	+0	Yes	+$6	05-26 22:04
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$195	451	338	+113	No	+$15	05-16 22:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	5	$194	153	153	+0	Yes	+$4	10-03 09:54
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	7	$74	460	281	+179	No	-$16	10-29 03:13
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	3	$73	233	132	+102	open	—	11-01 10:48
UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)	2	$67	62	62	+0	Sean Sharaf	+$57	09-20 02:26
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	18	$61	3,027	1,513	+1,513	No	+$29	10-12 17:53
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	3	$61	41	41	+0	Alexander Volkanovski	+$21	10-24 21:16
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$52	56	56	+0	No	+$32	09-30 20:32
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	4	$50	117	117	+0	No	+$31	07-17 11:26
ufc ren chr13 2026 04 04	4	$50	70	35	+35	Renato Moicano	-$20	04-05 02:31
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	6	$33	890	0	+890	open	—	10-17 00:29
ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	4	$23	20	20	+0	Dominick Reyes	+$3	04-12 02:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	10-03 09:55
ufc jsiraj joh41 2026 04 18	2	$21	16	16	+0	John Yannis	+$11	04-18 21:17
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$20	761	0	+761	open	—	10-27 14:50
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$20	25	0	+25	Justin Gaethje	-$20	06-09 21:16
ufc dan6 salpar 2026 09 05	2	$20	100	0	+100	Salahdine Parnasse	-$20	09-05 20:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$19	107	0	+107	Yes	-$19	04-07 23:08
ufc jja jam16 2026 04 18	2	$17	13	13	+0	JJ Aldrich	+$7	04-18 22:20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$16	28	28	+0	No	+$6	07-18 19:45
UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	4	$16	30	10	+21	Alonzo Menifield	+$4	09-20 01:36
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	2	$15	69	0	+69	Robelis Despaigne	-$15	09-19 23:25
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$15	82	0	+82	Sean Strickland	+$67	05-08 20:40
ufc man13 tom15 2026 04 04	5	$14	26	12	+14	Tommy McMillen	-$2	04-05 00:55
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	5	$12	17	11	+6	No	-$5	06-23 21:29
ufc bre7 abd8 2026 04 04	3	$12	25	5	+20	Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev	-$2	04-05 00:13
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	2	$11	1,050	0	+1,050	No	-$11	06-20 18:21
ufc mag1 bog1 2026 07 25	1	$11	55	0	+55	Magomed Ankalaev	-$11	07-25 18:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 07:52:31	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x7f57b5…
11-01 10:48:33	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x30def8…
11-01 01:28:30	UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Renato Moicano	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x659d10…
11-01 01:28:24	UFC Fight Night: Randy Brown vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)	Randy Brown	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x642ad7…
11-01 01:26:30	UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ode' Osbourne	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3a7d0c…
11-01 00:18:55	UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf3e2dc…
10-31 23:47:57	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x45cf58…
10-31 23:10:06	UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)	Theodor Berggren	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc0f79e…
10-31 23:00:39	UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims)	JeongYeong Lee	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa498f3…
10-31 22:31:10	UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Zach Reese (Middleweight, Prelims)	Mickey Gall	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2be6b8…
10-31 22:12:25	UFC Fight Night: Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein (Middleweight, Prelims)	Joe Kropschot	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xe502e5…
10-31 16:08:12	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xefd41a…
10-31 16:08:09	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0xce85c1…
10-31 16:08:04	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xadd70b…
10-31 16:08:03	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x172f76…
10-31 06:13:24	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xda49ca…
10-29 08:00:08	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0xf6f4aa…
10-29 08:00:08	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0x214f70…
10-29 07:01:53	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd1a819…
10-29 03:13:41	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x7fc2ba…
10-28 20:55:52	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x6c9cc2…
10-28 00:06:42	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x88e7ff…
10-28 00:06:42	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x76bc90…
10-28 00:06:42	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x512868…
10-28 00:06:32	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xae1de4…
10-28 00:06:29	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x165e3f…
10-28 00:06:27	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x29171c…
10-28 00:06:26	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x605f46…
10-27 17:37:54	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x0f6e57…
10-27 17:03:15	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x53aed6…
10-27 15:23:12	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xd4ee8e…
10-27 15:22:48	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbd405f…
10-27 15:22:38	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x10b49d…
10-27 14:50:47	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	505	2¢	$10	0x0aea65…
10-27 14:50:12	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0xa02243…
10-27 09:53:02	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0xe1e018…
10-27 09:53:02	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	332	0¢	$0	0x9f5ab2…
10-27 09:53:00	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x173e4a…
10-27 09:39:56	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xc19908…
10-27 09:39:56	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xbbcde9…
10-27 05:24:42	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x4190f0…
10-27 05:24:38	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xe1e06c…
10-27 02:27:44	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd55b11…
10-27 02:25:17	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x094041…
10-27 02:24:14	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0c2378…
10-26 17:01:05	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x537a31…
10-26 15:52:02	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x2bbf36…
10-26 15:34:44	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x743ea7…
10-26 14:51:30	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x9393e9…
10-26 11:42:39	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x68f72e…
10-26 11:39:15	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe9209d…
10-26 09:42:29	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x6e3163…
10-26 09:41:38	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xacd39c…
10-26 03:45:57	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x0733ca…
10-26 03:04:08	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0x0323e3…
10-26 01:45:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa96225…
10-26 01:45:53	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x46dacf…
10-24 22:20:29	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	565	0¢	$2	0x3c2bc5…
10-24 21:16:02	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x2aedb6…
10-24 20:41:42	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x874802…
10-24 18:36:21	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x0ebbce…
10-24 18:36:15	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe22a2a…
10-24 18:36:05	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Lone'er Kavanagh	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x47684b…
10-24 18:35:59	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xa32b32…
10-24 17:38:15	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Dominick Reyes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf796f7…
10-24 16:51:06	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Cam Rowston	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7b7091…
10-24 16:15:44	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Nurullo Aliev	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x14f9a6…
10-24 15:40:59	UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb7bff9…
10-24 15:17:45	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Jacob Malkoun	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x42eca7…
10-24 14:43:03	UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Bolaji Oki	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x54991a…
10-24 14:27:41	UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Noah Gugnon	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf0dd75…
10-24 14:19:14	UFC 333: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)	Nicolle Caliari	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5f81d7…
10-24 14:19:02	UFC 333: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)	Nicolle Caliari	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x970610…
10-24 13:39:47	UFC 333: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)	Nicolle Caliari	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7c3c57…
10-24 13:35:44	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	29¢	$38	0x5afd2b…
10-24 09:34:51	Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win in Round 1?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4b2a43…
10-18 08:54:20	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	281	10¢	$29	0x4a3067…
10-17 21:16:18	UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Cody Chovancek (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Cody Chovancek	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x266038…
10-17 08:42:08	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	3¢	$4	0xc2518c…
10-17 00:29:08	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe74dfe…
10-17 00:27:38	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x9d6f20…
10-17 00:27:38	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x9cb539…
10-17 00:27:38	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x53e2a6…
10-14 11:30:26	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x303bf9…
10-13 21:31:33	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xf8ac3a…
10-13 21:31:06	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	504	4¢	$20	0xc7995a…
10-12 17:53:24	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,513	3¢	$45	0x3bd5eb…
10-10 21:07:48	UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Melissa Gatto	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc7fd88…
10-07 14:12:01	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x2e1eee…
10-07 11:36:10	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x5f194f…
10-07 06:18:36	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	1¢	$0	0xf73d20…
10-07 05:01:38	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xb9f216…
10-07 03:53:35	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf2ab03…
10-06 14:07:48	Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x38c7d5…
10-06 14:07:48	Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	879	0¢	$1	0x15f5bc…
10-06 13:43:00	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x73b457…
10-06 13:42:07	Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	0¢	$0	0xd58100…
10-06 13:41:25	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	281	11¢	$30	0xfc24ab…
10-04 01:52:43	UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x70573f…
10-03 23:36:52	UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)	Imanol Rodriguez	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa07ff0…