Sane-Attenuation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

138

Trades

1,280

lifetime

Volume

$53.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-10 03:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

58% 95% $-35

Politics

23% 0% —

Crypto

18% 98% $-9

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	114	$9.9K	10,425	10,425	+0	open	—	03-18 07:13
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	71	$7.4K	5,746	5,746	+0	open	—	03-18 12:18
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	8	$1.4K	800	1,200	-400	open	—	03-14 10:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	25	$1.1K	1,012	1,412	-400	open	—	03-13 14:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-17 09:26
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	12	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-18 01:20
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	44	$972	850	1,050	-200	open	—	03-16 02:04
Iran leadership change by April 30?	8	$806	800	800	+0	open	—	03-12 22:49
spx up or down on march 10 2026	7	$804	714	714	+0	open	—	03-10 19:44
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	18	$780	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 03:49
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	34	$735	619	619	+0	open	—	03-18 02:02
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17 total 139pt5	6	$710	620	620	+0	open	—	03-17 16:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$704	800	800	+0	open	—	03-14 13:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$644	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 10:01
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	9	$637	600	600	+0	open	—	03-10 06:19
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	13	$618	600	600	+0	open	—	03-13 17:17
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	4	$596	633	633	+0	open	—	03-17 21:15
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$586	400	400	+0	open	—	03-17 09:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	8	$555	400	400	+0	open	—	03-10 05:57
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	9	$539	517	517	+0	open	—	03-16 20:31
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	23	$523	413	413	+0	open	—	03-15 22:47
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	14	$500	514	514	+0	open	—	03-18 12:11
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	8	$486	647	647	+0	open	—	03-17 16:11
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	26	$456	485	485	+0	open	—	03-15 23:02
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	5	$450	400	400	+0	open	—	03-11 14:23
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	6	$441	420	420	+0	open	—	03-11 13:46
will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	11	$412	350	350	+0	open	—	03-18 00:06
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	5	$391	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 21:10
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	4	$360	225	225	+0	open	—	03-17 15:59
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	6	$359	391	391	+0	open	—	03-16 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:43:40	btc updown 15m 1781062200	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xe7c51d…
06-10 02:29:22	xrp updown 5m 1781058300	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa457aa…
06-10 01:56:16	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2117ef…
06-09 14:54:18	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x0e31f2…
06-09 14:54:13	doge updown 5m 1781016600	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x39a056…
06-09 14:54:10	xrp updown 5m 1781016600	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xf6e373…
06-09 14:54:07	bnb updown 5m 1781016600	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0903d1…
06-09 08:58:24	btc updown 15m 1780994700	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc41d5b…
06-09 08:58:19	eth updown 15m 1780994700	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x70dac9…
06-09 06:58:15	btc updown 15m 1780987500	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xc248be…
06-09 06:58:12	eth updown 15m 1780987500	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x96853e…
06-09 06:43:07	btc updown 15m 1780986600	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbcf2ca…
06-09 05:55:07	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x1a671b…
06-09 01:49:27	xrp updown 5m 1780969500	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb1720a…
06-09 01:49:27	hype updown 5m 1780969500	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6c2491…
06-09 00:34:55	sol updown 5m 1780965000	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x190365…
06-08 23:50:48	eth updown 4h 1780948800	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xc36dfe…
06-08 19:59:28	doge updown 5m 1780948500	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xddfe93…
06-08 19:59:00	btc updown 15m 1780947900	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x119689…
06-08 03:51:51	sol updown 4h 1780876800	Down	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0xa7e383…
06-08 00:29:24	bnb updown 5m 1780878300	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x609a1a…
06-07 16:54:15	xrp updown 5m 1780851000	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x96dde8…
06-07 16:54:12	sol updown 5m 1780851000	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd8edd4…
06-07 10:39:45	bnb updown 5m 1780828500	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb8c29c…
06-07 10:39:27	eth updown 5m 1780828500	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9337db…
06-07 07:44:00	sol updown 15m 1780817400	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd27909…
06-07 06:58:37	btc updown 15m 1780814700	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x9f061a…
06-06 08:58:19	doge updown 15m 1780735500	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x5c33bf…
06-06 05:39:22	eth updown 5m 1780724100	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x1139c2…
06-06 05:39:18	btc updown 5m 1780724100	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x625249…
06-06 00:28:58	eth updown 15m 1780704900	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x379317…
06-06 00:28:42	btc updown 15m 1780704900	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x882bc6…
06-05 19:44:51	eth updown 5m 1780688400	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1dad0e…
06-05 16:44:21	xrp updown 5m 1780677600	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa0250a…
06-05 15:34:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x83481d…
06-05 10:34:18	sol updown 5m 1780655400	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x46beea…
06-05 09:24:10	eth updown 5m 1780651200	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x21a03c…
06-05 05:49:27	xrp updown 5m 1780638300	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6813b9…
06-05 05:49:21	sol updown 5m 1780638300	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6cd177…
06-05 01:13:31	sol updown 15m 1780621200	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb37275…
06-04 20:30:13	wti closes above 92 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x386404…
06-04 16:59:48	hype updown 5m 1780592100	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xedd6e8…
06-04 15:30:34	ethereum above 1800 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x939e7e…
06-04 08:44:06	eth updown 15m 1780561800	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8c497f…
06-04 04:44:40	xrp updown 15m 1780547400	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8ae376…
06-04 04:43:15	btc updown 15m 1780547400	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x7e0403…
06-04 04:43:12	eth updown 15m 1780547400	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xe435a6…
06-03 22:28:24	btc updown 15m 1780524900	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x50461d…
06-03 19:51:30	btc updown 4h 1780502400	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x85e129…
06-03 18:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x142bea…
06-03 18:44:27	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x96c743…
06-03 18:44:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7ea849…
06-03 16:55:46	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xc47dcc…
06-03 15:09:45	BNB Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x49daa7…
06-03 14:13:49	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xdb4939…
06-03 14:13:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x8bee44…
06-03 14:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x46399d…
06-03 13:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8b972e…
06-03 08:55:26	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x1c55de…
06-03 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x51e614…
06-02 20:35:00	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x79a578…
06-02 20:34:53	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc12e02…
06-02 20:34:50	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x6b43e8…
06-02 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2e9920…
06-02 18:43:42	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x829286…
06-02 16:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x36e915…
06-02 16:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x62bbeb…
06-02 15:55:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x51069a…
06-02 15:38:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x291929…
06-02 12:29:14	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7f5265…
06-02 12:29:10	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x96d322…
06-02 10:49:08	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xa93b52…
06-02 08:04:36	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa7a796…
06-02 00:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x131a3d…
06-01 23:53:07	xrp updown 4h 1780344000	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x158532…
06-01 21:49:53	BNB Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7be787…
06-01 20:42:24	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5abd73…
06-01 18:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x052b36…
06-01 15:34:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x1f9ed0…
06-01 15:04:54	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xce8dd0…
06-01 12:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x889235…
06-01 12:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x42e8bb…
06-01 12:58:12	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x471b7e…
06-01 11:52:59	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x6ba8fe…
06-01 03:49:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x68c8e5…
06-01 01:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1fad2d…
06-01 01:58:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xefec92…
06-01 00:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x753d65…
05-31 23:56:22	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x425542…
05-31 23:13:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd4072b…
05-31 23:13:56	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe17242…
05-31 22:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x2f3de6…
05-31 21:09:11	BNB Up or Down - May 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb4efc0…
05-31 18:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x369e46…
05-31 18:34:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xc8c5e8…
05-31 18:34:41	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2d1b34…
05-31 17:49:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2bc237…
05-31 12:44:55	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa9f0e4…
05-31 12:44:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x929c6d…
05-31 07:19:18	hype updown 5m 1780211700	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xe67455…