Sane-Attenuation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

138

Trades

1,790

lifetime

Volume

$64.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 08-10 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

48% 95% $-35

Crypto

32% 98% $-9

Politics

19% 0% —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	114	$9.9K	10,425	10,425	+0	open	—	03-18 07:13
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	71	$7.4K	5,746	5,746	+0	open	—	03-18 12:18
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	8	$1.4K	800	1,200	-400	open	—	03-14 10:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	25	$1.1K	1,012	1,412	-400	open	—	03-13 14:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	03-17 09:26
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	12	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-18 01:20
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	44	$972	850	1,050	-200	open	—	03-16 02:04
Iran leadership change by April 30?	8	$806	800	800	+0	open	—	03-12 22:49
spx up or down on march 10 2026	7	$804	714	714	+0	open	—	03-10 19:44
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	18	$780	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-16 03:49
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	34	$735	619	619	+0	open	—	03-18 02:02
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17 total 139pt5	6	$710	620	620	+0	open	—	03-17 16:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$704	800	800	+0	open	—	03-14 13:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$644	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 10:01
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	9	$637	600	600	+0	open	—	03-10 06:19
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	13	$618	600	600	+0	open	—	03-13 17:17
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	4	$596	633	633	+0	open	—	03-17 21:15
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$586	400	400	+0	open	—	03-17 09:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	8	$555	400	400	+0	open	—	03-10 05:57
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	9	$539	517	517	+0	open	—	03-16 20:31
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	23	$523	413	413	+0	open	—	03-15 22:47
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	14	$500	514	514	+0	open	—	03-18 12:11
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	8	$486	647	647	+0	open	—	03-17 16:11
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	26	$456	485	485	+0	open	—	03-15 23:02
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	5	$450	400	400	+0	open	—	03-11 14:23
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	6	$441	420	420	+0	open	—	03-11 13:46
will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	11	$412	350	350	+0	open	—	03-18 00:06
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	5	$391	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 21:10
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	4	$360	225	225	+0	open	—	03-17 15:59
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	6	$359	391	391	+0	open	—	03-16 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 15:37:37	bitcoin above 64k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x3c152c…
08-10 14:57:37	ethereum up or down august 10 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3922e0…
08-10 13:58:37	btc updown 15m 1786369500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3f3d57…
08-10 13:58:33	eth updown 15m 1786369500	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4b61a9…
08-10 12:44:24	btc updown 15m 1786365000	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd5eb27…
08-10 12:44:19	eth updown 15m 1786365000	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2ec15e…
08-10 04:13:45	eth updown 15m 1786334400	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x71bafa…
08-10 00:55:45	ethereum up or down august 9 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xdf9826…
08-10 00:55:40	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x2f0361…
08-09 15:44:49	ethereum up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0xf5a912…
08-09 15:31:34	xrp up or down on august 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x429f2d…
08-09 15:31:31	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x62cece…
08-09 13:34:24	btc updown 5m 1786282200	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4112ff…
08-09 06:58:22	eth updown 15m 1786257900	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc56118…
08-09 03:58:27	btc updown 15m 1786247100	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xa4e212…
08-08 23:28:42	eth updown 15m 1786230900	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x168dbd…
08-08 15:59:15	sol updown 15m 1786203900	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xa16110…
08-08 15:58:19	btc updown 15m 1786203900	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8eae52…
08-08 15:32:31	bitcoin up or down on august 8 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xae304f…
08-08 15:32:28	ethereum up or down on august 8 2026	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0xf1b01f…
08-08 03:19:27	eth updown 5m 1786158900	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd047e0…
08-08 03:19:24	btc updown 5m 1786158900	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3ccead…
08-07 15:37:24	bitcoin up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xbcbbfc…
08-07 15:31:58	solana up or down on august 7 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x108181…
08-07 11:13:46	sol updown 15m 1786100400	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x82d478…
08-06 15:35:23	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x88a9f3…
08-06 11:09:30	btc updown 5m 1786014300	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xbaa5ff…
08-06 03:57:51	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x543f74…
08-05 15:31:09	bitcoin up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x331c21…
08-05 15:13:12	btc updown 15m 1785942000	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc83546…
08-05 12:43:36	sol updown 15m 1785933000	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x00da9d…
08-05 09:58:26	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe42f0e…
08-05 09:44:30	eth updown 15m 1785922200	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x4e6e9c…
08-05 03:54:05	btc updown 4h 1785888000	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xd9b83b…
08-05 03:44:02	eth updown 15m 1785900600	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc3dafe…
08-05 02:56:09	xrp up or down august 4 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x48e2da…
08-05 02:56:05	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0ba6d9…
08-04 20:30:39	wti closes above 76 on august 4 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x9ed1d1…
08-04 18:43:50	xrp updown 15m 1785868200	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd7abfc…
08-04 18:43:45	btc updown 15m 1785868200	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc6fef6…
08-04 15:50:15	btc updown 4h 1785844800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x93dc15…
08-04 15:48:35	ethereum up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2412d3…
08-04 15:32:35	bitcoin up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x4092f5…
08-04 11:58:06	sol updown 15m 1785843900	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x48152d…
08-04 10:24:36	eth updown 5m 1785838800	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe47df4…
08-04 01:04:42	btc updown 5m 1785805200	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2b80dc…
08-03 23:44:03	sol updown 15m 1785799800	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1f9a88…
08-03 23:39:33	btc updown 5m 1785800100	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xf0b914…
08-03 23:39:30	sol updown 5m 1785800100	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x989253…
08-03 23:39:26	eth updown 5m 1785800100	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2581ae…
08-03 17:44:35	sol updown 5m 1785778800	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9d58d0…
08-03 15:53:27	ethereum up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x630019…
08-03 13:28:26	sol updown 15m 1785762900	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xf162f0…
08-03 11:28:54	sol updown 15m 1785755700	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7abdd4…
08-03 10:13:48	btc updown 15m 1785751200	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x940034…
08-03 08:56:30	xrp up or down august 3 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x09e766…
08-03 05:04:59	btc updown 5m 1785733200	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbc00a3…
08-02 23:57:12	btc updown 4h 1785700800	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x51dea1…
08-02 23:57:08	eth updown 4h 1785700800	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x998b75…
08-02 21:55:12	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x81249e…
08-02 17:43:38	sol updown 15m 1785691800	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x767009…
08-02 15:48:48	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x7985ae…
08-02 15:35:51	ethereum up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x667b5d…
08-02 10:55:24	solana up or down august 2 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x12418c…
08-02 09:39:39	btc updown 5m 1785663300	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x3c8fe9…
08-02 00:58:59	btc updown 15m 1785631500	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x72d0b1…
08-01 09:58:44	sol updown 15m 1785577500	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2c30b9…
08-01 09:58:39	btc updown 15m 1785577500	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8d457b…
08-01 09:58:36	eth updown 15m 1785577500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9b346f…
08-01 08:49:54	sol updown 5m 1785573900	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb54676…
08-01 07:56:05	ethereum up or down august 1 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x0d5406…
08-01 07:55:44	xrp up or down august 1 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x5baf14…
08-01 05:13:41	eth updown 15m 1785560400	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5dd057…
08-01 05:13:38	btc updown 15m 1785560400	Up	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x399dbb…
08-01 03:56:00	solana up or down july 31 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x07e751…
07-31 23:54:05	eth updown 4h 1785528000	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x6121f3…
07-31 22:39:24	btc updown 5m 1785537300	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xe78ac3…
07-31 22:39:20	eth updown 5m 1785537300	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x153e18…
07-31 20:44:11	wti closes above 85 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x3c0f95…
07-31 20:33:50	wti up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x8b432a…
07-31 19:55:02	xrp updown 4h 1785513600	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x219525…
07-31 18:57:09	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xd50233…
07-31 18:57:05	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc7e3a…
07-31 18:56:32	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x21305f…
07-31 15:56:09	xrp up or down july 31 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x062cc7…
07-31 15:30:15	bitcoin above 62k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x0cf349…
07-31 12:13:09	btc updown 15m 1785499200	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbaf1c8…
07-31 05:55:56	xrp up or down july 31 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdf0524…
07-31 01:29:18	sol updown 15m 1785460500	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd5acf3…
07-30 19:59:33	btc updown 15m 1785440700	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x7cb7be…
07-30 19:59:24	btc updown 15m 1785440700	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xded439…
07-30 19:50:36	btc updown 4h 1785427200	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd64a68…
07-30 17:58:12	eth updown 15m 1785433500	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x21c853…
07-30 17:58:08	btc updown 15m 1785433500	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdf1bd9…
07-30 14:59:50	sol updown 15m 1785422700	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x12fa93…
07-30 14:59:03	eth updown 15m 1785422700	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xff935e…
07-30 14:58:56	sol updown 15m 1785422700	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6d1b0d…
07-30 07:24:27	btc updown 5m 1785396000	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x3b9ebe…
07-30 07:24:24	doge updown 5m 1785396000	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x1f37e8…
07-30 06:43:32	eth updown 15m 1785393000	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x94d74f…