Quick-Fundraising — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$137.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$644

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

601

Trades

9,610

lifetime

Volume

$2.71M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$281

Open exposure

$31.6K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-21 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

35% 65% -$16,590

Politics

29% 56% -$81,026

Sports

24% 50% -$38,754

Crypto

12% 50% -$1,228

Tech

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-15,600	-$15,226	99¢	$-15421	-$195	05-04 10:05
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+13,272	$8,477	60¢	$8.0K	-$447	06-05 02:44
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+4,523	$2,755	62¢	$2.8K	+$59	05-05 18:13
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+2,461	$2,335	96¢	$2.4K	+$31	05-05 03:24
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+6,185	$2,237	18¢	$1.1K	-$1,105	05-04 03:45
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	-1,292	-$675	58¢	$-756	-$81	07-02 05:48
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+573	$458	81¢	$463	+$5	05-05 03:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+302	$272	98¢	$295	+$23	05-08 03:17
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	+295	$248	96¢	$282	+$35	05-05 11:10
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+335	$12	1¢	$4	-$7	05-05 03:24
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+0	-$1,039	100¢	$0	+$1,039	06-17 20:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$100.0K	50,053	50,053	+0	Yes	+$33	03-04 19:07
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	13	$62.9K	73,826	0	+73,826	No	+$10,957	02-25 17:43
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	22	$62.7K	63,969	0	+63,969	No	+$1,253	02-05 01:35
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	10	$60.5K	31,160	34,488	-3,328	No	-$944	02-26 20:10
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	49	$57.9K	56,390	24,449	+31,941	Yes	-$22,123	02-27 23:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$57.6K	59,515	0	+59,515	No	+$1,904	04-02 15:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	19	$53.4K	62,185	0	+62,185	No	+$8,747	03-25 21:45
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	16	$51.9K	28,654	28,654	+0	No	+$1,037	03-26 11:51
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	1	$50.0K	54,945	0	+54,945	Yes	+$4,945	07-01 02:44
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	8	$47.8K	51,074	0	+51,074	No	+$3,301	02-02 18:02
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	15	$44.5K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$5,500	07-04 03:16
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	19	$43.8K	25,324	25,824	-500	Yes	+$790	02-24 20:50
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	35	$43.6K	53,171	0	+53,171	No	+$9,584	01-28 21:18
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	5	$40.5K	20,709	20,709	+0	No	+$926	02-27 14:35
nba cha bos 2026 03 04	122	$37.9K	55,000	0	+55,000	Hornets	-$37,900	03-05 00:48
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$37.9K	45,062	0	+45,062	United States	+$7,210	07-02 00:01
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	105	$31.2K	43,135	0	+43,135	No	+$11,888	02-06 06:53
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	14	$30.8K	31,489	43,879	-12,390	Yes	+$3,442	02-27 21:19
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	20	$30.7K	33,343	0	+33,343	No	+$2,635	02-02 20:34
nba bos mil 2026 03 02	1	$28.5K	50,000	0	+50,000	Celtics	+$21,500	03-03 00:00
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	2	$27.2K	39,971	0	+39,971	Knicks	+$12,791	06-14 00:36
nba atl mil 2026 03 04	2	$27.0K	53,976	0	+53,976	Hawks	-$26,988	03-05 02:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$26.7K	37,277	37,277	+0	Yes	-$26,391	04-07 23:59
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	1	$26.3K	35,978	0	+35,978	Morocco	-$26,264	07-04 16:05
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	24	$23.7K	26,747	0	+26,747	No	+$3,028	02-02 20:08
another us government shutdown by february 14	81	$23.6K	39,910	8,343	+31,567	No	+$20,504	02-13 18:04
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	111	$22.5K	12,068	12,068	+0	open	—	06-17 20:26
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	1	$22.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	Egypt	-$22,000	07-03 20:00
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	13	$21.8K	26,621	0	+26,621	No	+$4,824	02-03 16:57
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	11	$21.2K	40,000	0	+40,000	No	-$21,200	06-16 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 22:20:52	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	2,133	5¢	$112	0xf36d92…
09-21 22:20:30	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	4,664	8¢	$384	0x4b43ae…
07-04 19:36:34	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	No	BUY	27,188	18¢	$4,894	0xaa9d61…
07-04 16:05:44	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	Canada	BUY	35,978	73¢	$26,264	0x39f0f2…
07-04 16:03:23	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 2pt5	Canada	BUY	343	90¢	$309	0x0dddae…
07-04 16:03:13	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 2pt5	Canada	BUY	15,480	90¢	$13,932	0x6b55fa…
07-04 16:00:53	wta cirstea noskova 2026 07 04	Linda Noskova	BUY	5,000	80¢	$4,000	0xd5e677…
07-04 04:11:56	wta navarro kostyuk 2026 07 03	Emma Navarro	BUY	22,998	44¢	$10,119	0xc4d230…
07-04 03:56:47	atp minaur svajda 2026 07 03	Alex de Minaur	BUY	1,400	84¢	$1,176	0xbb6c3e…
07-04 03:55:25	atp minaur svajda 2026 07 03	Alex de Minaur	BUY	1,400	84¢	$1,176	0x7aca48…
07-04 03:16:07	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	18,065	89¢	$16,078	0xeb69f3…
07-04 03:16:05	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	143	89¢	$127	0xce19a8…
07-04 03:16:05	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	11,245	89¢	$10,008	0x8963fc…
07-04 03:16:04	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	4,501	89¢	$4,006	0xe8bf17…
07-04 03:15:59	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x7dfa4d…
07-04 03:15:58	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	91	89¢	$81	0xd2f41a…
07-04 03:15:55	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1,738	89¢	$1,547	0xc699bb…
07-04 03:15:40	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	81	89¢	$72	0xec5bc8…
07-04 03:15:40	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x329fb7…
07-04 03:15:25	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x3e3440…
07-04 03:15:19	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	158	89¢	$141	0x5624e0…
07-04 03:15:19	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x29439f…
07-04 03:15:16	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xb2b53a…
07-04 03:15:11	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	444	89¢	$395	0xc67245…
07-04 03:15:11	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	13,410	89¢	$11,935	0x1c9f17…
07-03 20:59:02	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	34,081	58¢	$19,767	0x668d33…
07-03 20:00:19	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	50,000	44¢	$22,000	0x5f95b9…
07-03 19:10:08	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 3pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	15,000	80¢	$12,000	0x629312…
07-03 18:27:58	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x6270d5…
07-03 18:27:56	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	88	75¢	$66	0x32a915…
07-03 18:27:46	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0xf5357a…
07-03 18:27:46	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x0304d0…
07-03 18:27:43	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x1fc2c0…
07-03 18:27:41	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x2226bb…
07-03 18:27:40	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0x9fa573…
07-03 18:27:37	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x707239…
07-03 18:27:35	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xb32757…
07-03 18:27:32	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0x9b5a3f…
07-03 18:27:31	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4bd8c4…
07-03 18:27:29	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x548d29…
07-03 18:27:29	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0x36fdcc…
07-03 18:27:23	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x9651df…
07-03 18:27:22	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	44	75¢	$33	0xad5c6e…
07-03 18:27:20	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd3f33b…
07-03 18:27:17	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	387	75¢	$291	0xcfd26c…
07-03 18:27:17	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc893d3…
07-03 18:27:16	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	106	75¢	$80	0xb74e81…
07-03 18:27:10	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x709723…
07-03 18:27:10	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x180282…
07-03 18:27:07	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x7a353c…
07-03 18:27:02	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xb18ac6…
07-03 18:26:59	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xdd8903…
07-03 18:26:58	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x2a8c67…
07-03 18:26:50	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	102	75¢	$77	0xc5304e…
07-03 18:26:46	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x969052…
07-03 18:26:44	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x2a14f0…
07-03 18:26:41	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	800	75¢	$600	0x861b29…
07-03 18:26:41	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0x70813e…
07-03 18:26:37	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xd49dec…
07-03 18:26:34	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xd0834d…
07-03 18:26:31	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xdf8b8f…
07-03 18:26:25	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	206	75¢	$154	0xd46849…
07-03 18:26:25	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x9f1f6e…
07-03 18:26:22	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb43d83…
07-03 18:26:20	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	192	75¢	$144	0xdd6b35…
07-03 18:26:20	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x48530b…
07-03 18:26:16	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x31421d…
07-03 18:26:07	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xaf545a…
07-03 18:26:07	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	73	75¢	$55	0x9a04bc…
07-03 18:26:07	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x3d775b…
07-03 18:25:56	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb90bdd…
07-03 18:22:22	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	521	75¢	$391	0x19172f…
07-03 18:22:20	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xd0176b…
07-03 18:22:20	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xc09f9d…
07-03 18:22:19	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xa7574c…
07-03 18:22:17	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x97800c…
07-03 18:22:16	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xbb7667…
07-03 18:22:16	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x8b05d1…
07-03 18:22:14	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xb1b33b…
07-03 18:22:11	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xf2bb60…
07-03 18:22:10	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xc39464…
07-03 18:22:08	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x95e625…
07-03 18:22:07	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xcde0a0…
07-03 18:22:07	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9e2071…
07-03 18:22:05	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xc2ac80…
07-03 18:22:02	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd3f98b…
07-03 18:22:02	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	97	75¢	$73	0x9b7350…
07-03 18:22:01	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xcde83b…
07-03 18:21:58	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xd141ae…
07-03 18:21:58	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x90e79f…
07-03 18:21:58	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	41	75¢	$31	0x0d4654…
07-03 18:21:56	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	1,000	75¢	$750	0x50b4ae…
07-03 18:21:56	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	147	75¢	$110	0x25f691…
07-03 18:21:55	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xe0447c…
07-03 18:21:52	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x3aae89…
07-03 18:21:50	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xdc085a…
07-03 18:21:49	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x998056…
07-03 18:21:47	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xf40056…
07-03 18:21:44	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0xaa4b75…
07-03 18:21:44	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x86e178…