Quick-Fundraising — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$506

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

Trades

8,883

lifetime

Volume

$2.43M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$274

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-04 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

32% 50% +$300

Other

30% 100% +$206

Sports

25% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$100.0K	50,053	50,053	+0	open	—	03-04 19:07
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	13	$62.9K	73,826	0	+73,826	open	—	02-25 17:43
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	22	$62.7K	63,969	0	+63,969	open	—	02-05 01:35
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	10	$60.5K	31,160	34,488	-3,328	open	—	02-26 20:10
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	49	$57.9K	56,390	24,449	+31,941	open	—	02-27 23:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$57.6K	59,515	0	+59,515	open	—	04-02 15:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	19	$53.4K	62,185	0	+62,185	open	—	03-25 21:45
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	16	$51.9K	28,654	28,654	+0	open	—	03-26 11:51
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	8	$47.8K	51,074	0	+51,074	open	—	02-02 18:02
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	19	$43.8K	25,324	25,824	-500	open	—	02-24 20:50
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	35	$43.6K	53,171	0	+53,171	open	—	01-28 21:18
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	5	$40.5K	20,709	20,709	+0	open	—	02-27 14:35
nba cha bos 2026 03 04	122	$37.9K	55,000	0	+55,000	open	—	03-05 00:48
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$37.9K	45,062	0	+45,062	open	—	07-02 00:01
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	105	$31.2K	43,135	0	+43,135	open	—	02-06 06:53
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	14	$30.8K	31,489	43,879	-12,390	open	—	02-27 21:19
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	20	$30.7K	33,343	0	+33,343	open	—	02-02 20:34
nba bos mil 2026 03 02	1	$28.5K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	03-03 00:00
nba atl mil 2026 03 04	2	$27.0K	53,976	0	+53,976	open	—	03-05 02:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$26.7K	37,277	37,277	+0	open	—	04-07 23:59
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	1	$26.3K	35,978	0	+35,978	open	—	07-04 16:05
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	24	$23.7K	26,747	0	+26,747	open	—	02-02 20:08
another us government shutdown by february 14	81	$23.6K	39,910	8,343	+31,567	open	—	02-13 18:04
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	1	$22.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	07-03 20:00
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	13	$21.8K	26,621	0	+26,621	open	—	02-03 16:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	123	$20.3K	124,959	111,762	+13,197	open	—	02-01 05:39
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	15	$20.3K	28,132	394	+27,737	open	—	02-27 21:14
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	1	$19.8K	34,081	0	+34,081	open	—	07-03 20:59
atp alcaraz minaur 2026 01 27	3	$19.5K	22,901	0	+22,901	open	—	01-27 07:19
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	10	$17.2K	17,961	0	+17,961	open	—	02-02 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 16:05:44	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	Canada	BUY	35,978	73¢	$26,264	0x39f0f2…
07-04 16:03:23	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 2pt5	Canada	BUY	343	90¢	$309	0x0dddae…
07-04 16:03:13	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 spread away 2pt5	Canada	BUY	15,480	90¢	$13,932	0x6b55fa…
07-04 16:00:53	wta cirstea noskova 2026 07 04	Linda Noskova	BUY	5,000	80¢	$4,000	0xd5e677…
07-04 04:11:56	wta navarro kostyuk 2026 07 03	Emma Navarro	BUY	22,998	44¢	$10,119	0xc4d230…
07-04 03:56:47	atp minaur svajda 2026 07 03	Alex de Minaur	BUY	1,400	84¢	$1,176	0xbb6c3e…
07-04 03:55:25	atp minaur svajda 2026 07 03	Alex de Minaur	BUY	1,400	84¢	$1,176	0x7aca48…
07-03 20:59:02	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	34,081	58¢	$19,767	0x668d33…
07-03 20:00:19	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Australia	BUY	50,000	44¢	$22,000	0x5f95b9…
07-03 19:10:08	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 3pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	15,000	80¢	$12,000	0x629312…
07-02 05:48:01	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,292	52¢	$675	0x7dafd2…
07-02 00:01:31	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	45,062	84¢	$37,852	0x0dfcb2…
06-14 03:39:45	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	1,741	98¢	$1,706	0x8067b2…
06-14 03:39:15	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x70222b…
06-14 03:38:37	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1,685	93¢	$1,570	0x5baff0…
06-14 00:39:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 total 218pt5	Under	BUY	1,000	57¢	$570	0xa887ea…
06-14 00:38:22	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 total 215pt5	Under	BUY	715	50¢	$358	0xdd68cc…
06-07 15:02:45	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	1,000	26¢	$260	0x5bb231…
06-01 13:09:42	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	10,091	62¢	$6,256	0x2fb130…
05-05 03:17:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	460	60¢	$276	0x663c62…
05-05 03:11:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	747	95¢	$709	0x2c6c95…
05-05 03:10:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,678	90¢	$1,510	0x988e15…
05-04 21:15:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	5,755	95¢	$5,467	0x8cf2c5…
05-04 21:15:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	829	95¢	$787	0x820b93…
05-04 21:15:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	827	95¢	$784	0xe4172a…
05-04 21:14:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	9,364	90¢	$8,428	0x80cfbe…
05-04 21:14:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	6,262	75¢	$4,696	0xe5b975…
05-04 03:42:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x0ec134…
05-04 03:29:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	1,000	54¢	$540	0x99f199…
04-25 17:36:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,200	60¢	$720	0xd135be…
04-19 23:56:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0x46c802…
04-07 23:59:23	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	SELL	44,276	0¢	$122	0xb22c7d…
04-07 23:59:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	37,277	0¢	$136	0xb04ba5…
04-07 23:58:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	4,765	1¢	$34	0xbf4cd0…
04-07 23:58:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	11,000	1¢	$126	0x85ba9e…
04-07 22:57:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	983	8¢	$74	0xc23a38…
04-07 22:57:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x7a22e5…
04-07 22:57:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	8,917	8¢	$696	0x764323…
04-07 22:56:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	8¢	$79	0xdddff5…
04-05 02:44:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x89936e…
04-05 00:52:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0x0f0a2f…
04-04 23:44:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	18,801	83¢	$15,605	0x9df5f1…
04-04 22:57:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,065	14¢	$149	0x25c5aa…
04-04 16:17:17	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	86¢	$1,720	0x5d733f…
04-04 14:25:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x5b41c2…
04-04 14:25:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x9339fb…
04-04 14:25:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	76	17¢	$13	0x4cf6ef…
04-04 14:25:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x486472…
04-04 14:24:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x49971f…
04-04 14:24:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x316b11…
04-04 14:24:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xd80c62…
04-04 14:24:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x87c72d…
04-04 14:24:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x463898…
04-04 14:24:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x2b157c…
04-04 14:24:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x410cbe…
04-04 14:24:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xac7e53…
04-04 14:24:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0x63b486…
04-04 14:24:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	48	17¢	$8	0xa3b37c…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xf2c233…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xea00e5…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe45804…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xcc29fa…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xb225df…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x8b9efe…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x7e8c60…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x52f2a0…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x34b016…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x1dd97e…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x1707cf…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x148d27…
04-04 14:24:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x0abe97…
04-04 14:24:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x30524c…
04-04 14:24:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xf776e4…
04-04 14:24:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xc26e1b…
04-04 14:24:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x829a36…
04-04 14:24:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x0ddae7…
04-04 14:24:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xf67c24…
04-04 14:24:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xd59c6f…
04-04 14:24:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xa39299…
04-04 14:24:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x3ed89f…
04-04 14:23:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x890198…
04-04 14:23:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xa44911…
04-04 14:22:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0xea56a4…
04-04 14:22:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x007e63…
04-04 14:21:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3,000	17¢	$510	0xfd9f75…
04-04 14:21:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	39	17¢	$7	0x78df01…
04-04 14:21:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	79	17¢	$13	0x4d8aae…
04-04 14:20:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x282666…
04-04 14:18:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x5a432d…
04-04 14:18:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x1f5598…
04-04 14:18:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfaedca…
04-04 14:17:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd140b2…
04-04 14:16:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	143	17¢	$24	0x87738d…
04-04 14:12:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xfb6639…
04-04 14:12:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x0a557e…
04-04 14:12:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	183	17¢	$31	0x63c1b8…
04-04 04:34:41	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	5,259	30¢	$1,578	0x035a19…
04-04 01:34:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0xc4ee04…
04-03 17:42:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0x40b080…
04-03 11:41:17	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	9,981	88¢	$8,783	0x9e9bc0…