Bold-Debtor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.57K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

934

Trades

2,075

lifetime

Volume

$98.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$70

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-11 18:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 79% +$169

Other

22% 61% -$633

Sports

11% 58% -$1,847

Politics

5% 59% -$261

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 13?	Yes	+31	$30	99¢	$30	+$0	11-11 18:24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	Yes	+31	$30	94¢	$29	-$1	11-11 18:24
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-6	-$6	98¢	$-6	$0	10-12 07:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+5	$5	96¢	$5	$0	11-11 18:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba det okc 2026 03 30	8	$2.4K	1,895	1,886	+9	Thunder	+$177	03-31 04:37
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	6	$2.4K	1,829	984	+845	Connecticut Huskies	+$172	03-29 23:20
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	8	$2.4K	1,817	1,813	+4	Michigan Wolverines	-$121	03-28 02:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$2.0K	1,070	1,070	+0	No	+$41	03-29 00:10
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	3	$2.0K	1,143	1,140	+3	Connecticut Huskies	+$177	03-28 04:12
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	7	$1.8K	1,984	1,063	+920	Tennessee Volunteers	-$372	03-28 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 00:50 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,337	159	+1,177	Down	-$38	04-14 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:25 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,227	0	+1,227	Down	+$71	04-13 22:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:15 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,157	0	+1,157	Up	+$13	04-13 22:17
atp overbec milic 2026 03 31	4	$1.1K	816	806	+10	Ognjen Milic	+$163	03-31 06:43
nba sac tor 2026 04 01	7	$1.1K	977	273	+704	Kings	+$78	04-02 05:28
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	2	$1.1K	550	549	+1	Illinois Fighting Illini	+$43	03-29 00:32
wta sherif yuan 2026 03 31	4	$979	915	906	+9	Yue Yuan	-$257	03-31 18:14
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$920	6,791	0	+6,791	No	-$920	03-28 17:14
nba cle gsw 2026 04 02	8	$874	520	516	+3	Cavaliers	+$53	04-03 04:28
nba phi mia 2026 03 30	2	$842	1,344	0	+1,344	Heat	-$842	03-31 00:09
atp tunglin jubb 2026 04 01	13	$825	1,136	614	+523	Tung-Lin Wu	+$112	04-02 07:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:05 UTC	7	$824	1,419	1,364	+55	Up	-$494	04-14 01:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$769	464	425	+39	Yes	+$18	04-07 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:30 UTC	2	$725	738	0	+738	Up	+$13	04-13 21:34
atp noguchi tunglin 2026 03 29	2	$640	676	676	+0	Tung-Lin Wu	+$38	03-31 07:20
nba cle uta 2026 03 30	2	$633	371	370	+1	Cavaliers	-$70	03-31 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:35 UTC	4	$629	700	0	+700	Down	+$72	04-13 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:00 UTC	1	$609	628	0	+628	Up	+$19	04-13 22:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 16:15 UTC	1	$605	611	0	+611	Up	+$6	04-13 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 23:00 UTC	1	$604	638	0	+638	Down	+$33	04-12 23:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:00 UTC	2	$600	643	0	+643	Up	-$600	04-14 01:03
nba nop sac 2026 04 03	7	$593	499	494	+5	Kings	-$81	04-04 04:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 16:10 UTC	1	$591	597	0	+597	Up	+$6	04-13 16:14
atp oki ilagan 2026 03 31	4	$589	308	307	+1	Andre Ilagan	+$19	04-02 05:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 18:24:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb64fe6…
11-11 18:24:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 13?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe11436…
11-11 18:24:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x918fec…
11-05 01:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xdb0c1e…
11-05 01:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc7bc01…
11-05 00:57:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x693f7b…
11-04 04:00:25	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x577a31…
11-04 04:00:12	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x9b8dc6…
11-04 04:00:04	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	461	5¢	$23	0x7f4331…
11-04 02:34:48	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	328	18¢	$59	0xe45556…
11-04 02:33:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	102	99¢	$102	0xa20bcb…
11-04 02:31:42	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x75197e…
11-04 02:31:13	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xe30dd3…
11-04 02:31:09	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x642be3…
11-04 02:31:01	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa47b50…
11-04 02:28:18	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	12¢	$12	0x96111a…
11-04 02:28:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x910841…
11-04 02:28:06	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x43ea9b…
11-04 01:38:33	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0x52cc09…
11-04 01:37:49	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x32bbb8…
11-02 17:37:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa405a2…
11-02 17:37:15	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x586901…
10-16 01:02:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x63145f…
10-16 01:02:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xc678db…
10-16 01:01:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x2a6b69…
10-13 23:35:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x68647c…
10-13 02:44:36	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x1f2433…
10-13 02:42:33	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x61e872…
10-12 22:16:14	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x80cde1…
10-12 22:15:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xdae7e0…
10-12 22:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x966d40…
10-12 22:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8de5e5…
10-12 22:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdb3e6a…
10-12 22:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x608662…
10-12 22:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1156a2…
10-12 22:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x874a55…
10-12 08:46:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb20bc8…
10-12 08:26:12	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb487d7…
10-12 08:19:15	Wuhan Tennis Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Magdalena Frech	Magdalena Frech	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xfff670…
10-12 07:43:38	Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc2bbcd…
10-12 07:31:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x32fa77…
10-12 07:31:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x1fc374…
07-05 17:19:58	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x3784f5…
07-05 17:19:40	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd2ad6d…
06-28 15:56:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x285d85…
06-28 15:56:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdea505…
06-28 15:56:25	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xddc4ea…
06-28 15:47:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3fcbd4…
06-28 15:45:53	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd67d11…
06-28 15:44:29	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xa6ddfa…
06-28 14:23:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xdd10c8…
06-28 14:20:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xb7da88…
06-28 14:20:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x96f29f…
06-28 14:20:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x58aa16…
06-28 14:18:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4a5a63…
06-28 14:18:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x567592…
06-28 14:18:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x98b372…
06-28 14:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb69239…
06-28 14:17:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x940c3d…
06-28 14:17:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb381bb…
06-28 14:17:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0eb536…
06-28 14:17:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2ea6f8…
06-28 14:17:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa412d4…
06-28 14:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xda5d9d…
06-28 14:14:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x05e9ce…
06-28 14:14:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x75ef47…
06-28 14:14:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x348a6e…
06-28 14:14:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe0033a…
06-28 14:13:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd5fa12…
06-28 14:13:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3ed8ca…
06-28 14:13:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd2527a…
06-28 14:11:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf15018…
06-28 14:10:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xdc5242…
06-28 14:10:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x242711…
06-28 14:02:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc98023…
06-28 14:02:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaf4057…
06-28 13:59:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x18aa8d…
06-28 13:58:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x6f435b…
06-28 13:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6bccd0…
06-28 13:55:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xff20a8…
06-28 13:52:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xfc7305…
06-28 13:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3b359f…
06-28 13:48:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x064c79…
06-28 05:49:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x170e1c…
06-28 05:49:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a0b3c…
06-28 05:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa1385b…
06-28 05:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb4e0d0…
06-28 05:45:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd74316…
06-28 05:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x220bef…
06-28 05:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2554bb…
06-28 05:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc94360…
06-28 05:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x836837…
06-28 05:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbdfc16…
06-28 05:42:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0f50c0…
06-28 05:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x64553f…
06-28 05:38:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6dbcfa…
06-28 05:35:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbc0f63…
06-28 05:35:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x163b67…
06-28 05:34:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcc5925…
06-28 05:33:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb394fc…