Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$941

Unrealized P&L

+$72

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

428

Trades

837

lifetime

Volume

$9.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$41

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-31 00:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 23% -$221

Other

14% 16% -$272

Sports

7% 15% -$239

Politics

3% 0% -$209

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+90	-$48	41¢	$37	+$85	10-26 22:45
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-294	-$6	1¢	$-3	+$3	10-16 22:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	+15	$17	6¢	$1	-$16	10-20 19:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 02:05 UTC	4	$298	245	245	+0	Down	+$188	06-08 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 00:15 UTC	5	$290	263	263	+0	Down	+$230	06-09 00:20
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 6pm et	8	$260	209	209	+0	Down	+$120	06-09 23:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 01:00 UTC	3	$199	194	181	+13	Up	+$139	03-17 01:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 01:50 UTC	3	$197	159	159	+0	Down	+$117	06-08 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 02:15 UTC	3	$196	267	263	+3	Up	+$6	03-13 02:19
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$194	2,829	3,024	-195	No	+$54	07-06 00:43
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	6	$181	333	163	+169	Yes	+$135	07-07 15:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 23:30 UTC	5	$180	137	137	+0	Down	+$90	06-08 23:45
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	6	$159	186	123	+64	Up	+$65	06-10 00:57
bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 12pm et	2	$155	132	132	+0	Down	+$105	06-07 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 03:00 UTC	5	$127	151	151	+0	Up	+$57	06-08 03:10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$125	525	0	+525	No	-$125	07-19 21:47
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	4	$124	98	98	+0	Yes	+$19	01-13 17:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 01:45 UTC	3	$119	265	111	+154	Up	-$1	06-08 01:56
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$108	261	171	+90	open	—	10-26 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:25 UTC	4	$106	125	77	+48	Up	+$26	06-09 01:28
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-09 00:00 UTC	4	$92	277	25	+252	Down	-$53	06-09 01:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 02:00 UTC	7	$88	224	74	+151	Up	$0	08-30 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 00:15 UTC	4	$81	69	66	+3	Down	+$34	04-11 00:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:45 UTC	7	$76	116	78	+38	Down	+$6	06-10 20:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 01:30 UTC	7	$75	380	0	+380	Down	-$75	06-09 01:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:45 UTC	5	$75	67	67	+1	Down	+$26	03-13 01:50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?	2	$71	51	51	+0	Yes	+$31	06-10 20:37
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$70	576	0	+576	No	-$70	01-06 01:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:05 UTC	7	$70	299	0	+299	Up	+$229	06-09 01:08
bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9pm et	4	$69	372	295	+77	Up	-$25	06-09 01:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 21:15 UTC	3	$65	217	0	+217	Up	-$65	06-10 21:17
bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 10am et	3	$63	403	0	+403	Up	-$63	06-25 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 06:40 UTC	4	$63	61	61	+0	Down	+$34	03-15 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 00:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf137c9…
10-30 22:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcff6bf…
10-30 22:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6769e1…
10-30 22:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x375b1a…
10-30 22:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x71d576…
10-30 22:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7d75d4…
10-30 22:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x11fbb2…
10-30 22:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xebdf0f…
10-30 22:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x75e9bf…
10-30 22:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9a2ebd…
10-30 16:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9f278d…
10-30 16:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x4487c8…
10-30 16:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x3ebd51…
10-30 16:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x316629…
10-30 16:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x3bba07…
10-30 16:30:31	Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xb5524d…
10-30 16:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa6b598…
10-30 15:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x7a5602…
10-30 15:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe46baa…
10-30 15:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x81cf7f…
10-30 07:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3e9a7b…
10-30 06:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x945291…
10-30 00:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x07f730…
10-30 00:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe7ff44…
10-30 00:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb03e12…
10-30 00:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x30549e…
10-30 00:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x43d4a6…
10-30 00:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x189814…
10-30 00:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x91e6d3…
10-30 00:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa7360a…
10-30 00:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x415883…
10-29 23:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x4af62e…
10-29 23:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x00df83…
10-29 22:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe46a36…
10-29 22:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3b8bdc…
10-29 22:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5bc983…
10-29 22:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xfc3f1d…
10-29 22:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x04161f…
10-29 22:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xe0f61a…
10-29 21:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x98fc93…
10-29 21:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x96fd33…
10-29 21:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb88ceb…
10-29 21:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xc098c9…
10-29 21:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xcd6539…
10-29 21:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x257ea1…
10-29 21:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x686382…
10-29 21:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x0b37f4…
10-29 20:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x5bce91…
10-29 20:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x6580d6…
10-26 23:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3598a9…
10-26 23:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x83a97f…
10-26 23:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb43ab4…
10-26 23:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2c2716…
10-26 22:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x306065…
10-26 22:51:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbfff27…
10-26 22:45:54	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	41	44¢	$18	0xf10a3f…
10-26 22:19:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3d08be…
10-26 22:07:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xfd56f8…
10-24 20:47:17	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x293635…
10-24 20:44:51	Will Ronaldo Nazário attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa965e2…
10-24 20:44:42	Will Vincent Kompany attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xf5a7b8…
10-24 20:44:23	Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x5ad14e…
10-24 20:44:09	Will Ronaldinho attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5c0101…
10-24 20:41:32	Will Fabián Ruiz attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x60738b…
10-24 20:17:12	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xccbcd2…
10-24 18:35:03	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Merab Dvalishvili	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x07ed2d…
10-24 18:16:54	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa1a0ac…
10-24 14:34:00	UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Noah Gugnon	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc54f76…
10-24 14:33:41	UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Noah Gugnon	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc1a48a…
10-24 14:33:11	UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Noah Gugnon	SELL	47	25¢	$12	0xbae165…
10-24 14:00:42	UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Noah Gugnon	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xb9dda5…
10-24 13:59:36	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	131	46¢	$60	0x6997c2…
10-20 19:48:59	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xdd2d23…
10-20 19:48:18	Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$2	0x24df42…
10-20 19:48:06	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	4¢	$3	0xea1e61…
10-17 02:07:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdb3ce8…
10-17 02:04:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfa5d02…
10-17 02:00:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7d7f5f…
10-17 02:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa998c1…
10-17 01:59:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc2e27a…
10-17 01:55:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x192cff…
10-17 01:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd99fd5…
10-17 01:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4797bd…
10-17 01:51:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe8ce2c…
10-17 01:49:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x457ad0…
10-17 01:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7c3042…
10-17 01:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfb38cc…
10-17 01:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x05d62c…
10-17 01:44:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x61e2ad…
10-17 01:43:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x133a9f…
10-17 01:42:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x06b196…
10-17 01:41:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe832da…
10-17 01:39:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x04ac74…
10-17 01:38:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:35 UTC	Down	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x376a39…
10-17 01:37:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x084ed2…
10-17 01:32:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x0dff5f…
10-17 01:31:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbe477e…
10-17 01:24:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x798b0f…
10-17 01:22:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfbd13d…
10-17 01:21:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf9255b…