Imaginary-Setback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

1,266

Trades

9,535

lifetime

Volume

$1.74M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$182

Open exposure

$525

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-27 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Other

63% 48% -$44,356

Sports

36% 52% +$33,975

Politics

0% 80% -$125

Tech

0% 0% -$150

Crypto

0% 0% -$779

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers		+1,000	$540	52¢	$525	-$15	10-27 20:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba okc sas 2026 02 04	12	$24.9K	16,880	16,880	+0	Spurs	+$4,975	02-05 03:09
nba okc den 2026 04 10	24	$20.6K	20,000	19,942	+58	Nuggets	+$2,388	04-11 02:12
Pistons vs. Magic	205	$19.2K	20,000	20,000	+0	Magic	+$5,200	04-28 01:45
cbb lou mst 2026 03 21	21	$16.0K	41,204	42,312	-1,108	Michigan State Spartans	-$905	03-21 20:22
nba bkn det 2026 03 07	4	$15.6K	17,928	17,928	+0	Nets	+$14,552	03-08 01:30
nba cha orl 2026 04 17	37	$13.8K	10,000	9,913	+87	Magic	+$5,712	04-18 00:56
lol blg fox1 2026 03 16	148	$13.6K	25,000	25,000	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$2,168	03-16 14:35
Pistons vs. Magic	84	$13.6K	10,000	9,919	+81	Magic	+$4,756	04-25 19:15
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner	34	$11.0K	8,067	8,067	+0	Cloud9	+$2,046	05-16 21:39
lol fur sen 2026 03 06 game1	13	$10.0K	8,691	8,691	+0	FURIA Esports	+$1,150	03-06 21:50
lol dig tl2 2026 04 19 game2	13	$10.0K	8,185	7,981	+204	Dignitas	+$2,849	04-19 23:25
lol dig tl2 2026 04 19 game1	10	$9.8K	7,000	6,932	+68	Team Liquid	+$383	04-19 22:29
lol bro2 ns 2026 04 19 game1	29	$9.4K	7,839	7,747	+92	HANJIN BRION	+$3,880	04-19 08:31
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	20	$9.0K	11,184	11,184	+0	Spurs	+$481	06-09 03:10
Lakers vs. Rockets	27	$8.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	Rockets	-$200	04-27 00:51
nba ind sac 2026 03 10	23	$8.3K	9,034	9,034	+0	Kings	+$2,208	03-11 04:15
nba gsw lac 2026 04 12	35	$7.9K	5,434	5,398	+36	Clippers	+$2,411	04-13 02:43
nba was bkn 2026 02 07 spread home 5pt5	4	$7.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	Nets	+$2,050	02-07 21:10
lol mkoi kc 2026 02 28 game1	11	$7.5K	7,012	6,000	+1,012	Movistar KOI	+$1,015	02-28 16:42
nba den min 2026 04 23	4	$7.4K	5,000	4,925	+75	Timberwolves	+$2,451	04-24 03:37
lol fnc sk 2026 04 13 game2	45	$7.1K	9,649	9,572	+77	SK Gaming	+$300	04-13 17:01
lol blg al 2026 04 19	17	$7.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$0	04-19 10:42
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	26	$7.1K	11,144	6,144	+5,000	KT Rolster	-$448	05-20 12:01
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	350	$7.1K	13,830	13,830	+0	Yes	+$2,882	05-03 02:08
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	33	$7.0K	120,000	0	+120,000	No	-$6,950	06-29 02:27
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	118	$6.8K	6,385	6,385	+0	Brazil	-$308	06-18 22:04
nba phx bos 2026 03 16	37	$6.7K	16,579	6,579	+10,000	Celtics	+$131	03-17 01:58
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner	32	$6.6K	9,000	3,928	+5,072	Cloud9	+$3,908	05-10 21:41
nba sac bkn 2026 03 29	2	$6.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	Nets	+$1,350	03-29 22:35
nba phx okc 2026 04 19 spread home 14pt5	30	$6.4K	4,770	4,770	+0	Thunder	+$1,765	04-19 20:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:29:33	Egor Demin: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd544a5…
10-27 22:29:32	Egor Demin: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb5831b…
10-27 22:29:32	Egor Demin: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x43e594…
10-27 22:29:32	Egor Demin: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x03b017…
10-27 22:20:23	Egor Demin: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x5ca7ec…
10-27 22:20:11	Egor Demin: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x64a1bb…
10-27 22:19:36	Egor Demin: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x1e981c…
10-27 22:00:35	Egor Demin: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	36	48¢	$18	0xa3a94d…
10-27 20:46:32	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1,000	54¢	$540	0xed0ef1…
10-27 20:34:26	Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5	Yes	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0x1147ca…
10-27 03:49:41	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	SELL	500	62¢	$310	0xc69d48…
10-27 03:19:14	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	500	43¢	$215	0x864e49…
10-27 01:53:42	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Suns	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x64e533…
10-27 01:53:42	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Suns	BUY	344	50¢	$172	0x0df164…
10-27 01:53:41	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Suns	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0xecf44a…
10-27 01:50:59	Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	SELL	327	99¢	$324	0xe83d9d…
10-27 01:50:59	Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	SELL	173	99¢	$171	0x011701…
10-26 23:49:57	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0x26562d…
10-26 23:15:51	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfd6751…
10-26 23:08:27	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x92a5dd…
10-26 23:08:03	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x5be27a…
10-26 22:52:56	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4317c9…
10-26 22:50:38	Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0xf6c96a…
10-26 22:40:45	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	500	57¢	$285	0x9b03b6…
10-26 22:39:11	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x5d9f88…
10-26 22:37:18	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x706b55…
10-26 22:33:33	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa5f007…
10-26 22:32:17	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	204	51¢	$104	0x06c242…
10-26 22:32:14	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	49	52¢	$26	0x7f92f3…
10-26 22:32:14	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5cd09c…
10-26 22:32:12	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd0bd32…
10-26 22:32:11	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	237	52¢	$123	0xf5ea62…
10-26 22:32:11	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x1a4a14…
10-26 22:16:05	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	436	14¢	$61	0xadcfd3…
10-26 22:16:02	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xd303c8…
10-26 22:16:02	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x625dde…
10-26 22:15:57	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xd5b117…
10-26 22:15:57	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	294	14¢	$41	0xca1362…
10-26 22:14:26	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	492	34¢	$167	0x5aa4bf…
10-26 22:14:24	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	506	34¢	$171	0x849c1a…
10-26 22:14:24	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x39f17a…
10-26 22:14:08	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x168b34…
10-26 22:13:21	Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 27.5	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xac4ce4…
10-26 22:11:54	Wizards vs. Hornets	Wizards	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0x07e094…
10-26 21:28:08	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Anyone's Legend	BUY	135	11¢	$15	0x081880…
10-26 19:10:39	Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	500	33¢	$165	0x94f019…
10-26 19:09:30	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner	LOS	SELL	500	22¢	$110	0x8c94e5…
10-26 19:03:24	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner	LOS	BUY	500	34¢	$170	0xca1a61…
10-26 19:01:56	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xa172ba…
10-26 18:26:47	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	300	59¢	$177	0x8163b8…
10-26 18:22:05	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	SELL	65	18¢	$12	0x4619b7…
10-26 18:21:59	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x533399…
10-26 18:21:57	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x595933…
10-26 18:21:54	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xbdb84f…
10-26 18:21:51	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	SELL	902	18¢	$162	0x553322…
10-26 18:10:38	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0x768513…
10-26 17:33:06	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	500	44¢	$220	0xfc038a…
10-26 17:19:03	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	93	41¢	$38	0x31576e…
10-26 17:19:00	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	122	41¢	$50	0x054f4d…
10-26 17:18:38	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	41	41¢	$17	0x4fc02c…
10-26 17:18:33	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	244	41¢	$100	0x1b80ab…
10-26 17:15:38	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x3a9d50…
10-26 17:14:33	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	303	44¢	$133	0x717a35…
10-26 17:14:26	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	57	44¢	$25	0x27e691…
10-26 17:14:24	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	115	44¢	$51	0xa197a6…
10-26 17:13:42	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	174	44¢	$77	0x85c5f5…
10-26 17:13:33	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x43bbbb…
10-26 17:13:32	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x8fc4b0…
10-26 17:13:24	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	291	44¢	$128	0x34e2cc…
10-26 17:06:23	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x723326…
10-26 17:05:29	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x169339…
10-26 17:05:15	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	31	49¢	$15	0xd547e5…
10-26 17:05:14	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	163	49¢	$80	0x5e41e7…
10-26 17:05:09	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x4cfec2…
10-26 17:04:23	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xfa7c9c…
10-26 17:03:44	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	250	49¢	$122	0x5700f3…
10-26 17:02:38	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x1ba00d…
10-26 16:26:50	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x0925ff…
10-26 16:26:42	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xe63a0e…
10-26 16:26:42	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x44a61e…
10-26 16:26:36	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xe3bdb8…
10-26 16:26:36	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x213091…
10-26 11:10:36	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x3f2f35…
10-25 22:09:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,213	45¢	$1,000	0x05a3a1…
10-25 21:29:27	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	1,000	41¢	$410	0x920585…
10-25 21:15:59	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	1,000	38¢	$380	0xf2edce…
10-25 21:02:26	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x90262b…
10-25 19:35:39	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	SELL	1,000	23¢	$230	0xd9f785…
10-25 19:21:21	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0x72cf00…
10-25 18:49:42	Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd47153…
10-25 18:20:45	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xda72ff…
10-25 18:20:39	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	993	57¢	$566	0xeb6aef…
10-25 18:16:17	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	500	55¢	$275	0xb5a09d…
10-25 18:15:15	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	500	53¢	$265	0xd9e93b…
10-25 18:00:59	Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	401	57¢	$229	0x025b35…
10-25 17:36:26	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	1,000	32¢	$320	0xb1f0b7…
10-25 17:30:51	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	1,000	56¢	$560	0xbba081…
10-25 17:30:18	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	43	81¢	$35	0x405397…
10-25 17:28:27	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	130	77¢	$100	0x08e8be…
10-25 17:28:05	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	77	77¢	$59	0x12ab75…