Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$253

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

1,494

Trades

2,066

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 09-05 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

79% 86% +$242

Politics

16% 86% +$79

Crypto

4% 36% -$61

Tech

1% 78% -$9

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No		+12	$10	99¢	$12	+$2	07-04 16:54
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Yes		+12	$10	96¢	$12	+$2	07-04 17:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	11	$140	172	0	+172	Yes	+$32	07-29 11:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	8	$95	81	29	+52	No	+$7	07-29 00:12
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	10	$94	97	13	+84	No	+$12	07-15 12:49
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	11	$94	112	0	+112	No	+$19	07-25 02:27
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	9	$90	92	12	+80	No	+$11	07-29 19:43
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	8	$90	107	0	+107	No	+$17	07-29 18:28
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	9	$84	96	0	+96	No	+$11	07-12 00:21
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	9	$80	82	12	+71	No	+$11	08-07 19:23
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	5	$74	85	0	+85	Yes	+$11	07-30 01:31
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	7	$70	179	0	+179	No	-$2	07-07 02:25
israel closes its airspace by july 24	9	$68	76	0	+76	No	+$8	07-23 06:11
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	7	$62	68	0	+68	Yes	+$6	08-25 23:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	6	$59	53	11	+42	No	+$3	08-26 11:54
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	7	$53	51	11	+39	Yes	-$30	08-11 17:13
will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	5	$51	49	11	+38	No	+$8	07-26 23:39
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	5	$50	56	0	+56	No	+$6	07-22 10:38
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	5	$50	46	11	+34	No	+$4	07-20 22:16
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	6	$47	56	0	+56	Yes	-$47	08-28 22:11
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	4	$47	34	21	+13	No	+$0	07-28 05:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	7	$44	43	8	+35	No	+$5	08-27 20:15
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	5	$43	50	0	+50	No	-$33	07-30 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?	5	$43	44	7	+37	Yes	-$31	07-26 15:10
will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	4	$40	34	11	+23	No	+$4	07-27 21:10
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	4	$40	44	0	+44	No	+$4	07-18 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 27?	2	$40	47	0	+47	No	+$7	07-27 13:19
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	4	$40	47	0	+47	No	+$7	07-23 11:25
untitled market 1 20260629155005352	4	$40	45	0	+45	No	+$5	07-29 14:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	4	$40	34	12	+22	Yes	+$1	09-01 14:07
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	5	$39	33	12	+21	No	+$2	07-20 01:48
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	5	$37	39	4	+35	No	+$5	07-17 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 06:04:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3ab916…
09-05 05:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xcb77d8…
09-05 05:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xf5f817…
09-05 02:57:06	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7030d3…
09-05 02:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 5?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xfebfac…
09-05 01:47:31	Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x88bd63…
09-05 00:38:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf04f9d…
09-05 00:11:01	Will Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko win the Falealili 1 by-election?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9dbd19…
09-04 23:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 5?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x624fff…
09-04 18:43:33	will openais astra model be released by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x30d427…
09-04 18:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xa9022f…
09-04 16:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5742fd…
09-04 13:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb319b2…
09-04 13:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 4?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xad0a96…
09-04 13:07:24	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xe979f7…
09-04 12:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 4?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x6b1cd4…
09-04 11:33:10	tsla close above 380 on september 4 2026	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x864bb1…
09-04 09:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf76f8d…
09-04 08:37:18	will trump say crypto during rnc convention september 10	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x5aaa58…
09-04 07:40:10	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4a8bdd…
09-04 06:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x91bd4f…
09-04 05:30:43	Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x0bce5b…
09-04 02:19:06	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x041608…
09-04 01:03:24	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3a0a51…
09-04 01:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x324611…
09-03 21:59:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xb6149f…
09-03 21:09:09	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2d270d…
09-03 21:02:15	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa4225c…
09-03 19:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 3?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x796d09…
09-03 19:42:19	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x61458c…
09-03 16:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x47f49a…
09-03 14:40:55	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xbd6dcb…
09-03 14:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 4?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe72807…
09-03 14:00:33	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xbf837e…
09-03 13:46:34	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x726986…
09-03 10:51:57	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x9bc794…
09-03 10:24:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x60c708…
09-03 06:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 3?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x0fd4ba…
09-03 03:41:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x70299d…
09-03 01:38:18	will iran target an arab country by september 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x59b4a9…
09-02 23:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x443366…
09-02 20:30:00	will wti dip to 90 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x354fe8…
09-02 19:45:12	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3cdc21…
09-02 19:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 4?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x1cec76…
09-02 18:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 2?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x1ad479…
09-02 18:12:16	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xc500bc…
09-02 16:50:12	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa4a265…
09-02 12:12:33	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3f3719…
09-02 12:09:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x14b123…
09-02 10:22:40	Will White House post 200+ posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xdd575e…
09-02 09:37:45	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8eeba2…
09-02 09:35:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x13c33e…
09-02 08:55:51	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xb9c665…
09-02 08:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 2?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1e913e…
09-02 08:19:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x49342c…
09-02 05:49:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xddd0a1…
09-02 05:39:54	Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x47cda0…
09-02 05:29:06	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xb4e899…
09-02 05:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4c780e…
09-02 04:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x1d9afe…
09-02 04:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x954f33…
09-02 01:14:31	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xdfd277…
09-02 01:13:37	Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x462b73…
09-02 00:34:15	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb7cdd3…
09-01 20:09:09	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x54ecbd…
09-01 19:30:22	will ewy reach 178 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$0	0x71a2e0…
09-01 19:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc0035b…
09-01 18:59:27	Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x258623…
09-01 17:44:46	Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x137e7d…
09-01 17:25:51	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1a1827…
09-01 16:20:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xabcca3…
09-01 14:21:40	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x103f07…
09-01 14:07:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xcca873…
09-01 13:25:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe93708…
09-01 13:12:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd3ea43…
09-01 11:53:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5a7a9b…
09-01 10:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 1?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x41b31e…
09-01 06:30:42	where will it rain on september 1 2026 houston tx	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe722da…
09-01 05:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 1?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8682c7…
09-01 04:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf6a103…
09-01 04:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x46a500…
09-01 01:56:07	will dell say agentic during earnings call 20260901	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5cf132…
09-01 01:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x76d5cd…
08-31 22:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7a0ff0…
08-31 22:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x6764e8…
08-31 22:03:52	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x15a864…
08-31 18:51:48	Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5db1e2…
08-31 18:20:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 31?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xac3ae1…
08-31 17:53:55	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf6c899…
08-31 16:32:07	Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xbf7dc9…
08-31 16:32:07	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x26f5bd…
08-31 15:51:12	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0xe27abe…
08-31 13:48:16	googl close above 335 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1fec31…
08-31 12:40:33	will meta reach 580 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x76f1dd…
08-31 12:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 31?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xdada71…
08-31 12:08:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 31?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc41570…
08-31 11:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3d7dc7…
08-31 11:36:21	Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf38aba…
08-31 11:35:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9cb8db…
08-31 10:55:30	will coin reach 182 50 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x09418b…