Periodic-Mink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-16 06:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% — —

Other

30% 0% $-37

Sports

7% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$232	290	290	+0	open	—	03-09 03:19
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$205	500	500	+0	open	—	03-09 02:04
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$104	100	100	+0	open	—	07-14 15:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	4	$89	96	96	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 03:44
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	7	$89	82	82	+0	open	—	07-16 07:43
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$88	100	100	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 03:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	07-16 06:11
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	6	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	07-16 06:22
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	4	$59	100	0	+100	open	—	02-16 11:59
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	2	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	07-16 09:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$48	52	52	+0	open	—	05-07 03:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	2	$45	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 05:04
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	5	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	07-16 08:20
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	8	$37	40	40	+0	open	—	07-16 12:14
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$36	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 05:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	4	$36	79	79	+0	open	—	07-16 06:16
spy up or down on july 16 2026	7	$27	40	40	+0	open	—	07-16 05:17
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$25	50	50	+0	Yes	$-2	05-07 04:20
wti up or down on july 16 2026	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	07-16 06:12
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	$-0	05-07 06:54
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	1	$17	0	50	-50	Up	$-33	05-07 07:17
spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	07-16 05:17
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	05-07 05:05
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	05-07 03:27
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	3	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	07-16 12:06
will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	2	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	07-16 10:26
will bytedance be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129416	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	07-16 11:58
rcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 3pt97	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	07-16 06:12
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	2	$7	20	20	+0	open	—	05-07 05:49
grmn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt29	1	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	07-16 07:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 12:15:55	wti closes above 77 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7b4db7…
07-16 12:14:05	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0x00553d…
07-16 12:13:41	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x41b171…
07-16 12:06:44	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x387c7f…
07-16 12:04:25	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x21fb63…
07-16 11:59:34	will msft reach 405 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3a6b77…
07-16 11:58:50	will bytedance be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129416	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xd74ab0…
07-16 11:51:10	will abnb reach 156 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x48c491…
07-16 11:27:11	will bytedance be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129416	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xd2ac40…
07-16 11:19:19	will ewy reach 184 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x57ba4c…
07-16 11:07:11	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x56566b…
07-16 10:26:44	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xd4f23b…
07-16 10:25:52	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xcfc16d…
07-16 10:01:53	will taylor brown be evicted in big brother season 28 week 1 20260710020428909	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x8c2a57…
07-16 09:55:25	will taylor brown be evicted in big brother season 28 week 1 20260710020428909	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x00c5d7…
07-16 09:32:17	will msft reach 405 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xfe52f8…
07-16 09:22:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x5ceafa…
07-16 09:09:56	wti closes above 77 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xfabafb…
07-16 09:06:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xde0f12…
07-16 09:00:55	wti closes above 77 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x817ac9…
07-16 08:47:43	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x00fd95…
07-16 08:46:01	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x0a53c6…
07-16 08:42:55	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x35cd71…
07-16 08:41:16	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe1f585…
07-16 08:37:37	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xa94b87…
07-16 08:21:34	will rklb reach 84 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x40193b…
07-16 08:20:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x1fbdc9…
07-16 08:09:07	will rklb reach 84 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x697731…
07-16 08:04:13	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4ee5c7…
07-16 07:45:01	wti closes above 82 on july 16 2026	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x1658f2…
07-16 07:44:34	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x52d6f2…
07-16 07:43:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x61dcaf…
07-16 07:43:50	grmn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt29	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xf08569…
07-16 07:30:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x8e21ac…
07-16 07:28:46	will ewy reach 184 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xed237c…
07-16 07:23:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xbaf56f…
07-16 07:14:38	wti closes above 82 on july 16 2026	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xcd694e…
07-16 07:05:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0xf6e8b6…
07-16 06:43:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xbd2fd0…
07-16 06:42:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x52b0ef…
07-16 06:34:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	21	55¢	$11	0x8ba617…
07-16 06:32:10	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x31e72d…
07-16 06:23:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x555ed5…
07-16 06:22:43	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x74b089…
07-16 06:22:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x67dd6d…
07-16 06:21:44	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x6bb11b…
07-16 06:16:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	29	22¢	$6	0xc16744…
07-16 06:16:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	29	23¢	$7	0x112abf…
07-16 06:12:22	rcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 3pt97	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x549ad6…
07-16 06:12:10	wti up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x29a36e…
07-16 06:11:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x0df355…
07-16 06:11:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x8dd10b…
07-16 06:10:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x3ba8e0…
07-16 06:10:04	rcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 3pt97	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x171b85…
07-16 06:09:43	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x9b2d87…
07-16 06:08:40	wti up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xd7c96d…
07-16 06:05:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xca84cc…
07-16 06:05:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xcdfc0e…
07-16 06:04:44	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xdc2c1f…
07-16 05:52:20	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xc182e2…
07-16 05:17:50	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xc44707…
07-16 05:17:40	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xa49079…
07-16 05:15:25	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x48cdb7…
07-16 05:15:25	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0x3cc6f2…
07-16 04:41:13	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x571a96…
07-16 04:40:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xec7c7e…
07-16 04:16:17	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x88f525…
07-16 04:11:37	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xcd2950…
07-16 04:11:37	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x06b365…
07-16 04:11:28	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xeb0a9f…
07-16 04:11:28	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xb9198b…
07-16 03:56:40	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x0d687c…
07-16 03:25:01	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x77a9e7…
07-14 15:38:05	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x7fffae…
06-30 13:40:20	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x31696e…
05-07 07:17:51	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	50	33¢	$17	0xa932db…
05-07 06:54:36	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x2feba4…
05-07 06:51:12	Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x6b7937…
05-07 06:17:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xba446c…
05-07 06:10:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x2db09a…
05-07 05:49:16	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xc1a32e…
05-07 05:49:04	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x0b5be9…
05-07 05:27:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xb66966…
05-07 05:17:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x655aa0…
05-07 05:05:00	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x6ba516…
05-07 05:04:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x618eaf…
05-07 04:57:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x050df3…
05-07 04:43:35	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xe140b3…
05-07 04:20:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xe3fe90…
05-07 04:17:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x789f7e…
05-07 03:58:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	46¢	$24	0xddc3b4…
05-07 03:58:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0xc16d26…
05-07 03:49:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x1cdd4c…
05-07 03:47:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xd4b753…
05-07 03:44:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xe347c2…
05-07 03:43:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x391c03…
05-07 03:27:59	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x7cbcaa…
05-07 03:26:46	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x28165f…
05-07 02:21:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	46	47¢	$22	0xed5d67…
05-07 02:20:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	46	47¢	$22	0x861dbd…