Periodic-Mink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$138

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

10.9%

Resolved

Trades

285

lifetime

Volume

$3.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-28 09:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

48% 8% -$96

Politics

42% 11% +$25

Sports

6% 67% -$66

Tech

2% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+100	$18	18¢	$18	$0	10-28 09:21
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+100	$14	3¢	$3	-$11	08-30 16:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$232	290	290	+0	No	$0	03-09 03:19
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$205	500	500	+0	Yes	-$5	03-09 02:04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	6	$167	150	150	+0	No	-$4	07-16 17:24
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 6?	3	$119	87	37	+50	Yes	-$47	05-07 04:02
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$104	100	100	+0	No	+$12	07-14 15:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	4	$96	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	05-07 06:54
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	2	$90	50	50	+0	Yes	-$4	05-07 12:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	4	$89	96	96	+0	Down	-$1	05-07 03:44
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	7	$89	82	82	+0	Yes	$0	07-16 07:43
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$88	100	100	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 03:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$86	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-16 06:11
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$82	200	200	+0	open	—	10-28 09:20
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	2	$76	50	50	+0	No	$0	07-16 08:20
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	2	$75	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-16 11:58
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	10	$61	60	60	+0	Yes	-$1	07-16 14:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?	7	$61	68	68	+0	No	-$5	05-07 12:18
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	6	$60	60	60	+0	No	-$1	07-16 06:22
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	4	$59	100	0	+100	Yes	+$41	02-16 11:59
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 7?	2	$56	31	31	+0	Yes	$0	05-07 04:14
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	2	$55	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	07-16 09:22
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$55	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-07 02:46
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?	7	$53	60	60	+0	open	—	07-16 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17?	9	$48	53	53	+0	No	$0	07-16 17:22
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	7	$48	55	55	+0	No	+$1	07-16 11:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$48	52	52	+0	No	+$0	05-07 03:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	2	$45	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 05:04
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$40	50	50	+0	Up	-$7	05-07 07:17
Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 20 and 25 minutes long?	4	$39	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-16 06:03
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	5	$39	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-16 14:40
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	5	$39	40	40	+0	No	-$1	07-16 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:21:38	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x7a5f62…
10-28 09:20:14	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xd949b8…
08-30 16:20:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x36e548…
07-17 04:55:39	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x2123b5…
07-17 01:00:50	Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x860390…
07-16 17:24:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x55f73e…
07-16 17:24:01	Will Western Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$9	0x16b833…
07-16 17:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x9b09db…
07-16 17:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x68d988…
07-16 16:52:28	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xb65c36…
07-16 16:51:59	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x7979a4…
07-16 16:51:58	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x177824…
07-16 16:23:55	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xd3ed57…
07-16 16:20:23	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x47eed2…
07-16 16:16:19	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x06cb69…
07-16 14:41:43	will amzn reach 268 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xdcead5…
07-16 14:41:29	will abnb reach 156 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xf33781…
07-16 14:40:16	Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x82472c…
07-16 14:40:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xfa01f4…
07-16 14:39:49	Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x0fc6a4…
07-16 14:39:41	Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	Yes	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0xcb85d3…
07-16 14:36:59	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x5c3d5a…
07-16 14:36:58	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0x69551f…
07-16 14:31:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6c46cb…
07-16 14:18:07	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x329ee7…
07-16 14:17:14	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x6a5d7b…
07-16 14:08:07	will amzn reach 268 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x148fb7…
07-16 14:05:53	wti closes above 77 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x009c28…
07-16 14:03:47	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xdfd7c1…
07-16 14:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x1c518b…
07-16 14:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x11fba7…
07-16 13:40:14	Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x018799…
07-16 13:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xce0a6a…
07-16 13:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6caf75…
07-16 13:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x8817dc…
07-16 13:12:05	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0x718982…
07-16 13:01:08	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	No	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0xd9ec0d…
07-16 12:53:13	Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	No	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x6f47f2…
07-16 12:44:14	grmn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt29	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x3ac6ba…
07-16 12:26:26	wti closes above 77 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x5ff7fc…
07-16 12:15:55	wti closes above 77 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7b4db7…
07-16 12:14:05	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0x00553d…
07-16 12:13:41	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x41b171…
07-16 12:06:44	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x387c7f…
07-16 12:04:25	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x21fb63…
07-16 11:59:34	will msft reach 405 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3a6b77…
07-16 11:59:22	Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xe566fd…
07-16 11:59:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xb145fa…
07-16 11:58:50	will bytedance be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129416	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xd74ab0…
07-16 11:58:17	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x11ca2c…
07-16 11:56:43	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xfc8b56…
07-16 11:51:10	will abnb reach 156 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x48c491…
07-16 11:41:11	Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x03f66e…
07-16 11:33:14	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x1dbe75…
07-16 11:27:11	will bytedance be added to the chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706225129416	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xd2ac40…
07-16 11:23:13	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6e1020…
07-16 11:19:44	Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0xe9c8bd…
07-16 11:19:19	will ewy reach 184 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x57ba4c…
07-16 11:17:43	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0x163f79…
07-16 11:17:14	Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x2c7108…
07-16 11:15:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x305795…
07-16 11:12:14	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x35fe92…
07-16 11:07:11	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x56566b…
07-16 10:57:59	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x54d203…
07-16 10:57:28	Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?	Yes	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0xf9ba37…
07-16 10:54:20	Will Western Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x4aed5a…
07-16 10:52:31	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x71b987…
07-16 10:43:29	Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa95a98…
07-16 10:26:44	will us crude oil reserves fall to 350m by may 1 20260714141931929	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xd4f23b…
07-16 10:25:52	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xcfc16d…
07-16 10:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xa77da8…
07-16 10:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x3e4a25…
07-16 10:01:53	will taylor brown be evicted in big brother season 28 week 1 20260710020428909	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x8c2a57…
07-16 10:01:37	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x6e8a05…
07-16 09:55:25	will taylor brown be evicted in big brother season 28 week 1 20260710020428909	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x00c5d7…
07-16 09:44:41	Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xea2d34…
07-16 09:34:40	Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x872e63…
07-16 09:32:17	will msft reach 405 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xfe52f8…
07-16 09:26:47	Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xb3bedb…
07-16 09:26:32	Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x14db65…
07-16 09:22:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x5ceafa…
07-16 09:21:23	Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x7542bd…
07-16 09:17:50	Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x72df7b…
07-16 09:17:49	Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x559a85…
07-16 09:17:19	Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament	Yes	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0x830545…
07-16 09:09:56	wti closes above 77 on july 16 2026	No	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xfabafb…
07-16 09:09:22	Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xfe4016…
07-16 09:09:07	Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xad32fe…
07-16 09:06:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xde0f12…
07-16 09:03:55	Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x235543…
07-16 09:00:55	wti closes above 77 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x817ac9…
07-16 09:00:17	Will Oprah Winfrey be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x710347…
07-16 08:47:43	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x00fd95…
07-16 08:46:01	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x0a53c6…
07-16 08:42:55	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x35cd71…
07-16 08:41:16	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe1f585…
07-16 08:37:37	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xa94b87…
07-16 08:22:16	Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x5cbb38…
07-16 08:22:04	Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xbef19f…
07-16 08:21:34	will rklb reach 84 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x40193b…