Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$421

Unrealized P&L

-$215

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

$268

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 09-29 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

42% 50% -$209

Politics

23% 46% -$17

Sports

20% 54% +$193

Crypto

14% 0% -$384

Tech

1% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes		+1,093	$482	24¢	$268	-$215	09-29 18:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$1.8K	7,912	7,912	+0	No	-$384	03-23 16:42
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	5	$1.5K	1,994	901	+1,093	open	—	09-29 18:08
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1.0K	6,455	0	+6,455	No	-$1,020	02-23 00:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$867	644	644	+0	No	+$267	04-12 16:12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$734	523	523	+0	Yes	+$134	04-03 17:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$730	1,298	1,298	+0	No	-$426	09-15 22:44
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$547	935	935	+0	No	+$147	06-09 03:48
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$490	0	10,369	-10,369	No	+$490	02-22 23:31
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$455	355	355	+0	Yes	+$7	04-01 19:34
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	2	$420	600	600	+0	No	+$300	09-07 01:01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$363	526	526	+0	Yes	-$37	04-08 05:14
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$356	268	268	+0	No	+$56	04-12 16:12
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$334	278	278	+0	Yes	-$66	04-08 05:14
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$329	7,143	7,143	+0	No	+$129	07-04 18:58
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$319	238	238	+0	Yes	+$119	07-18 23:32
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?	2	$257	250	250	+0	Yes	+$197	08-28 02:50
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	1	$250	283	0	+283	No	+$33	03-24 05:16
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$250	290	0	+290	No	+$40	03-24 05:17
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$235	0	9,780	-9,780	No	+$235	02-22 23:31
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$213	0	871	-871	Yes	+$213	02-22 23:31
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$210	4,762	4,762	+0	No	+$10	07-04 18:58
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$200	494	0	+494	No	-$200	07-18 04:47
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	1	$200	488	0	+488	Yes	-$200	07-04 18:59
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	2	$195	238	238	+0	No	-$5	09-10 18:11
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$150	4,167	2,083	+2,083	No	-$50	07-04 18:58
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	2	$132	227	227	+0	No	+$32	09-10 18:11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$126	141	141	+0	No	+$26	09-10 18:11
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$125	853	0	+853	Yes	-$125	04-10 03:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$114	7,143	7,143	+0	No	-$86	09-14 20:15
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	11,111	0	+11,111	No	-$100	06-14 02:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 18:08:29	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	9¢	$12	0xc30e69…
09-15 22:46:27	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	961	49¢	$470	0x9d1738…
09-15 22:45:31	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	SELL	901	55¢	$496	0x60a6cd…
09-15 22:44:33	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	BUY	78	58¢	$45	0xde8663…
09-15 22:44:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	419	11¢	$46	0xae669c…
09-15 22:44:22	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	BUY	823	58¢	$477	0xc411ea…
09-14 20:20:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x09b114…
09-14 20:15:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	879	12¢	$106	0x7d6977…
09-14 20:15:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,143	0¢	$14	0x9db21a…
09-11 19:17:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x7619b7…
09-10 18:11:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	37¢	$48	0x4010ba…
09-10 18:11:27	Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	SELL	227	36¢	$82	0xafe666…
09-10 18:11:19	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	238	40¢	$95	0x555e72…
09-10 18:11:01	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	141	54¢	$76	0xf34c85…
09-09 14:00:31	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xc88b1b…
09-07 01:02:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x2f3d70…
09-07 01:01:48	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	600	60¢	$360	0xeea62a…
08-30 04:42:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	784	51¢	$400	0x993909…
08-28 02:57:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$70	0x287571…
08-28 02:52:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,143	1¢	$30	0x04d55d…
08-28 02:50:24	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	250	91¢	$227	0x407bc4…
08-27 23:57:36	Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0xed9c1d…
08-27 23:54:39	Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x170470…
08-27 23:50:19	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	113	26¢	$30	0xc665eb…
08-27 23:49:48	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x8b3378…
08-27 23:49:46	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x8fd3e7…
08-27 04:24:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	5¢	$10	0x35e7cf…
08-27 04:23:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	245	10¢	$25	0x1f71e8…
08-27 04:23:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?	No	BUY	170	15¢	$25	0xbc5b46…
08-27 04:23:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	242	10¢	$25	0x9558c2…
08-27 04:13:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	141	35¢	$50	0xbf0342…
08-05 23:59:41	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	600	10¢	$60	0xfa82fc…
07-18 23:33:18	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	149	7¢	$10	0xd0867f…
07-18 23:32:00	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	238	92¢	$219	0x0f13a4…
07-18 04:50:39	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xcbe9a0…
07-18 04:47:58	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	494	40¢	$200	0x9b4699…
07-04 18:59:46	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0x278027…
07-04 18:58:55	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,083	2¢	$50	0x1815db…
07-04 18:58:28	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,762	2¢	$110	0x454b03…
07-04 18:58:25	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7,143	3¢	$229	0x0a27e8…
06-15 01:58:03	Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16,667	0¢	$50	0x3fe130…
06-14 02:28:34	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11,111	1¢	$100	0xc5e176…
06-14 02:28:24	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,143	1¢	$100	0x6842ab…
06-14 02:28:03	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,762	2¢	$100	0x85f2a2…
06-14 02:27:49	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,167	2¢	$100	0xfba3f4…
06-09 03:48:31	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	694	10¢	$68	0xb2d51e…
06-09 03:48:28	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	935	37¢	$347	0x5de039…
06-08 22:57:04	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	935	21¢	$200	0xc6dde8…
04-17 15:12:36	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x3d3275…
04-12 16:12:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	268	77¢	$206	0xb61665…
04-12 16:12:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	644	88¢	$567	0x53d4f7…
04-10 03:25:53	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	353	7¢	$25	0x0e0de9…
04-10 03:23:09	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	268	56¢	$150	0xfb6919…
04-08 19:15:09	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x9283cd…
04-08 05:14:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	526	31¢	$163	0xc8c32f…
04-08 05:14:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	278	48¢	$134	0x90f8e1…
04-08 00:22:17	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0xe4ce8e…
04-08 00:21:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x4086ee…
04-08 00:19:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	644	47¢	$300	0xc1d4e9…
04-03 17:51:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	523	83¢	$434	0x98b338…
04-02 01:47:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x304c5e…
04-01 19:38:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x5b4060…
04-01 19:34:39	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	355	65¢	$231	0x7d8281…
03-24 05:18:13	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	355	63¢	$224	0xae4afc…
03-24 05:17:49	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	290	86¢	$250	0xbb5d0a…
03-24 05:16:43	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	BUY	283	88¢	$250	0x50f646…
03-23 16:42:41	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	7,912	9¢	$724	0x004d46…
03-21 18:15:25	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	7,912	14¢	$1,108	0x113a2c…
02-23 00:08:40	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6,455	16¢	$1,020	0xd5bde1…
02-22 23:31:52	will chlo zhao win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	2,209	1¢	$22	0x933711…
02-22 23:31:48	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	611	10¢	$61	0x1fbb54…
02-22 23:31:46	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	871	24¢	$213	0xd7f121…
02-22 23:31:42	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	9,780	2¢	$235	0xe72f0f…
02-22 23:31:40	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	10,369	5¢	$490	0x96d0ad…