Inborn-Constraint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$209

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

1,237

Trades

4,171

lifetime

Volume

$8.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 10-29 00:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 192 days

Categories

Other

93% 35% +$228

Crypto

5% 63% +$31

Politics

1% 0% -$20

Sports

1% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 27?	8	$311	400	400	+0	Yes	-$25	06-27 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 2?	18	$134	270	270	+0	No	+$26	04-30 17:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	13	$118	259	259	+0	Yes	+$14	04-30 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on April 28?	12	$90	122	101	+21	No	-$2	04-27 07:37
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 3?	4	$85	151	151	+0	Yes	+$21	05-01 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 4?	11	$80	139	139	+0	No	+$15	07-03 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 6?	14	$77	118	118	+0	Yes	+$14	07-06 11:43
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6?	6	$71	73	73	+0	Yes	+$16	05-05 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on May 3?	5	$71	126	126	+0	No	+$18	05-02 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?	5	$71	40	40	+0	Yes	+$7	08-31 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?	7	$62	40	40	+0	Yes	+$18	10-20 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?	8	$60	35	35	+0	Yes	+$8	09-01 05:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3?	16	$58	50	50	+0	Yes	+$40	09-03 08:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 2?	11	$57	201	201	+0	No	-$5	04-30 16:53
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 9?	14	$57	291	143	+147	No	-$14	07-09 18:23
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?	4	$54	55	55	+0	Yes	+$1	07-03 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 12?	9	$53	108	108	+0	No	+$9	05-11 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	5	$52	40	40	+0	Yes	+$27	10-21 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	12	$51	73	71	+3	No	+$6	04-27 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	5	$47	30	30	+0	Yes	+$11	10-26 07:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$45	50	50	+0	No	-$19	03-05 17:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?	3	$45	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-13 00:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?	7	$44	30	30	+0	Yes	+$14	09-20 06:17
will new zealand win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	3	$44	110	130	-20	No	-$30	03-08 15:52
highest temperature in paris on february 27 2026 14corbelow	6	$43	94	100	-6	No	+$6	02-27 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 25?	9	$42	90	90	+0	No	+$23	05-25 02:16
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 11?	5	$41	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 16?	10	$41	28	28	+0	No	+$1	09-16 05:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	3	$41	30	30	+0	Yes	+$18	10-14 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?	2	$41	100	100	+0	Yes	+$9	05-11 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb370d8…
10-29 00:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x81373d…
10-28 21:55:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf03d71…
10-28 21:52:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8acd4f…
10-28 21:51:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x47d622…
10-28 21:11:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x864710…
10-28 21:11:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0xfa3bab…
10-28 17:17:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x359db9…
10-28 17:17:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x78e1c6…
10-28 17:14:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa17266…
10-28 17:14:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x842bf6…
10-28 17:04:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x367aa7…
10-28 16:57:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe87495…
10-28 16:34:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x004b82…
10-28 16:09:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xec975f…
10-28 14:48:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x5c9951…
10-28 14:48:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x32593f…
10-28 14:48:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x260c6e…
10-28 14:48:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x169691…
10-28 14:48:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x14fb7b…
10-28 13:33:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x21a122…
10-28 10:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x42bfae…
10-28 09:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xabba54…
10-28 07:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x9a22dc…
10-28 06:23:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9d8267…
10-28 05:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x83393e…
10-28 05:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x878cf6…
10-28 05:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xed75ed…
10-28 04:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x6d1782…
10-28 04:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x2ec6a9…
10-28 04:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd7f913…
10-28 04:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x6d7766…
10-28 03:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa16571…
10-28 03:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1bad94…
10-28 03:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb21c80…
10-28 02:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xfb6e07…
10-28 02:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb696f7…
10-28 00:40:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x671bbc…
10-27 23:02:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x2ee80c…
10-27 22:36:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xea5e3e…
10-27 20:10:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x170ef6…
10-27 20:07:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa01cdc…
10-27 18:37:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x29594a…
10-27 17:03:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xdf7a91…
10-27 17:03:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x92ef71…
10-27 16:56:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x13d8dd…
10-27 16:55:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x2086ef…
10-27 16:55:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x3de6bb…
10-27 15:39:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x830ead…
10-27 14:53:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x6d2c66…
10-27 14:45:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3c3271…
10-27 10:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0xd2b15b…
10-27 10:03:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x2f1c9c…
10-27 09:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xfa897e…
10-27 09:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xdfbcb9…
10-27 06:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0xab78fa…
10-27 06:50:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd4b65b…
10-27 06:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xcd8e2b…
10-27 06:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1b2213…
10-27 06:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x1ed3eb…
10-27 05:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xbcbd1b…
10-27 05:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x80c8a2…
10-27 05:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x704eeb…
10-27 05:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x48e4ca…
10-27 05:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x88f018…
10-27 05:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x511d20…
10-27 04:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x991ae6…
10-27 04:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x974859…
10-27 03:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x26b413…
10-27 03:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfb4837…
10-27 03:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6c1a3e…
10-27 02:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x2b0ffa…
10-27 02:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x4d6453…
10-27 02:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7d20b6…
10-27 02:08:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x1bd89a…
10-27 02:05:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x111eaa…
10-27 02:04:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x27497a…
10-27 02:03:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x27e91e…
10-27 01:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xe77129…
10-27 01:53:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x672b77…
10-27 01:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0242dd…
10-27 01:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xa671b5…
10-27 01:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xf1b98a…
10-26 07:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xd56a00…
10-26 07:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x73e1de…
10-26 07:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe92416…
10-26 06:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x3ec82f…
10-26 05:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x21d79e…
10-26 05:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xe369c0…
10-26 05:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1a7f0a…
10-26 05:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x1fd5ac…
10-26 05:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8c7606…
10-26 05:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x2c623d…
10-26 04:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xc81965…
10-26 04:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x03788c…
10-26 03:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x07713b…
10-26 03:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb93147…
10-26 03:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x191528…
10-26 03:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x942925…
10-26 03:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xb68ff9…