Long-Signature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$748

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

416

Trades

1,053

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-26 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

64% 76% -$701

Crypto

14% 30% +$68

Politics

13% 68% +$18

Sports

7% 65% -$156

Tech

1% 40% -$19

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	10	$1.1K	998	998	+0	Yes	+$15	02-04 18:14
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$998	3,687	3,687	+0	Yes	-$366	02-03 23:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$400	205	205	+0	No	+$0	05-02 17:59
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	3	$325	202	202	+0	No	+$68	02-10 08:40
will ethereum dip to 2400 in october 2026	2	$314	240	240	+0	Yes	+$122	10-14 21:25
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$301	198	198	+0	Yes	+$1	02-20 20:14
Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	3	$250	271	0	+271	open	—	10-25 16:29
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	2	$248	130	130	+0	No	+$9	01-31 15:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$228	130	130	+0	No	+$25	05-30 17:35
Will "Loser - Tame Impala" be the #2 song this week?	6	$226	256	0	+256	Yes	+$30	08-28 13:43
will jurassic world rebirth be the 2 global netflix movie this week	11	$221	125	125	+0	Yes	+$21	03-10 08:36
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 16	2	$218	118	118	+0	Yes	+$6	01-16 14:00
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	3	$217	157	75	+82	Usyk	+$4	05-23 20:57
will m3gan 2pt0 be the top us netflix movie this week february 3	2	$201	143	143	+0	No	-$56	02-01 12:01
will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top us netflix movie this week	3	$194	263	114	+149	No	-$91	03-22 17:54
will the addams family be the 2 global netflix movie this week	2	$193	108	108	+0	No	-$1	03-02 15:05
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 10	2	$190	188	188	+0	No	-$129	03-10 14:02
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	4	$188	108	108	+0	No	+$2	02-16 20:41
Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	6	$158	228	85	+143	No	-$102	09-11 05:52
Will "The Crash" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	4	$156	115	43	+72	Yes	+$1	05-26 20:33
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	8	$153	147	147	+0	open	—	10-24 21:23
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 20	23	$150	564	544	+20	No	+$46	03-20 11:24
will tyler perrys joes college road trip be the top us netflix movie this week 115	4	$148	138	48	+90	Yes	+$1	02-22 13:33
Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	12	$148	206	0	+206	Yes	-$148	09-07 09:49
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	2	$145	77	77	+0	Under	+$8	05-23 20:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$145	263	263	+0	open	—	09-03 21:57
dota2 liquid heroic 2026 04 21	2	$139	71	71	+0	Team Liquid	+$2	04-21 08:59
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	2	$138	77	77	+0	Houston Astros	-$1	05-23 20:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$131	87	87	+0	No	-$1	06-01 12:54
Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$130	116	114	+2	No	+$3	04-29 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:43:23	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	254	1¢	$2	0x3a5c6f…
10-25 16:29:20	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	214	93¢	$199	0x0a19e5…
10-25 11:05:23	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x45ed87…
10-25 11:00:15	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x495c67…
10-25 02:01:08	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe09983…
10-25 01:31:33	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc313b3…
10-25 00:18:41	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x89433d…
10-24 21:25:09	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x2b613d…
10-24 21:23:14	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	115	30¢	$35	0x1980c5…
10-24 13:10:36	Will OpenRouter process less than 175T tokens the week of October 26?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x19884b…
10-24 12:37:03	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x011097…
10-24 09:18:30	Will "Gladiator II" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x6a6e59…
10-23 16:54:11	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x671f02…
10-23 15:32:53	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe77c21…
10-23 14:43:14	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x94d3d1…
10-23 14:27:56	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xd626b1…
10-23 13:43:42	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x1cf6b1…
10-23 13:38:17	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x433daf…
10-23 13:27:27	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0xa0cb4c…
10-23 13:22:47	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0xa0fe23…
10-23 13:10:39	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x390c83…
10-23 07:30:02	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x08d9b2…
10-22 18:59:56	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x60aa03…
10-22 09:44:08	Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x77b649…
10-22 09:43:45	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x8f32f4…
10-22 09:35:44	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x6d4cd8…
10-22 09:31:53	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$26	0x674722…
10-20 17:41:03	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xaeef58…
10-20 15:22:51	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0xa9cf84…
10-20 08:34:14	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xf85c7b…
10-20 08:00:17	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x13e207…
10-19 19:32:18	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xcde451…
10-19 19:32:18	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x6915eb…
10-19 15:44:30	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x32dc79…
10-19 15:19:14	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xc0e601…
10-18 19:45:45	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xc784e6…
10-17 13:22:57	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x707d98…
10-17 13:19:53	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xd12154…
10-17 13:17:29	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x1319a2…
10-17 10:16:50	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0x471b65…
10-17 01:46:26	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x432e57…
10-16 17:28:26	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xdd0b05…
10-16 14:59:13	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xdd562f…
10-15 21:13:27	Will "Transformers One" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x95e052…
10-15 14:48:50	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0x33bab4…
10-15 10:32:43	Will "Transformers One" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x8831cf…
10-14 21:29:27	will bitcoin dip to 80k october 12 18 2026	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x259b8b…
10-14 21:25:04	will ethereum dip to 2400 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	240	91¢	$218	0xc7a7e1…
10-14 16:42:16	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x2961d6…
10-14 14:58:45	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 14 2026	Yes	SELL	27	46¢	$12	0x7107aa…
10-14 14:00:00	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 song this week?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x55e1dd…
10-14 08:30:19	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x73d172…
10-14 08:30:10	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x395291…
10-14 03:28:28	Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xb00d58…
10-13 09:49:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x97394f…
10-13 09:48:32	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x389b5e…
10-12 18:41:36	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xb2d253…
10-11 12:07:31	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xfd3b5d…
10-11 11:54:57	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x623bce…
10-10 16:36:15	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xda82e4…
10-10 16:36:15	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$9	0x928ac7…
10-10 14:49:54	Will "Doing Life" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x3a7b08…
10-09 15:27:39	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$9	0xc00c70…
10-09 14:35:16	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6e932b…
10-09 14:35:15	Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x29c15a…
10-09 11:35:43	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x933c0d…
10-09 11:35:43	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x676b2c…
10-09 11:35:43	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	18	94¢	$16	0x1355a2…
10-09 11:27:01	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x29821b…
10-09 11:25:34	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x64b6d3…
10-08 00:12:52	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x93c60f…
10-07 16:51:59	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0xba7688…
10-07 16:51:40	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x4ede12…
10-07 16:50:38	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	Yes	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xeb705b…
10-07 10:50:30	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3a17ed…
10-06 03:10:30	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x639634…
10-05 16:33:16	Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x8c9712…
10-05 16:01:37	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xafa7d3…
10-05 15:43:19	Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x4ca3e9…
10-05 10:08:04	Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x0e0e04…
10-05 08:50:37	Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x4ab3f3…
10-04 16:37:23	Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xd3789f…
10-04 13:24:08	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xcbeced…
10-04 13:19:25	Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x152fc4…
10-04 13:01:05	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	SELL	68	32¢	$22	0x0cd202…
10-04 13:00:55	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	69	35¢	$24	0x9d1d9a…
10-04 12:55:25	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x115f96…
10-04 12:54:59	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	68	33¢	$22	0xd40227…
10-04 10:07:22	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0xc9c0c5…
10-03 20:24:59	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0x7ab8f1…
10-03 19:07:42	Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x64f61e…
10-03 15:41:21	Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x19ceb3…
10-01 21:56:06	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x35cef5…
10-01 21:52:23	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0xe317eb…
10-01 14:05:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	240	40¢	$96	0x34c37c…
10-01 14:05:21	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	254	41¢	$104	0xd9c929…
10-01 13:48:47	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 2?	Yes	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x31a305…
10-01 12:14:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	78	25¢	$19	0x7d0768…
10-01 12:14:39	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	75	31¢	$23	0x91ad7f…
10-01 08:58:12	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	75	30¢	$22	0x5c5151…