Long-Signature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

Trades

480

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-05 13:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Politics

22% 0% $-0

Crypto

9% 100% +$3

Sports

9% 0% $-44

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+40	$2	4¢	$2	$-0	06-04 22:15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	+65	$2	2¢	$2	$-0	06-04 21:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	+8	$2	20¢	$2	$-1	06-05 10:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	10	$1.1K	998	998	+0	open	—	02-04 18:14
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$998	3,687	3,687	+0	open	—	02-03 23:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$400	205	205	+0	open	—	05-02 17:59
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	3	$325	202	202	+0	open	—	02-10 08:40
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$301	198	198	+0	open	—	02-20 20:14
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	2	$248	130	130	+0	open	—	01-31 15:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$228	130	130	+0	open	—	05-30 17:35
will jurassic world rebirth be the 2 global netflix movie this week	11	$221	125	125	+0	open	—	03-10 08:36
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 16	2	$218	118	118	+0	open	—	01-16 14:00
will m3gan 2pt0 be the top us netflix movie this week february 3	2	$201	143	143	+0	open	—	02-01 12:01
will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top us netflix movie this week	3	$194	263	114	+149	open	—	03-22 17:54
will the addams family be the 2 global netflix movie this week	2	$193	108	108	+0	open	—	03-02 15:05
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 10	2	$190	188	188	+0	open	—	03-10 14:02
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	4	$188	108	108	+0	open	—	02-16 20:41
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 20	23	$150	564	544	+20	open	—	03-20 11:24
will tyler perrys joes college road trip be the top us netflix movie this week 115	4	$148	138	48	+90	open	—	02-22 13:33
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	2	$141	75	75	+0	open	—	05-23 19:59
dota2 liquid heroic 2026 04 21	2	$139	71	71	+0	open	—	04-21 08:59
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	2	$138	77	77	+0	open	—	05-23 20:00
Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$130	116	114	+2	No	+$3	04-29 14:00
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5	2	$128	125	125	+0	open	—	05-30 22:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$124	62	62	+0	No	$-0	05-05 12:54
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	7	$122	78	78	+0	open	—	05-16 23:13
will the dinosaurs be the top us netflix show this week	2	$120	134	134	+0	open	—	03-08 15:37
Pharos FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$119	308	308	+0	open	—	04-25 09:15
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$116	3,678	3,678	+0	open	—	03-22 12:13
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week	2	$115	65	65	+0	open	—	03-14 11:45
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$110	119	0	+119	open	—	01-18 09:19
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$106	385	0	+385	open	—	06-01 09:58
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$106	110	0	+110	open	—	01-16 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:41:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x860546…
06-05 10:28:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa2b9b0…
06-05 09:40:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xdee136…
06-05 09:28:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x134aa9…
06-05 09:17:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x4719b5…
06-05 06:52:36	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0xdbb9ae…
06-05 06:18:34	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x98cc83…
06-04 22:15:22	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xabf0b0…
06-04 21:54:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x59aa1d…
06-04 21:46:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2ada19…
06-04 21:38:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0xd6c78b…
06-01 12:54:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x370d93…
06-01 09:58:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	385	27¢	$106	0x90741e…
06-01 08:51:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x0095a4…
06-01 08:29:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7598f2…
06-01 08:28:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x7be170…
05-30 23:25:57	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xa029ee…
05-30 22:09:22	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xfede9a…
05-30 22:06:27	Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5	Under	SELL	125	23¢	$29	0xfb8213…
05-30 21:34:24	Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	125	79¢	$99	0xb62dc0…
05-30 21:29:54	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	41	65¢	$27	0x3f5ab5…
05-30 17:35:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	130	97¢	$127	0x8206dc…
05-28 23:15:38	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0x1935c3…
05-28 22:27:58	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa23d56…
05-28 18:04:46	Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xd02617…
05-27 21:58:02	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xd96ce1…
05-27 08:25:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	78¢	$101	0x8707f1…
05-26 21:08:26	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	43	60¢	$26	0x71144e…
05-25 22:54:37	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0x6d617c…
05-24 23:58:43	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbdc664…
05-24 23:57:28	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa2f179…
05-24 23:56:53	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x512d81…
05-23 20:01:03	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	77	89¢	$68	0x4462de…
05-23 20:00:42	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	Houston Astros	SELL	77	90¢	$69	0x6c3e30…
05-23 20:00:07	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	Houston Astros	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0x0f0f85…
05-23 19:59:37	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	75	93¢	$70	0xb5c0a8…
05-23 19:47:36	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	75	94¢	$71	0x1e1b2c…
05-22 20:27:36	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4202f1…
05-22 20:25:20	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaaebb8…
05-22 20:24:32	Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x78b96e…
05-22 20:23:49	Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9f87ae…
05-22 19:01:28	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x55553f…
05-21 22:38:27	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xcd2cbc…
05-21 20:51:37	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xa3202e…
05-21 16:04:27	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x76de17…
05-21 15:56:55	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xaf9d00…
05-21 15:49:18	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3c1203…
05-20 23:07:42	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8b9997…
05-20 21:26:50	Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals	Boston Red Sox	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc3076e…
05-20 21:25:44	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x511c3f…
05-20 21:25:07	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8407c2…
05-20 15:13:00	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x6fe73e…
05-20 14:03:44	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Thunder	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x2befd7…
05-20 14:02:24	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Thunder	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x91f8a3…
05-20 14:02:10	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2d6b4d…
05-19 21:25:13	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbaa258…
05-19 21:23:23	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4401e5…
05-19 21:22:11	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe4cf92…
05-19 14:32:58	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5fdae9…
05-18 21:33:06	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x843662…
05-17 15:51:59	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0cf239…
05-17 13:35:08	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xff5ded…
05-17 13:34:17	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf00790…
05-17 13:33:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x811bd2…
05-17 09:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	SELL	61	56¢	$34	0x314ab6…
05-17 08:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	BUY	61	59¢	$36	0x0ed2bf…
05-16 23:14:57	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x0e377d…
05-16 23:13:57	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd3f08d…
05-16 23:13:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x397f9a…
05-16 23:13:15	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Daniel Santos	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x2a98be…
05-16 23:12:40	UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	Khaos Williams	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x67136e…
05-16 23:11:15	UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)	Luis Gurule	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x99e017…
05-16 20:22:48	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6e7357…
05-16 20:22:31	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x49fdaf…
05-16 20:09:48	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x7bfa5c…
05-16 20:07:02	UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)	Luis Gurule	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe7312e…
05-15 21:32:30	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	42	73¢	$30	0x5a1081…
05-15 07:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	31	76¢	$23	0xf24550…
05-14 21:35:29	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x604e10…
05-14 19:45:14	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5	Over	SELL	84	18¢	$15	0x7cb842…
05-14 18:59:41	Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	84	84¢	$71	0x792949…
05-14 08:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	71	79¢	$56	0x08cd82…
05-13 20:57:14	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	71	62¢	$44	0x21c56c…
05-13 09:11:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x49f848…
05-12 22:01:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf07e1b…
05-12 22:00:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x904c36…
05-12 21:56:53	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0x14e46b…
05-12 21:56:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xf0f591…
05-12 08:52:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x8e2363…
05-05 12:54:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x23449e…
05-05 08:34:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x52b373…
05-05 01:36:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x5fc801…
05-04 18:43:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	63	76¢	$48	0x856348…
05-04 15:43:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x53e385…
05-04 13:59:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	70	79¢	$55	0x1aa09a…
05-03 20:51:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb7bc13…
05-03 13:33:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xa845fc…
05-03 13:33:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$13	0x22e4c6…
05-03 10:44:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x175188…
05-02 17:59:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	205	98¢	$200	0x928832…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	69	$165.5K	13,510	06-09 23:36
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	62	$107.8K	8,172	06-01 04:20
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	62	$7.59K	1,420	06-07 23:43
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	59	$176.4K	2,156	06-08 22:26
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	57	$358.6K	5,712	06-09 21:50
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	57	$41.5K	4,082	03-28 06:05
Sorrowful-Bellows 0xa9f5…937f	52	$12.2K	483	05-30 22:25
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	51	$19.5K	5,759	06-09 23:12