Fearful-Leisure-Many — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved (30d)

134

Trades (30d)

268

319 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$184

$256 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 11-08 11:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

59% 17% -$6

Crypto

41% 17% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 8?	Yes	+5	$0	2¢	$0	$0	11-08 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 8?	Yes	+10	$0	0¢	$0	$0	11-08 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 8?	Yes	+10	$0	0¢	$0	$0	11-08 11:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	5	$25	80	80	+0	No	+$22	11-02 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	7	$15	21	21	+0	Down	+$11	05-11 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8AM ET	4	$8	35	35	+0	Down	+$2	10-31 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 4?	5	$7	20	20	+0	No	+$2	11-04 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET	3	$7	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	10-31 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$2	11-01 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 4?	3	$6	15	15	+0	No	+$2	11-04 17:08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2?	3	$5	14	14	+0	No	+$3	11-02 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$5	62	0	+62	Up	-$5	05-12 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11AM ET	5	$5	253	0	+253	Up	-$5	10-31 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$5	56	0	+56	Down	-$5	05-12 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	Up	-$5	05-12 12:46
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 5?	3	$5	20	0	+20	No	-$5	11-05 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 4?	6	$5	15	15	+0	Yes	$0	11-04 17:56
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 31?	2	$5	7	7	+0	Yes	+$3	10-31 17:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	2	$5	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	11-04 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 2?	2	$4	6	6	+0	Yes	+$2	11-02 18:37
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1?	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	11-01 16:40
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 31?	2	$4	6	6	+0	No	+$2	10-31 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on November 5?	3	$4	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	11-05 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6AM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	10-31 10:48
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 6?	2	$3	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	11-06 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on November 2?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	11-02 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$3	35	0	+35	Down	-$3	05-11 20:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on November 4?	2	$3	10	10	+0	No	+$2	11-04 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 31?	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	+$1	10-31 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 5?	4	$3	30	0	+30	No	-$3	11-05 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	10-31 17:38
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 3?	2	$2	15	0	+15	No	-$2	11-03 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$2	5	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-11 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 11:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xc93c49…
11-08 11:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x7c1d58…
11-08 09:46:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xfdb372…
11-08 09:40:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x22f339…
11-08 08:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x59e03f…
11-06 08:44:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6e2819…
11-06 08:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x10f926…
11-06 08:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xb0c58a…
11-06 08:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd3e2d7…
11-06 08:15:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x9d106c…
11-06 08:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf58ef3…
11-06 07:54:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf373f7…
11-06 07:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x9a38bf…
11-06 07:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xafc2ab…
11-06 07:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 6?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xa119fb…
11-05 11:02:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x6ca1b4…
11-05 09:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x18b408…
11-05 09:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x9360e1…
11-05 09:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x708fba…
11-05 09:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x7d76a0…
11-05 09:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x15e665…
11-05 09:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3ba93c…
11-05 08:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe7d886…
11-05 08:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xfeb39e…
11-05 08:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xe21820…
11-05 08:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x0c4814…
11-05 08:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x050fe3…
11-04 22:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xb63e5a…
11-04 22:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1fe9d9…
11-04 19:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x16a2b5…
11-04 19:06:22	highest temperature in los angeles on november 6 2026 76 77f	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x2d214f…
11-04 17:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x3dd115…
11-04 17:49:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xacc38d…
11-04 17:49:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x24acae…
11-04 17:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x321db7…
11-04 17:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0xb0197d…
11-04 16:07:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe340d4…
11-04 15:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x690029…
11-04 14:18:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x094bde…
11-04 13:09:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x21772b…
11-04 12:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xaa20d1…
11-04 11:00:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xff9a75…
11-04 10:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xfeae9a…
11-04 10:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x2ea1c8…
11-04 10:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x576cdc…
11-04 09:51:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xc72fcb…
11-04 09:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x00edc7…
11-04 09:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 6?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x04363b…
11-04 09:23:36	highest temperature in nyc on november 6 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3ccbb3…
11-04 09:08:28	highest temperature in london on november 6 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xaa3fb6…
11-04 09:06:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd10262…
11-04 09:06:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x5babba…
11-04 09:06:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x05724b…
11-04 09:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0c0b1d…
11-04 08:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaf2ca3…
11-04 08:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x2f804d…
11-04 08:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x932516…
11-04 08:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xce803e…
11-04 08:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x47f547…
11-04 08:06:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd7062d…
11-04 08:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x791be8…
11-04 07:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4bca3e…
11-04 07:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x31bcb8…
11-04 07:53:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x9ab5c6…
11-04 07:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x63a50a…
11-04 07:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9791e5…
11-04 07:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x166e02…
11-03 20:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on November 3?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xbbbc72…
11-03 20:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on November 3?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3bc5a0…
11-03 19:56:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x22fed8…
11-03 19:55:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9875fd…
11-03 18:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 3?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x5b78bd…
11-03 11:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xeacf55…
11-03 11:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x831d4b…
11-03 11:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc8ec0b…
11-03 09:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x52a858…
11-03 09:18:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x518a01…
11-03 09:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xd2c01f…
11-03 09:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x40c6b6…
11-03 09:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x1cfb04…
11-03 09:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x0151ca…
11-03 08:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc2cad4…
11-03 08:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x21ff70…
11-03 08:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf7d5e9…
11-03 08:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x746c5e…
11-03 08:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe3c156…
11-03 08:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd22420…
11-03 07:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x297b63…
11-03 07:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0407ed…
11-03 07:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on November 3?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x46244b…
11-03 07:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3eab4c…
11-03 07:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x649dca…
11-03 07:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on November 3?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xb9d61e…
11-03 07:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on November 3?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x329145…
11-03 06:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf1d80a…
11-03 06:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xda4c36…
11-03 06:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe3fb1c…
11-03 05:23:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x985b39…
11-03 05:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x612414…
11-03 05:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd14442…