Menacing-Dogwood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-07 10:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 67% +$5

Other

50% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes		-6	$-5	72¢	$-5	+$0	05-07 05:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No		+6	$2	28¢	$2	$-0	05-06 18:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	05-07 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	+$3	05-07 05:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-06 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-07 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-06 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	+$3	05-06 17:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 10:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x04ed7b…
05-07 05:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xd4ef01…
05-07 05:33:14	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x0eb737…
05-06 18:24:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0fe37d…
05-06 18:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5f90a8…
05-06 17:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xceeeb3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	4	$1.60K	46	05-07 10:14
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$1.46K	35	05-07 10:15
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	4	$1.16K	27	05-07 10:12
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	4	$848	79	05-07 10:11