Mature-Revitalization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

798

Trades

1,447

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-23 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Other

42% 36% +$82

Sports

35% 36% -$449

Crypto

14% 53% +$19

Politics

8% 46% +$338

Tech

0% 33% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		-20	-$12	4¢	$-1	+$11	05-09 05:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get at least 150m views in its first 7 days	17	$2.3K	1,260	1,260	+0	No	+$16	02-11 05:16
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	40	$2.0K	2,302	2,302	+0	Yes	+$186	02-15 09:43
will mrbeasts next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1 387	12	$1.1K	1,071	1,043	+28	No	-$4	01-10 09:00
over 200m hyperliquid buybacks in q1	5	$686	400	400	+0	No	-$14	02-20 17:27
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	12	$547	1,001	1,001	+0	No	-$271	02-10 21:28
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 125m and 150m views in its first 7 days	13	$417	792	792	+0	No	-$195	02-10 15:38
will mrbeasts next video get 110 million or more views on week 1 294	4	$411	211	211	+0	No	+$11	01-25 20:36
bitcoin up or down on january 23	2	$391	300	300	+0	Up	-$41	01-23 08:35
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 697	3	$340	200	230	-30	No	+$4	01-11 10:57
will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	8	$273	230	230	+0	No	-$8	02-25 11:16
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 867	5	$223	150	150	+0	No	+$19	01-31 13:42
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 50m and 75m views in its first 7 days	33	$205	1,861	850	+1,011	No	-$140	02-10 16:12
will mrbeasts next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1 217	2	$189	100	100	+0	No	+$11	01-28 07:20
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	6	$187	150	150	+0	Yes	-$27	02-15 05:52
will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	5	$142	170	170	+0	Yes	+$39	02-23 21:22
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	2	$120	100	100	+0	Yes	+$80	02-08 14:38
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 595	4	$116	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	01-27 18:27
will the dhs shutdown end between february 24 27 2026	2	$89	200	200	+0	No	-$11	02-16 08:06
will mrbeasts latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1 366	2	$83	50	50	+0	Yes	-$3	02-23 16:45
epl wol ars 2026 02 18 btts	6	$82	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	02-18 19:54
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	8	$76	70	70	+0	open	—	10-02 08:08
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 348	5	$60	20	120	-100	Yes	-$60	01-10 08:18
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	2	$57	100	0	+100	No	-$57	02-07 20:50
will the bad bunny apple music super bowl halftime show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1	2	$57	35	35	+0	No	+$11	02-10 02:54
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	3	$56	100	0	+100	Yes	-$56	02-16 05:11
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$56	50	50	+0	No	+$22	02-09 20:49
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?	3	$54	41	41	+0	No	+$19	06-01 05:56
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	9	$54	500	400	+100	No	+$52	02-08 04:01
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	5	$54	95	0	+95	Yes	+$42	05-01 11:50
sea sas ver 2026 02 20 sas	2	$50	90	0	+90	Yes	+$40	02-20 18:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 19:30:57	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x3b7e3c…
10-21 15:39:59	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x5bc7a6…
10-16 09:29:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x5393a9…
10-16 04:30:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7ef2d0…
10-16 04:08:58	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x62d549…
10-15 17:50:56	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xb9156c…
10-15 07:20:29	will taylor swifts monthly listeners figure hit 110m by october 31	Yes	SELL	65	3¢	$2	0x4bbdde…
10-15 05:09:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xab7fba…
10-14 20:45:28	will trump say hell 14 times during his midterm rally in arizona	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xc9569a…
10-14 20:15:52	will trump say hormuz during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x762bbe…
10-14 20:15:52	will trump say hormuz during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x5644ca…
10-14 20:03:18	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x7db411…
10-14 16:48:49	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xeee360…
10-14 09:51:26	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0xb65623…
10-13 20:59:06	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x7b6f1a…
10-13 08:21:59	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xa72dbb…
10-13 08:21:29	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xbc846c…
10-08 05:37:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x21ef62…
10-08 05:11:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x518306…
10-08 05:08:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xca70ae…
10-08 05:08:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x56dbdc…
10-08 05:02:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xb9203e…
10-08 04:59:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x16c770…
10-06 03:59:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x537c7b…
10-05 23:44:22	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xbf342f…
10-05 23:39:59	Will Trump say "Maduro" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	No	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xd038f5…
10-05 23:28:43	Will Trump say "Independent" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	No	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x369853…
10-05 15:12:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0cf05d…
10-05 15:06:28	Will Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x77ac73…
10-04 13:46:19	Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x88ddf3…
10-04 12:11:50	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xedbc11…
10-04 11:51:13	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xced2b3…
10-04 11:28:58	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x787fe0…
10-04 11:04:13	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xec665b…
10-04 11:01:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd9d34f…
10-04 10:43:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x02ec70…
10-04 10:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x28279f…
10-04 05:58:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x36366b…
10-04 05:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaff4bc…
10-04 01:41:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x46adc0…
10-03 23:52:55	Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x431cf8…
10-03 15:32:57	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xd00afb…
10-03 14:37:50	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x458524…
10-03 14:32:48	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6dfe42…
10-03 14:08:18	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x52e1cd…
10-03 11:19:32	will trump say border 20 during his midterm rally in ohio october 3	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xb2860f…
10-03 06:55:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xae76db…
10-03 06:11:45	will trump say joe 10 during his midterm rally in ohio october 3	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x062a46…
10-03 04:09:05	will trump say joe 10 during his midterm rally in ohio october 3	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe9d164…
10-03 03:23:30	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x324d4a…
10-03 02:21:59	Will Trump say "Honda" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x433b98…
10-03 01:38:18	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xad2b86…
10-03 00:23:54	Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0x4bc700…
10-02 17:25:41	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xbbee40…
10-02 14:30:33	Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x943d3e…
10-02 11:03:03	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x193c1b…
10-02 10:03:50	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0xbbf354…
10-02 09:18:50	Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his rally in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x043fab…
10-02 08:44:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xed0c5e…
10-02 08:43:32	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by October 31?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xcf775e…
10-02 08:28:53	Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his rally in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa4f0d3…
10-02 08:24:14	will trump say si during his midterm rally in alabama october 2	No	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xedb14a…
10-02 08:20:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xce1644…
10-02 08:08:44	will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xaf58c2…
10-02 08:06:59	Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xea26c8…
10-02 08:01:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa8cd1a…
10-02 08:00:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 2?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x859842…
10-02 08:00:47	Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf2eb33…
10-02 07:51:44	wti closes above 92 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x246a5e…
10-02 07:46:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x3628ef…
10-02 07:42:24	will trump say job 15 times during his midterm rally in alabama october 2	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa2c542…
10-02 07:37:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	36¢	$10	0x71be17…
10-02 06:54:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x5cf45a…
10-02 02:40:59	Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during his rally in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xbd76a3…
10-02 01:18:47	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his rally in Oklahoma?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7298bb…
10-02 00:54:47	Will Trump say "Income Tax" during his rally in Oklahoma?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x4ed946…
10-01 22:40:02	will trump say reagan during his rally in oklahoma october 1	Yes	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x6412c9…
10-01 22:30:57	Will Trump say "Smelter" during his rally in Oklahoma?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x322d50…
10-01 22:28:06	Will Trump say "Smelter" during his rally in Oklahoma?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x25f56f…
10-01 15:28:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xad23f0…
10-01 15:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x176f29…
10-01 14:40:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x31514b…
09-30 16:16:20	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x17b426…
09-30 16:15:05	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x455867…
09-30 16:11:03	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x4e7fd4…
09-30 16:00:14	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x08ca6b…
09-30 13:41:38	will trump say ford during his remarks at peterbilt motors company october 1	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xaa45b1…
09-30 13:01:14	will trump say save america act during his rally in oklahoma october 1	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x96a3e9…
09-30 11:57:14	will trump say trumprx during his rally in oklahoma october 1	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xcbe53b…
09-30 11:44:48	will trump say ice during his rally in oklahoma october 1	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xf47578…
09-30 10:57:47	will trump say ice during his rally in oklahoma october 1	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd39a62…
09-30 09:51:38	will trump say smelter during his rally in oklahoma october 1	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb6ca8d…
09-30 08:04:35	will trump say ford during his remarks at peterbilt motors company october 1	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x0a0588…
09-30 08:02:21	will trump say honda during his remarks at peterbilt motors company october 1	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x119bce…
09-30 07:47:20	will trump say honda during his remarks at peterbilt motors company october 1	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x9c2263…
09-22 14:35:49	Will Trump say "Regime Change" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x70c15f…
09-22 14:24:54	Will Trump say "Denuclearize" or "Denuclearization" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x33227d…
09-22 07:12:52	Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x45f62d…
09-22 06:45:24	Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x0555a7…
09-18 16:06:57	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x545cdf…