Mindless-Wit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

Trades

860

lifetime

Volume

$2.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$29

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-24 09:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$0

Politics

37% 40% $-24

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	-31	$-18	70¢	$-22	$-3	06-24 09:41
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	+6	$5	88¢	$5	+$0	06-23 00:59
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	Yes	+24	$3	10¢	$2	$-0	06-21 21:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	36	$212	225	160	+65	open	—	02-06 12:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	49	$170	3,994	3,994	+0	open	—	03-01 01:43
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	1	$84	90	0	+90	open	—	02-04 17:52
will google gemini 3 score at least 50 on the frontiermath benchmark	8	$72	93	16	+77	open	—	01-08 20:10
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	9	$71	55	55	+0	open	—	04-16 05:33
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	8	$70	63	63	+0	open	—	02-28 20:36
spx up or down on february 11 2026	3	$61	71	7	+64	open	—	02-11 20:58
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$39	23	23	+0	open	—	04-03 05:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	12	$32	46	0	+46	open	—	04-07 21:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$29	37	0	+37	open	—	04-07 22:32
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	12	$26	355	0	+355	open	—	02-05 18:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	6	$25	37	0	+37	open	—	04-08 00:34
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	7	$24	26	26	+0	open	—	04-15 22:35
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	6	$24	228	0	+228	open	—	04-16 09:20
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	9	$24	40	8	+32	open	—	03-21 16:00
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	5	$24	23	7	+16	open	—	04-01 11:19
trump approval up or down this week 669	10	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	01-08 19:23
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	11	$23	19	19	+0	open	—	03-17 12:33
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	3	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	02-22 19:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	5	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-07 23:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	11	$22	182	182	+0	open	—	02-28 23:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$22	38	0	+38	open	—	04-07 23:08
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	12	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	01-31 08:25
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$21	23	12	+11	open	—	03-30 15:41
will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	12	$21	53	53	+0	open	—	03-03 15:04
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$20	32	32	+0	open	—	04-29 01:48
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	2	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-30 11:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	5	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-07 11:44
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	5	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-03 13:39
Will the People's Bank of China increase rates in April?	3	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-01 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 09:41:38	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	59¢	$18	0x7019e4…
06-23 20:11:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7c7c57…
06-23 00:59:17	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8d84ad…
06-21 21:28:25	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x31fb18…
06-16 02:02:52	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xbb4bcf…
06-15 11:16:55	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7a492f…
05-15 20:09:26	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x485de2…
05-14 21:59:33	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xa0c8c0…
05-14 21:58:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x314c21…
05-14 12:21:56	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xbd2579…
05-11 02:02:32	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xfbb5fc…
05-10 10:42:24	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xe38476…
05-10 04:29:43	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0xc03fb6…
05-10 04:25:13	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x771899…
05-10 04:24:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xa378d3…
05-10 04:20:47	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x82b485…
05-08 05:36:27	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xbece82…
05-08 05:24:42	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x96b77a…
05-08 05:24:09	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x588fb6…
05-07 20:58:29	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa481b6…
05-06 11:57:46	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x456afd…
05-06 11:38:00	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x94bc68…
05-06 08:12:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd6ec6d…
05-04 16:43:10	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x87de40…
05-04 11:05:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xac697d…
05-01 13:46:32	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x5a415e…
05-01 13:41:42	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x547cc1…
04-29 03:48:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x70f732…
04-29 01:48:46	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	32	25¢	$8	0x0e7f5f…
04-19 18:44:48	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6c8eb5…
04-19 18:44:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc2e73b…
04-19 04:09:52	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x08cee1…
04-17 13:05:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xaa87e3…
04-16 09:20:50	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x79d0ef…
04-16 09:20:36	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0xec5215…
04-16 07:41:12	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2fefd1…
04-16 07:00:14	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x12172b…
04-16 06:56:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe36aa3…
04-16 06:55:06	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x12e77f…
04-16 06:46:08	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd80be8…
04-16 05:42:58	Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x96f8fa…
04-16 05:33:48	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x1ed662…
04-15 22:35:30	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9caa20…
04-15 22:35:12	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	No	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x955c30…
04-15 10:35:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xba737c…
04-15 10:34:58	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9a602d…
04-11 20:34:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x398121…
04-11 12:47:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x443fb0…
04-08 00:34:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x002e5e…
04-08 00:33:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xee39c0…
04-07 23:16:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xf93d9e…
04-07 23:16:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	8	78¢	$7	0xf9216d…
04-07 23:08:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x22949f…
04-07 22:32:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x358fb3…
04-07 21:53:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe035e1…
04-07 21:53:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6a50d2…
04-07 21:53:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xaa9f7d…
04-07 21:53:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x22a1c4…
04-07 21:52:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2a1d46…
04-07 21:51:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd18326…
04-07 21:50:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xa5fd98…
04-07 19:11:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x910676…
04-07 19:10:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xf95c36…
04-07 11:46:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x033abb…
04-07 11:45:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x3ed94f…
04-07 11:45:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xe56b9f…
04-07 11:44:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x25a4fe…
04-07 11:44:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe954c7…
04-07 11:43:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x57bc8d…
04-07 11:43:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0e3e24…
04-06 09:50:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x845e7b…
04-06 06:39:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x1a244b…
04-05 22:28:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x1aa7af…
04-05 19:35:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xee9541…
04-05 19:30:37	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xd20e73…
04-05 10:29:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xfd3baa…
04-05 10:27:11	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb9eb3d…
04-05 10:23:21	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xd4c9f7…
04-05 10:22:47	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xa33dbb…
04-04 07:15:55	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0x39cabd…
04-03 16:40:45	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xf1e784…
04-03 16:39:03	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x5dac13…
04-03 13:39:41	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xa77dca…
04-03 13:39:05	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x90127f…
04-03 10:06:11	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe51baf…
04-03 05:20:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xbfb8d6…
04-03 05:19:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x9eeaf4…
04-03 05:18:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xe54b1f…
04-03 05:17:41	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x009e00…
04-03 05:16:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2e7743…
04-03 05:05:09	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x4d3b27…
04-03 05:02:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1d47e7…
04-03 05:02:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xb73004…
04-03 05:01:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x7463d6…
04-03 04:56:29	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt5 and 5pt0	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x84d3e1…
04-03 04:52:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x3df5de…
04-03 04:37:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x300f2a…
04-03 04:36:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xa9d109…
04-03 04:33:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc14f9a…
04-03 04:32:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x7c5ca1…