Realized P&L
+$391
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved
280
Trades
1,148
lifetime
Volume
$2.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$68
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 09-28 01:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
53% 59% +$261
Politics
35% 53% -$212
Tech
8% 57% +$351
Crypto
3% 46% -$11
Sports
2% 44% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +21 $17 96¢ $20 +$3 07-11 19:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -50 -$17 20¢ $-10 +$6 05-01 11:04
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 No +7 $1 98¢ $7 +$6 08-09 03:22
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +6 $5 98¢ $6 +$1 06-23 00:59
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +13 $5 39¢ $5 +$0 05-01 11:04
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 04-29 01:44
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +3 $1 98¢ $3 +$2 07-06 00:49
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +28 $3 11¢ $3 $0 08-17 21:46
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +2 $2 81¢ $2 +$0 09-22 13:57
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $3 34¢ $2 -$1 04-29 01:42
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +5 $1 36¢ $2 +$1 08-18 08:58
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +6 $0 26¢ $1 +$2 09-08 09:31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +6 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 08-21 15:08
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +17 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 08-16 05:33
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +2 $1 15¢ $0 -$1 09-21 21:58
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +6 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-06 00:50