Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
28
Trades
390
lifetime
Volume
$5.68K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$299
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 06-09 08:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
87% 42% +$59
Politics
6%
Sports
4% 0% $-11
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +666 $115 18¢ $117 +$2 06-09 08:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +76 $50 70¢ $53 +$3 06-04 06:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +99 $30 40¢ $39 +$9 06-08 17:15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +126 $20 20¢ $26 +$6 06-08 12:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +31 $15 62¢ $19 +$4 06-03 19:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +160 $12 $15 +$3 06-08 17:15
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -100 $-10 11¢ $-11 $-1 06-04 05:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +132 $5 $7 +$2 06-05 15:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +556 $5 $5 +$0 06-05 05:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +62 $5 $3 $-2 06-05 16:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +20 $3 14¢ $3 $-0 05-30 22:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -21 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-04 05:02