Unruly-Breakfast — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

128 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$7.09K lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$312

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-28 14:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 62% -$434

Other

19% 56% -$100

Politics

16% 75% -$144

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No		+198	$148	84¢	$165	+$17	10-28 14:54
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No		+159	$148	92¢	$147	-$1	10-28 14:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	8	$815	580	580	+0	Down	+$15	06-02 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$424	304	304	+0	Up	+$24	06-02 07:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$251	136	136	+0	No	+$7	05-21 06:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$248	256	0	+256	No	+$8	01-13 16:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$247	138	138	+0	No	+$1	06-02 09:25
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$230	294	294	+0	No	-$70	05-21 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	8	$229	133	133	+0	Down	+$29	06-02 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$214	119	119	+0	Up	+$14	06-02 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$213	132	132	+0	Up	+$13	06-02 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$209	113	113	+0	Down	+$9	06-02 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$208	270	270	+0	Down	+$8	06-02 08:20
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	2	$201	104	104	+0	No	+$7	06-01 06:57
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	2	$190	140	140	+0	No	-$10	06-02 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$187	116	116	+0	Up	+$38	06-02 07:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$148	159	0	+159	open	—	10-28 14:48
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$148	198	0	+198	open	—	10-28 14:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$131	139	0	+139	No	+$8	03-10 14:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$125	156	0	+156	Yes	-$125	03-01 10:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$113	60	60	+0	No	+$7	05-12 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$100	126	0	+126	Down	+$26	06-02 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$100	3,902	0	+3,902	Up	-$100	06-02 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$100	123	0	+123	Up	-$100	06-02 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$100	212	0	+212	Up	-$100	06-02 09:29
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$100	119	0	+119	Yes	+$19	05-21 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$100	115	0	+115	Down	-$100	06-02 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$100	110	0	+110	Up	-$100	06-02 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$100	110	0	+110	Up	+$10	06-02 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$100	106	0	+106	Down	+$6	06-02 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	Down	+$2	06-02 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$100	105	0	+105	Down	+$5	06-02 13:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:54:34	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	198	75¢	$148	0xe8df05…
10-28 14:48:40	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	159	93¢	$148	0x32bbff…
06-02 16:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x499b0f…
06-02 16:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x799914…
06-02 16:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x47a6fd…
06-02 16:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xcb4bae…
06-02 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0715e6…
06-02 16:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0x113095…
06-02 16:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3a4a2f…
06-02 16:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x607181…
06-02 16:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x407838…
06-02 16:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	44¢	$6	0x94c10b…
06-02 16:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2b5a5b…
06-02 15:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	284	2¢	$6	0x6fe789…
06-02 15:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	284	9¢	$25	0x1feb9d…
06-02 15:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x9d4af1…
06-02 14:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x53e74e…
06-02 14:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x48cb87…
06-02 14:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xf821c2…
06-02 14:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xc2dbbf…
06-02 14:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x93bf5c…
06-02 14:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xca2e4c…
06-02 14:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x3b5114…
06-02 14:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	147	13¢	$19	0x788e55…
06-02 14:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x172475…
06-02 13:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xb658e9…
06-02 13:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x493a6d…
06-02 13:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0f1fdb…
06-02 13:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	113	96¢	$109	0x555dd7…
06-02 13:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x1f4256…
06-02 13:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xfd6eda…
06-02 13:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	119	96¢	$114	0xf680db…
06-02 13:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x70b29f…
06-02 11:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x61d5d1…
06-02 11:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xab7f1e…
06-02 11:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xbfe0a5…
06-02 11:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x6a8207…
06-02 11:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x6c5069…
06-02 11:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0xecedd1…
06-02 11:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x08cb4f…
06-02 11:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xe57666…
06-02 11:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	39	63¢	$25	0x1c1a40…
06-02 11:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xb2e6f1…
06-02 09:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x6a9d31…
06-02 09:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x392d40…
06-02 09:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x08d767…
06-02 09:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x9154c7…
06-02 09:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x41c12e…
06-02 09:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0xfc001d…
06-02 09:35:41	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	140	64¢	$90	0xc39d40…
06-02 09:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0xdd914c…
06-02 09:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xee5aa6…
06-02 09:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd61c86…
06-02 09:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xbca951…
06-02 09:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xad7c83…
06-02 09:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x6b8045…
06-02 09:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x6a887a…
06-02 09:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x552667…
06-02 09:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xed018a…
06-02 09:25:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	138	90¢	$124	0x9618de…
06-02 09:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	692	4¢	$25	0xeae0a0…
06-02 09:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xe74868…
06-02 09:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0xc4b9a1…
06-02 09:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xeb2b62…
06-02 09:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xb9bb87…
06-02 09:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x50d5b6…
06-02 09:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	118	11¢	$13	0x157350…
06-02 09:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	70	12¢	$8	0x09a5da…
06-02 09:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	187	13¢	$25	0xd9c173…
06-02 08:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x1bd236…
06-02 08:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xb8e3ea…
06-02 08:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x93502d…
06-02 08:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	54	44¢	$24	0xe7f436…
06-02 08:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xa887a8…
06-02 08:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x525737…
06-02 08:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	78	48¢	$37	0xdc22e7…
06-02 08:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x872bb5…
06-02 08:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	38	72¢	$28	0xc5b80a…
06-02 08:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x4f95b9…
06-02 08:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2,573	2¢	$55	0xd26298…
06-02 08:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,329	3¢	$45	0xbfbc44…
06-02 08:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	270	40¢	$108	0xadc085…
06-02 08:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xd3b6c4…
06-02 08:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x0983af…
06-02 08:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x072cbe…
06-02 08:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	105	90¢	$95	0x2e8c17…
06-02 08:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xdb1b44…
06-02 08:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	127	92¢	$117	0xc6894f…
06-02 08:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xa3cfb3…
06-02 08:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	224	36¢	$81	0x82ec8e…
06-02 08:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0x392dfb…
06-02 08:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	37	90¢	$33	0x75fbfe…
06-02 08:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	58¢	$22	0xfb4792…
06-02 08:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xb043b7…
06-02 07:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	128	94¢	$121	0xa5995c…
06-02 07:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x625423…
06-02 07:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	175	59¢	$104	0x199167…
06-02 07:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xcf9830…
06-02 07:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	243	2¢	$5	0xceeabf…
06-02 07:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	55	3¢	$2	0xaf0bf5…