Livid-Anticipation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

289 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$51

$3.33K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-12 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 91% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C on November 14?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	$0	11-14 04:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	25	+25	No	-$24	05-15 04:37
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 04:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:24
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:45
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 04:23
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-29 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on April 28?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-27 08:07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-26 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-25 09:44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 07:36
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 23 2026 26corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-23 22:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 09:08
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 55forbelow	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:32
highest temperature in karachi on april 22 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-22 15:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 07:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-21 15:40
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-21 07:12
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 50 51f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-20 09:19
highest temperature in chicago on april 19 2026 52 53f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-20 00:42
highest temperature in chongqing on april 19 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:46
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-19 08:36
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 62 63f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-19 00:34
highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 34c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 10:46
highest temperature in los angeles on april 17 2026 72 73f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 04:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C on November 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x734d01…
11-12 08:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fc45f…
11-11 16:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on November 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x518b07…
11-09 09:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fd2a4…
11-08 13:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5210db…
11-07 11:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x572810…
11-05 17:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf752f5…
11-03 15:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xccf228…
11-02 13:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x842b52…
10-31 17:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7e9e5…
10-31 09:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82c541…
10-30 10:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcddd6c…
10-29 08:52:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fe4ed…
10-28 07:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf4c27…
10-27 08:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0acceb…
10-26 09:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53c733…
10-22 10:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3ced0…
10-20 07:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e5b49…
10-19 08:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b064c…
10-18 09:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c97e1…
10-17 11:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x389c70…
10-16 08:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb70fba…
10-15 09:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdeb0c7…
10-14 09:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86362d…
10-13 08:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0c920…
10-12 08:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x121297…
10-11 08:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e615a…
10-08 08:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa67f34…
10-07 14:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7de26…
10-06 07:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe05e7…
10-04 14:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf924ab…
10-03 05:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f08e6…
10-02 07:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa641f3…
10-01 08:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61455d…
09-30 07:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4e302…
09-29 14:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6641d2…
09-28 09:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2eccf8…
09-27 08:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0535c9…
09-25 10:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc33cd7…
09-24 08:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f8360…
09-23 06:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5540c5…
09-22 07:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf00ade…
09-21 08:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd41a3b…
09-20 05:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26fdf9…
09-19 08:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd38e05…
09-18 06:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd1f88…
09-17 03:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6b680…
09-16 08:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03d353…
09-15 09:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x105881…
09-14 08:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07ec07…
09-12 16:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe15ff4…
09-11 07:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c02c2…
09-10 04:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3808e9…
09-09 09:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x077555…
09-09 01:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fb1a4…
09-08 02:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa145e7…
09-07 08:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x771ddf…
09-06 17:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb27e51…
09-06 09:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x566eb3…
09-05 09:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f3eaf…
09-04 17:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37397c…
09-03 09:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x189624…
09-02 07:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55a45d…
08-30 08:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f4c4b…
08-29 07:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2a78d…
08-28 07:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x964a96…
08-27 07:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb847ff…
08-26 07:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec7127…
08-25 08:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2be41e…
08-24 09:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25c3e6…
08-23 14:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x443635…
08-22 08:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29d013…
08-21 06:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c66d3…
08-20 08:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x825c89…
08-19 08:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb830db…
08-18 08:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x771cf2…
08-17 07:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67efba…
08-16 11:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x332d82…
08-15 09:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08529b…
08-14 06:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcde2ec…
08-13 07:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f6002…
08-12 07:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc084d…
08-11 06:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e0878…
08-10 06:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0de577…
08-09 01:18:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4623a9…
08-08 07:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba35de…
08-07 01:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e9754…
08-06 01:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4becfc…
08-05 07:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbc44b…
08-04 08:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b53c2…
08-03 07:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe10651…
08-02 01:28:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x010960…
08-01 06:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x318ad5…
07-31 08:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefb024…
07-30 06:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4241e…
07-29 06:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa107f9…
07-28 06:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf3262…
07-27 07:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75250c…
07-26 06:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56ff9c…
07-25 07:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x921fe2…