Incredible-Churn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

771

lifetime

Volume

$4.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-29 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 260 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	5	$136	97	97	+0	open	—	04-29 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$106	56	56	+0	open	—	04-29 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$82	51	51	+0	open	—	05-03 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	6	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	04-29 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$65	42	42	+0	open	—	05-03 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	10	$64	42	42	+0	open	—	04-30 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	7	$63	76	76	+0	open	—	04-29 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$61	44	44	+0	open	—	05-03 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	6	$59	47	47	+0	open	—	04-29 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$58	38	38	+0	open	—	05-03 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	7	$56	60	48	+13	open	—	05-29 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	9	$55	40	40	+0	open	—	04-26 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$55	54	54	+0	open	—	04-29 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$50	46	31	+14	open	—	05-03 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	10	$49	68	68	+0	open	—	04-29 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	7	$49	76	76	+0	open	—	04-29 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$49	31	31	+0	open	—	05-03 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$49	48	48	+0	open	—	04-29 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	7	$45	35	35	+0	open	—	04-26 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$44	34	34	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	04-26 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$43	29	29	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	05-03 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	7	$43	25	25	+0	open	—	04-27 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	9	$43	25	25	+0	open	—	04-26 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$42	28	28	+0	open	—	04-29 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	8	$42	33	33	+0	open	—	04-29 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$42	39	39	+0	open	—	04-29 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	6	$41	34	34	+0	open	—	05-03 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$40	41	23	+18	open	—	05-01 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 10:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x54dd76…
05-29 10:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0xb1e6e3…
05-29 10:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x42feaa…
05-29 10:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x4c12ca…
05-29 10:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xb05d1a…
05-29 10:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0x9522b0…
05-29 10:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x90494d…
05-24 19:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x19edf1…
05-24 19:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd0c0da…
05-24 19:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0x9dce08…
05-24 19:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xe4078e…
05-07 19:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x5819fe…
05-07 19:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x4b223a…
05-07 19:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1a09d3…
05-07 19:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x02a023…
05-07 19:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xc7e314…
05-06 14:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x8e027f…
05-06 14:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2abf23…
05-06 13:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa34741…
05-06 13:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xbdd335…
05-06 13:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x0228fd…
05-06 13:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb6cb3a…
05-06 13:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xeb46f8…
05-06 13:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	53¢	$8	0x6cff73…
05-06 13:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xdc8761…
05-06 13:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0x1bf2d5…
05-06 13:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x197273…
05-04 20:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x97c422…
05-04 20:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xbf15a3…
05-04 20:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3e5547…
05-04 20:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	18	88¢	$15	0x0aaa9b…
05-04 20:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x3a8bb4…
05-04 20:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	80¢	$11	0xa3af75…
05-04 20:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xf48a01…
05-04 16:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x3fbe02…
05-04 10:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x410973…
05-04 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xb3853c…
05-04 10:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xe48765…
05-04 10:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xef755f…
05-03 20:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x199575…
05-03 20:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x65eb32…
05-03 20:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x1f3deb…
05-03 20:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9cad99…
05-03 19:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x15a400…
05-03 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	18	48¢	$9	0x7abe58…
05-03 19:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xcb325c…
05-03 16:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x3a6ae6…
05-03 16:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xdcb1b2…
05-03 16:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xc8cd8a…
05-03 16:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	63¢	$32	0x321633…
05-03 16:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x4849a3…
05-03 16:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf249bb…
05-03 16:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0xad37e5…
05-03 16:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe98cb0…
05-03 16:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0xe91bd8…
05-03 16:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5fd154…
05-03 16:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	44	82¢	$36	0x6fe3cb…
05-03 16:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xd3746f…
05-03 15:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x25ccb2…
05-03 15:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9f331e…
05-03 15:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	31	88¢	$27	0x8ba860…
05-03 15:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0x903cc4…
05-03 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	31	74¢	$23	0x1fa316…
05-03 15:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x8af49d…
05-03 15:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4bf42a…
05-03 15:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x38a578…
05-03 15:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x693cfe…
05-03 15:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe364dc…
05-03 15:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x1c2558…
05-03 15:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x4b13d2…
05-03 15:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x07b12d…
05-03 15:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x9cde1a…
05-03 15:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xdfc84c…
05-03 14:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7b6122…
05-03 14:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	31	79¢	$25	0x9e3f11…
05-03 14:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xd231a6…
05-03 14:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x852ca5…
05-03 14:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x044738…
05-03 14:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x368291…
05-03 14:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x62efe6…
05-03 14:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xd241da…
05-03 14:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x358bc2…
05-03 14:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0x32ff24…
05-03 14:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe9c55d…
05-03 12:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	42	97¢	$40	0xd9dc15…
05-03 12:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xdf2e6e…
05-03 12:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x7e743c…
05-03 12:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf4c487…
05-03 12:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xa2c6f7…
05-03 12:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x68511d…
05-03 12:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x240c2b…
05-03 12:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x6db444…
05-03 12:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	18	76¢	$13	0xf024fd…
05-03 12:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x9ee26e…
05-03 12:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0xf13248…
05-03 12:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xcdacce…
05-03 12:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0xdc5851…
05-03 12:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf4ddad…
05-03 12:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x94018c…
05-03 12:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x076f6b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	219	$65.8K	11,401	05-29 10:09
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	219	$63.5K	19,179	05-29 10:09
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	219	$58.9K	17,583	05-29 10:09
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	219	$19.3K	1,690	05-29 10:09
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	218	$115.5K	5,278	05-29 10:10
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	217	$21.1K	3,516	05-29 10:08
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	216	$71.1K	12,117	05-29 10:09
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	216	$49.9K	1,836	05-29 10:07