Crafty-Footnote — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

86.7%

Resolved

129

Trades

31,861

lifetime

Volume

$76.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$74

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-03 14:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% +$12

Other

0% 60% $-56

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+108	$50	68¢	$74	+$24	07-03 14:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772439600	131	$831	879	578	+302	open	—	03-02 08:23
btc updown 5m 1772439300	120	$828	751	626	+124	open	—	03-02 08:19
btc updown 5m 1772439000	57	$395	480	282	+198	open	—	03-02 08:12
btc updown 5m 1772437800	51	$386	511	239	+272	open	—	03-02 07:53
btc updown 5m 1772438700	72	$377	441	289	+152	open	—	03-02 08:06
btc updown 5m 1772441100	99	$354	377	345	+32	open	—	03-02 08:49
btc updown 5m 1772440500	77	$280	342	219	+123	open	—	03-02 08:38
btc updown 5m 1772786700	48	$238	235	231	+4	open	—	03-06 08:47
btc updown 5m 1772440800	71	$237	320	200	+120	open	—	03-02 08:44
btc updown 5m 1772442300	60	$204	240	200	+40	open	—	03-02 09:09
btc updown 5m 1772442000	74	$189	247	221	+26	open	—	03-02 09:04
solana up or down march 24 2026 12am et	7	$179	28	490	-462	open	—	03-24 04:48
btc updown 5m 1772783400	38	$167	175	172	+3	open	—	03-06 07:48
btc updown 5m 1772514600	83	$165	185	184	+1	open	—	03-03 05:13
btc updown 5m 1772440200	41	$163	260	180	+80	open	—	03-02 08:32
btc updown 5m 1772515500	75	$163	173	171	+2	open	—	03-03 05:29
btc updown 5m 1772439900	38	$159	240	161	+79	open	—	03-02 08:26
btc updown 5m 1772437500	31	$146	278	40	+238	open	—	03-02 07:49
btc updown 5m 1772443500	81	$144	216	196	+19	open	—	03-02 09:29
btc updown 5m 1772442900	51	$141	200	155	+45	open	—	03-02 09:19
btc updown 5m 1772443200	54	$135	220	189	+31	open	—	03-02 09:23
btc updown 5m 1772516400	70	$134	137	135	+2	open	—	03-03 05:43
btc updown 15m 1773683100	50	$126	279	0	+279	open	—	03-16 17:58
btc updown 5m 1772442600	45	$122	187	157	+30	open	—	03-02 09:13
btc updown 5m 1772443800	61	$117	161	157	+4	open	—	03-02 09:33
btc updown 5m 1772516700	48	$113	124	122	+2	open	—	03-03 05:47
btc updown 15m 1772780400	24	$112	115	113	+2	open	—	03-06 06:55
eth updown 15m 1773681300	41	$109	276	0	+276	open	—	03-16 17:21
solana up or down march 4 1am et	27	$104	75	75	+0	open	—	03-04 06:50
eth updown 5m 1773684900	33	$99	207	0	+207	open	—	03-16 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 14:58:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0x87ffa1…
06-11 05:14:51	xrp updown 15m 1781154900	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x376619…
06-11 04:00:04	xrp updown 15m 1781151300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf4cf44…
06-11 03:40:04	xrp updown 15m 1781149500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0e4b24…
06-11 02:45:00	xrp updown 15m 1781145900	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd539c6…
06-11 02:15:00	xrp updown 15m 1781144100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8f2f0f…
06-11 00:57:21	xrp updown 15m 1781139600	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x0ee045…
06-11 00:56:22	xrp updown 15m 1781139600	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x274911…
06-11 00:42:54	xrp updown 15m 1781138700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x36c69e…
06-10 23:30:01	xrp updown 15m 1781134200	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x6cdd97…
06-10 23:25:04	xrp updown 15m 1781134200	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x44e949…
06-10 22:44:58	xrp updown 15m 1781131500	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xce817f…
06-10 22:40:04	xrp updown 15m 1781131500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x510173…
06-10 22:00:24	xrp updown 15m 1781128800	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9c749b…
06-10 20:28:39	xrp updown 15m 1781123400	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xe5b9a3…
06-10 20:26:28	xrp updown 15m 1781123400	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xc921fd…
06-10 17:00:18	xrp updown 15m 1781110800	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe3efac…
06-10 15:45:00	xrp updown 15m 1781106300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbcba8a…
06-10 15:25:04	xrp updown 15m 1781105400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbe83ac…
06-10 13:58:30	xrp updown 15m 1781100000	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xce473f…
06-10 13:56:36	xrp updown 15m 1781100000	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x96ddaa…
06-10 12:40:04	xrp updown 15m 1781095500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xef3df2…
06-10 12:26:10	xrp updown 15m 1781094600	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x6e1b34…
06-10 12:15:36	xrp updown 15m 1781093700	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xd6afed…
06-10 12:15:34	xrp updown 15m 1781093700	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5329e7…
06-10 10:44:42	xrp updown 15m 1781088300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf36360…
06-10 10:10:31	xrp updown 15m 1781086500	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x8766b6…
06-10 10:00:07	xrp updown 15m 1781086500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd05bac…
06-10 09:55:40	xrp updown 15m 1781085600	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9494a6…
06-10 07:25:04	xrp updown 15m 1781076600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x40e042…
06-10 07:10:06	xrp updown 15m 1781075700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcae3c1…
06-10 06:31:30	xrp updown 15m 1781073000	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xadfd8a…
06-10 03:30:04	xrp updown 15m 1781062200	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc49eb9…
06-10 03:30:04	xrp updown 15m 1781062200	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x3ff6de…
06-10 03:10:21	xrp updown 15m 1781061300	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x1674e5…
06-10 03:10:04	xrp updown 15m 1781061300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x98bab1…
06-10 02:30:36	xrp updown 15m 1781058600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc33e8b…
06-10 00:55:04	xrp updown 15m 1781053200	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb12ec3…
06-10 00:29:34	xrp updown 15m 1781051400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7b30d8…
06-10 00:11:19	xrp updown 15m 1781050500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0828d2…
06-10 00:00:19	xrp updown 15m 1781050500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdaca95…
06-09 23:46:07	xrp updown 15m 1781049600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xefa2ef…
06-09 22:25:07	xrp updown 15m 1781044200	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7f54e9…
06-09 22:13:18	xrp updown 15m 1781043300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb6e4cd…
06-09 21:45:33	xrp updown 15m 1781041500	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x7ee0e9…
06-09 21:45:22	xrp updown 15m 1781041500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf43efb…
06-09 20:41:22	xrp updown 15m 1781037900	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x99d1aa…
06-09 20:41:21	xrp updown 15m 1781037900	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7833b8…
06-09 20:41:19	xrp updown 15m 1781037900	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x620ff5…
06-09 20:30:10	xrp updown 15m 1781037000	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xdbc46a…
06-09 20:30:04	xrp updown 15m 1781037000	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7a9384…
06-09 20:26:19	xrp updown 15m 1781037000	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x866fae…
06-09 20:11:16	xrp updown 15m 1781036100	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x9e0ff8…
06-09 19:00:06	xrp updown 15m 1781031600	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe9e763…
06-09 18:59:33	xrp updown 15m 1781031600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x72d3d5…
06-09 18:45:00	xrp updown 15m 1781030700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x81e6c0…
06-09 18:43:19	xrp updown 15m 1781029800	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xed71e6…
06-09 18:43:19	xrp updown 15m 1781029800	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xa5ca79…
06-09 18:30:06	xrp updown 15m 1781029800	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc27444…
06-09 17:45:00	xrp updown 15m 1781027100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9480e6…
06-09 17:25:06	xrp updown 15m 1781026200	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc9bce7…
06-09 17:15:04	xrp updown 15m 1781025300	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x4f6fb8…
06-09 17:15:03	xrp updown 15m 1781025300	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x8e5e25…
06-09 17:10:04	xrp updown 15m 1781025300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x65a723…
06-09 16:30:13	xrp updown 15m 1781022600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb2f3de…
06-09 16:15:39	xrp updown 15m 1781021700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2fe302…
06-09 15:12:43	xrp updown 15m 1781018100	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x056252…
06-09 15:11:07	xrp updown 15m 1781018100	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x3cdc97…
06-09 14:00:00	xrp updown 15m 1781013600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdfa0bd…
06-09 12:29:39	xrp updown 15m 1781008200	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe07057…
06-09 12:15:04	xrp updown 15m 1781007300	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xab1d88…
06-09 12:02:09	xrp updown 15m 1781007300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4e003d…
06-09 12:00:03	xrp updown 15m 1781006400	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6fa2ea…
06-09 08:00:01	xrp updown 15m 1780992000	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xe00bb7…
06-09 07:58:22	xrp updown 15m 1780992000	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x59d22b…
06-09 07:44:55	xrp updown 15m 1780991100	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x0de51b…
06-09 07:43:16	xrp updown 15m 1780991100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9cfa2a…
06-09 07:14:58	xrp updown 15m 1780989300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xad0e6f…
06-09 05:40:04	xrp updown 15m 1780983900	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb93655…
06-09 05:28:30	xrp updown 15m 1780983000	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4f7657…
06-09 05:26:04	xrp updown 15m 1780983000	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x5565d0…
06-09 04:14:55	xrp updown 15m 1780978500	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xadf8c5…
06-09 04:11:09	xrp updown 15m 1780978500	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x334ecf…
06-09 03:44:58	xrp updown 15m 1780976700	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x953861…
06-09 03:41:04	xrp updown 15m 1780976700	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9dc9fd…
06-06 18:01:00	btc updown 5m 1780768800	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x2c311b…
06-06 17:55:07	btc updown 5m 1780768500	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x03c8e3…
06-06 17:45:46	btc updown 5m 1780767900	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf2a1f7…
06-06 17:27:21	btc updown 5m 1780766700	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf4c38f…
06-06 17:21:39	btc updown 5m 1780766400	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x6a4935…
06-06 06:46:24	btc updown 5m 1780728300	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x5072be…
06-06 06:41:37	btc updown 5m 1780728000	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x018e4a…
06-06 06:30:46	btc updown 5m 1780727400	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x863cb7…
06-06 06:15:52	btc updown 5m 1780726500	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x71c593…
06-06 06:10:30	btc updown 5m 1780726200	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x50cf9c…
06-06 06:07:01	btc updown 5m 1780725900	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x8b127a…
06-06 05:51:58	btc updown 5m 1780725000	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x801643…
06-05 05:45:06	btc updown 5m 1780638300	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x782f77…
06-05 05:45:04	btc updown 5m 1780638300	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa8c078…
06-05 05:22:04	btc updown 5m 1780636800	Down	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xdffe4a…