Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.99K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

Trades

266

lifetime

Volume

$86.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$325

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-29 23:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

84% 67% -$5,070

Other

16% 53% -$921

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	47	$28.2K	28,454	18,776	+9,678	Yes	-$5,470	04-29 23:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	20	$12.6K	6,598	6,598	+0	No	+$90	03-08 20:56
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	21	$3.8K	2,462	2,462	+0	No	-$635	03-08 21:35
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	7	$3.8K	1,944	1,944	+0	Yes	+$71	04-12 18:55
iran strike on israel by march 31	9	$3.7K	1,903	1,913	-10	Yes	+$105	02-28 21:58
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$3.3K	0	3,361	-3,361	No	-$22	01-25 09:55
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	11	$2.9K	2,971	572	+2,399	Yes	+$8	03-09 19:11
will tisza win at least 130 seats	4	$2.8K	1,460	1,460	+0	Yes	-$39	04-12 20:02
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	6	$2.2K	1,149	1,149	+0	Yes	+$69	03-06 22:03
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	7	$2.0K	1,032	1,032	+0	Yes	+$35	03-04 23:19
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	6	$2.0K	1,687	1,687	+0	Yes	-$34	02-22 22:52
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	4	$1.8K	933	933	+0	Yes	+$52	03-04 06:28
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$1.8K	933	933	+0	No	+$28	02-03 06:52
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	5	$1.7K	883	883	+0	Yes	+$34	03-03 10:29
nothing ever happens khamenei	2	$1.3K	767	767	+0	No	+$184	02-28 19:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	3	$1.3K	644	644	+0	No	+$27	04-02 18:20
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$1.1K	553	553	+0	Yes	+$19	04-12 19:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$1.0K	704	704	+0	Yes	+$21	02-28 15:57
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	4	$911	463	463	+0	Yes	+$11	03-04 23:19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	2	$867	549	549	+0	Yes	+$66	02-28 06:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$834	449	449	+0	No	+$60	04-29 23:02
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	6	$699	727	0	+727	Yes	+$28	03-01 04:16
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	5	$657	500	500	+0	Yes	-$28	03-26 22:49
will fidesz kdnp win at least 110 seats	3	$607	311	311	+0	No	+$15	04-12 20:17
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	4	$596	314	314	+0	Yes	+$26	03-06 22:03
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$584	300	300	+0	Yes	+$14	04-12 18:55
will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	10	$581	638	638	+0	No	-$453	04-12 19:40
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	3	$504	535	0	+535	Yes	+$32	03-01 14:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$305	179	179	+0	Yes	$0	03-26 22:49
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	20	$270	136	136	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 18:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-29 23:02:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9,678	69¢	$6,678	0x4ab78f…
04-29 23:02:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	449	100¢	$447	0xb672df…
04-12 20:17:35	will fidesz kdnp win at least 110 seats	No	SELL	311	100¢	$311	0x62a172…
04-12 20:02:03	will tisza win at least 130 seats	Yes	SELL	1,460	96¢	$1,401	0xb2c71b…
04-12 20:01:33	will tisza win at least 130 seats	Yes	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0x1a680b…
04-12 20:01:07	will tisza win at least 130 seats	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe9c7de…
04-12 19:56:33	will tisza win at least 130 seats	Yes	BUY	1,348	99¢	$1,332	0xa4d333…
04-12 19:45:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x6d7e0b…
04-12 19:42:49	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	119	90¢	$108	0x88bb89…
04-12 19:41:55	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xe4c681…
04-12 19:40:49	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	SELL	516	4¢	$19	0xb0edee…
04-12 19:26:37	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x686acd…
04-12 19:21:09	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x5cc72f…
04-12 19:14:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$30	0xee7e37…
04-12 19:07:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$11	0x5ebd83…
04-12 19:06:47	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	BUY	33	16¢	$5	0x283323…
04-12 19:05:37	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x84ce49…
04-12 19:02:43	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	547	100¢	$545	0xfc8926…
04-12 18:57:15	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x27e198…
04-12 18:55:53	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	1,944	99¢	$1,932	0x5db24b…
04-12 18:55:05	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$298	0x077381…
04-12 18:55:03	will tisza win at least 90 seats	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x541649…
04-12 18:50:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0xc89b20…
04-12 18:50:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xbf792d…
04-12 18:50:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x97c8d7…
04-12 18:50:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8413c5…
04-12 18:50:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4ce3e9…
04-12 18:44:15	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	SELL	17	12¢	$2	0xbb3e43…
04-12 18:43:35	will fidesz kdnp win at least 110 seats	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x425e2e…
04-12 18:39:51	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	SELL	81	51¢	$41	0x2963ce…
04-12 18:35:09	will fidesz kdnp win at least 110 seats	No	BUY	301	95¢	$286	0xf04e50…
04-12 18:31:51	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	224	97¢	$216	0x6a4ed1…
04-12 18:31:47	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x70d49f…
04-12 18:29:01	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xb23da7…
04-12 18:25:03	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xd2df83…
04-12 18:24:01	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0xc3fd42…
04-12 18:23:05	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	534	97¢	$516	0xd47713…
04-12 18:23:03	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0x70d11d…
04-12 18:18:05	will tisza win at least 90 seats	Yes	BUY	127	93¢	$118	0xef896d…
04-12 18:14:09	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0x1494c9…
04-12 18:13:47	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x6bcd8f…
04-12 18:07:45	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	BUY	273	91¢	$250	0xff0dc5…
04-12 14:04:19	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xc1956c…
04-12 09:15:07	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x362e16…
04-12 08:57:07	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	836	95¢	$793	0xfea003…
04-12 08:55:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9,275	71¢	$6,559	0xdc697e…
04-12 08:55:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	29	22¢	$6	0x8c27e3…
04-06 23:50:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x1573af…
04-06 01:26:29	will fidesz kdnp win at least 60 seats	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x824d63…
04-06 01:24:47	will jd vance say trump during meetings with orbn	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x841db8…
04-06 01:24:41	will jd vance say eu or european union during meetings with orbn	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8eff92…
04-06 01:18:25	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xac2ea5…
04-06 01:18:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf72128…
04-06 01:17:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xac11e1…
04-05 16:53:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd6ee70…
04-05 16:52:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x208a0e…
04-05 16:52:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x4e6c79…
04-02 18:20:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	644	100¢	$643	0xa885ce…
03-26 22:49:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	333	95¢	$317	0x158d52…
03-26 22:49:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	179	85¢	$152	0xa12569…
03-26 22:49:05	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0xbf8a31…
03-26 22:48:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x11560a…
03-25 05:01:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	179	85¢	$152	0xc18410…
03-25 05:00:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	250	61¢	$152	0xb08ee9…
03-25 04:37:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x47817a…
03-24 10:20:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	150	63¢	$95	0xfed825…
03-23 13:02:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x38b041…
03-20 00:35:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	311	96¢	$299	0x00c9b1…
03-19 23:33:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	69¢	$172	0x0048eb…
03-19 23:25:31	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	68¢	$170	0x7f2528…
03-19 23:20:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	64¢	$640	0x722ce2…
03-17 12:42:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x89859a…
03-15 19:56:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0xcd8f14…
03-11 21:17:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	143	59¢	$84	0x4f8d99…
03-11 18:07:23	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x873398…
03-11 18:04:55	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfebe47…
03-11 18:00:43	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb2a8d0…
03-11 17:57:17	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5d8dbd…
03-11 17:54:47	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb2d3bf…
03-11 17:52:57	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa2afca…
03-11 17:48:03	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb01574…
03-11 17:41:03	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb6c7de…
03-11 17:36:49	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x387b41…
03-11 16:56:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x6f47b7…
03-11 16:54:59	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3f7000…
03-11 16:50:27	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9709c1…
03-11 16:46:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0399e2…
03-11 16:46:23	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9374cb…
03-11 16:44:57	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd2e79a…
03-11 16:42:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3a8cda…
03-11 16:41:09	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x18d1a2…
03-11 16:37:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x9fee59…
03-11 16:36:23	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x24c39e…
03-11 16:33:15	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x5a15af…
03-11 16:29:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x81ce17…
03-11 16:29:09	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdbadb3…
03-11 16:26:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2bf5a2…
03-11 16:26:13	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbf860f…
03-11 16:23:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x67d053…
03-11 16:20:21	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbd10c2…