Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$454

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

8.0%

Resolved

Trades

549

lifetime

Volume

$85.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$155

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-15 15:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 0% $-455

Politics

23% 100% +$1

Sports

10% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes		-23	$-16	46¢	$-10	+$6	06-15 15:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba 2025 26 apg leader cade cunningham	10	$2.6K	2,297	2,297	+0	open	—	01-08 20:32
will the pitt win best television series drama at the 83rd golden globes	9	$2.4K	1,565	1,565	+0	open	—	01-05 00:02
will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	5	$2.0K	1,166	1,166	+0	open	—	01-07 22:21
robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	9	$1.8K	1,974	1,974	+0	open	—	01-05 07:12
will january 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	9	$1.8K	1,487	1,487	+0	open	—	01-08 18:45
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	12	$1.7K	2,090	2,088	+2	open	—	01-29 19:27
will forgent power solutions market cap be less than 8pt00b at market close on ipo day	3	$1.6K	925	925	+0	open	—	02-05 11:54
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	2	$1.6K	965	965	+0	open	—	03-13 04:05
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	5	$1.6K	1,422	1,422	+0	open	—	04-09 11:02
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	6	$1.5K	993	993	+0	open	—	01-10 19:27
iran strike on qatar by march 31 2026	3	$1.5K	1,333	1,333	+0	open	—	02-22 03:57
will israel strike lebanon on february 4 2026	7	$1.5K	1,303	1,303	+0	open	—	02-01 02:22
will wesley hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 texas republican primary	8	$1.4K	1,252	1,252	+0	open	—	01-10 11:57
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?	8	$1.4K	1,206	1,532	-326	open	—	01-08 08:06
will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	3	$1.2K	995	995	+0	open	—	02-14 10:41
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	2	$1.2K	737	737	+0	open	—	01-08 22:28
Will the US strike Syria next?	3	$1.2K	682	682	+0	open	—	01-10 01:42
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 costa rican presidential election be between 55 and 58	2	$1.2K	709	709	+0	open	—	01-04 15:46
will trump say joe or biden 3 times during meeting with netanyahu	3	$1.2K	895	895	+0	open	—	02-10 06:11
will sean penn one battle after another win best supporting actor motion picture at the 83rd golden globes	6	$1.2K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	01-10 07:40
Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?	5	$1.2K	828	828	+0	open	—	01-03 15:31
will pacto histrico win 30 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election	3	$1.2K	614	614	+0	open	—	03-10 15:14
will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	5	$1.1K	879	879	+0	open	—	03-16 07:56
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	4	$1.1K	955	301	+654	open	—	01-03 09:28
critical discord incident by march 31 2026	2	$1.0K	611	611	+0	open	—	02-02 18:05
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	5	$968	848	848	+0	open	—	02-04 11:23
will the new england patriots be eliminated in the divisional round	3	$951	699	699	+0	open	—	01-10 23:09
will andr ventura win the first round by less than 2	2	$947	557	557	+0	open	—	01-08 15:06
will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the united states in 2025	6	$877	670	670	+0	open	—	01-10 21:10
will erika kirk attend the 2026 state of the union address	6	$827	596	596	+0	open	—	02-12 04:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 15:48:28	Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0xa4f9fb…
04-23 10:10:06	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	No	BUY	935	87¢	$813	0xb7c7b7…
04-09 11:02:59	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	324	53¢	$172	0x3b17d7…
04-09 11:02:03	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	841	53¢	$446	0x1c32e3…
03-30 09:47:42	will project hail mary 2nd weekend box office be between 50m and 54m	No	BUY	708	60¢	$424	0xce8d36…
03-30 05:37:10	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	1,165	73¢	$850	0x2715ac…
03-26 13:40:23	will trump say equipment during national agriculture day events	Yes	SELL	122	81¢	$99	0x1a5ecd…
03-26 02:35:31	will war machine be the 2 global netflix movie this week 794	No	SELL	592	68¢	$403	0x6c290d…
03-25 18:49:35	Will OG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	584	11¢	$64	0xcb182a…
03-25 17:59:27	col1 gdr cjf 2026 04 12 gdr	Yes	SELL	631	43¢	$271	0x6212e5…
03-25 15:48:23	will war machine be the 2 global netflix movie this week 794	No	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x8b5aaa…
03-25 15:46:31	will war machine be the 2 global netflix movie this week 794	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xb66b87…
03-25 10:37:33	nhl wsh pit 2026 04 11	Penguins	BUY	327	84¢	$275	0x4a5023…
03-25 09:51:59	will trump say equipment during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	122	56¢	$68	0xc3545f…
03-25 08:31:25	col1 gdr cjf 2026 04 12 gdr	Yes	BUY	319	37¢	$118	0xaf97c9…
03-25 08:31:15	col1 gdr cjf 2026 04 12 gdr	Yes	BUY	312	37¢	$115	0xb4c77c…
03-25 04:24:11	will war machine be the 2 global netflix movie this week 794	No	BUY	634	29¢	$184	0xf4d1b1…
03-23 03:41:57	Will OG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	584	89¢	$520	0x70b59c…
03-18 15:47:27	will mrbeast say feastables during his next video	No	SELL	673	35¢	$236	0x83ce43…
03-18 14:18:17	will khamenei tweet again on march 18 2026 365 885	No	SELL	748	22¢	$165	0xb23c05…
03-18 14:16:13	will khamenei tweet again on march 18 2026 365 885	No	SELL	68	21¢	$14	0x608897…
03-17 02:26:17	will mrbeast say feastables during his next video	No	BUY	673	47¢	$316	0x2df1b1…
03-17 01:21:39	will khamenei tweet again on march 18 2026 365 885	No	BUY	816	31¢	$253	0x31a565…
03-16 07:56:53	will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	Yes	SELL	773	68¢	$526	0xb77a89…
03-16 07:55:15	will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	Yes	SELL	106	68¢	$72	0x17af8e…
03-14 11:12:45	will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	Yes	BUY	293	55¢	$161	0x5e27ca…
03-14 11:12:21	will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	Yes	BUY	304	55¢	$167	0x309ff6…
03-14 11:12:11	will jesse jackson jr be the democratic nominee for il 02 223	Yes	BUY	282	55¢	$155	0x7166bd…
03-13 04:05:37	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	SELL	965	83¢	$801	0x985a2c…
03-13 01:09:51	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	No	BUY	965	84¢	$811	0x1b6d3e…
03-12 09:25:27	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be less than 55	No	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0x19d8e7…
03-10 15:14:59	will pacto histrico win 30 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election	No	SELL	221	100¢	$220	0xfb511b…
03-10 15:13:13	will pacto histrico win 30 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election	No	SELL	393	100¢	$391	0xde6489…
03-06 07:49:49	will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 595	No	BUY	47	67¢	$31	0x001a9e…
03-06 07:43:47	will pacto histrico win 30 seats in the colombian senate in the 2026 colombian parliamentary election	No	BUY	614	89¢	$546	0x1f6771…
03-06 05:22:07	euroleague aviv paris 2026 03 03	Paris Basketball	BUY	267	68¢	$182	0xe7c7ff…
03-06 05:07:35	will khamenei tweet again by march 21	Yes	BUY	445	77¢	$343	0x0f2ece…
02-26 11:22:24	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 25 be between 2000000 and 2200000	No	SELL	477	8¢	$38	0x519f2c…
02-26 09:52:06	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	270	41¢	$111	0xe99ecd…
02-26 09:50:14	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 25 be between 2000000 and 2200000	No	BUY	477	16¢	$76	0xe49ae8…
02-26 07:32:42	aus mac ccm 2026 02 25 ccm	Yes	BUY	55	21¢	$12	0x0bc5c3…
02-26 05:16:44	will the pitt win best producer of a tv drama series at the 37th pga awards	Yes	SELL	154	83¢	$128	0x2bfc1b…
02-25 21:57:54	will marty supreme win no awards at the oscars	No	SELL	420	83¢	$349	0x6a988d…
02-25 10:45:48	will israel strike 2 countries in february 2026	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xcb07b7…
02-25 00:47:58	will marty supreme win no awards at the oscars	No	BUY	420	89¢	$374	0xb14e68…
02-24 17:59:34	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	Yes	SELL	637	11¢	$71	0x3b2f86…
02-24 17:59:22	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xc7505a…
02-22 10:31:12	will dana white attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x82abda…
02-22 03:57:44	iran strike on qatar by march 31 2026	No	SELL	244	49¢	$120	0x935e68…
02-22 03:56:18	iran strike on qatar by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1,089	47¢	$512	0xad12bc…
02-22 02:26:56	iran strike on qatar by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,333	65¢	$866	0x8779f5…
02-22 01:51:54	will dana white attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xdf5852…
02-22 00:58:02	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	Yes	BUY	644	18¢	$117	0x4580e0…
02-19 16:55:44	will israel strike gaza on february 21 2026	Yes	SELL	296	43¢	$127	0x4e2ace…
02-19 05:30:28	will john stirling die in bridgerton season 4	No	SELL	153	11¢	$17	0x4696cb…
02-19 01:54:12	will daniel radcliffe say emma or watson on hot ones	No	BUY	343	48¢	$165	0xd29d54…
02-19 01:36:24	cbb sill evans 2026 01 25 total 142pt5	Over	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0x9a7780…
02-19 01:36:18	cbb sill evans 2026 01 25 total 142pt5	Over	BUY	236	66¢	$156	0x452397…
02-19 01:29:08	will israel strike gaza on february 21 2026	Yes	BUY	296	44¢	$130	0x325d63…
02-19 00:48:38	will john stirling die in bridgerton season 4	No	BUY	153	11¢	$17	0xe1e28d…
02-18 13:05:04	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x313cce…
02-18 13:03:48	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	96	97¢	$93	0xe91331…
02-18 11:32:00	will atltico madrid advance to the round of 16	No	SELL	28	22¢	$6	0x1fc455…
02-18 11:31:02	will atltico madrid advance to the round of 16	No	SELL	383	22¢	$84	0x5149d0…
02-18 09:38:14	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	48	71¢	$34	0x5a8612…
02-18 07:31:50	will the us next strike iran on march 21 2026 et	No	BUY	142	98¢	$140	0x964486…
02-18 07:31:34	will the us next strike iran on march 21 2026 et	No	BUY	307	98¢	$302	0xfe982c…
02-18 07:06:38	will atltico madrid advance to the round of 16	No	BUY	411	23¢	$95	0xa17232…
02-18 06:27:12	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	48	70¢	$34	0xad0e22…
02-18 05:06:34	will israel strike 2 countries in february 2026	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xaaaf34…
02-18 04:09:06	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x81687d…
02-18 04:08:56	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	101	96¢	$97	0xf86e74…
02-17 18:41:03	will the total number of tsa passengers for february 16 22 be between 16500000 and 17000000	Yes	SELL	68	49¢	$33	0xcbcced…
02-17 01:09:45	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	494	33¢	$163	0xbdd1d1…
02-17 00:46:35	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8c685d…
02-16 20:25:37	will february 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	Yes	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0x832219…
02-16 12:59:01	will anderson cooper be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	SELL	328	85¢	$279	0xfadb30…
02-16 08:35:35	will anderson cooper be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	328	87¢	$285	0xd58970…
02-16 07:15:11	will frankenstein win best makeup and hairstyling at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	257	12¢	$31	0x884bde…
02-16 07:13:53	will frankenstein win best makeup and hairstyling at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	336	11¢	$37	0xb4d329…
02-16 05:30:13	will israel strike lebanon on february 19 2026	Yes	SELL	259	40¢	$104	0x8b9890…
02-16 00:50:05	xrp up or down february 15 10pm et	Down	BUY	225	50¢	$112	0xda15cc…
02-16 00:48:35	will february 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	Yes	BUY	425	81¢	$344	0x60c84f…
02-16 00:45:43	will frankenstein win best makeup and hairstyling at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	593	13¢	$77	0x8d0eac…
02-15 17:21:45	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	SELL	437	84¢	$367	0xe89b06…
02-15 09:58:19	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 6 be between 60 and 70	No	SELL	380	37¢	$141	0x06fea5…
02-15 07:20:03	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0xe14be3…
02-15 06:49:07	will israel strike lebanon on february 19 2026	Yes	BUY	259	48¢	$124	0x7d6bc6…
02-15 06:08:57	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 6 be between 60 and 70	No	BUY	380	37¢	$141	0xa4455a…
02-14 10:41:59	will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	146	82¢	$120	0xb31258…
02-14 09:34:57	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	Yes	SELL	41	61¢	$25	0x317737…
02-14 09:34:41	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	Yes	SELL	268	61¢	$163	0x05263a…
02-14 09:34:21	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	No	SELL	269	39¢	$105	0xbf7ba8…
02-14 06:17:41	CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	Yes	BUY	437	81¢	$354	0x9670da…
02-14 01:28:21	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	SELL	378	75¢	$284	0x41edda…
02-13 06:24:31	will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	849	61¢	$518	0xc8ca6b…
02-13 01:38:23	will nyc have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in february	No	BUY	995	61¢	$607	0x1309e2…
02-13 01:36:43	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	BUY	378	75¢	$284	0x9f01e0…
02-12 13:06:23	will trump say cuba during the state of the union address	No	SELL	389	45¢	$175	0x25b872…
02-12 12:58:27	will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	No	SELL	139	72¢	$100	0xb08eb9…