Regal-Macadamia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

346

Trades

788

lifetime

Volume

$5.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-14 10:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% $-91

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$158	195	72	+123	Down	$-4	05-07 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	10	$99	98	98	+0	Down	$-20	05-07 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	6	$89	108	39	+69	Down	$-52	05-07 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$85	66	66	+0	Up	$-15	05-07 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	16	$80	92	0	+92	open	—	05-03 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	9	$61	106	0	+106	Down	$-26	05-13 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	5	$54	66	19	+46	Up	+$12	05-07 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$49	73	0	+73	Up	$-49	05-13 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	6	$49	49	49	+0	Down	$-11	05-07 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	3	$48	71	0	+71	Up	+$23	05-13 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$47	49	49	+0	Up	$-8	05-07 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	5	$47	94	0	+94	Down	+$29	05-07 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	8	$47	105	0	+105	Down	$-12	05-13 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$46	46	32	+14	Down	+$0	05-07 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$45	293	43	+250	Down	+$5	05-09 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$43	73	0	+73	Up	$-40	05-12 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	4	$42	42	27	+15	Up	+$1	05-07 12:51
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$41	81	0	+81	Down	$-27	05-13 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$38	38	38	+0	Up	$-2	05-07 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	5	$38	620	20	+600	Up	$-2	05-07 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$37	36	36	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$36	53	0	+53	Down	+$17	05-07 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$36	58	0	+58	Up	$-36	05-06 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	6	$35	70	0	+70	Up	+$3	05-06 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$35	46	0	+46	Down	+$11	05-07 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$34	36	28	+8	Up	$-6	05-07 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$33	30	30	+0	Down	$-11	05-07 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$30	55	0	+55	Up	$-30	05-07 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$30	57	0	+57	Down	+$9	05-07 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$30	57	0	+57	Up	$-14	05-07 09:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 10:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe7e148…
05-14 10:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x7f6733…
05-14 10:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xa87507…
05-14 10:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x7bdce6…
05-14 10:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xa827d5…
05-14 10:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xf8fb60…
05-14 10:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x559439…
05-14 10:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xad38bf…
05-14 10:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x844bed…
05-14 09:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc0e91c…
05-14 09:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2af517…
05-14 09:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x2a1f27…
05-14 09:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x46d502…
05-14 09:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x24701d…
05-14 09:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x634816…
05-14 09:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x462b82…
05-14 09:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x14907e…
05-14 09:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x2797e3…
05-14 09:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x0cd27a…
05-14 09:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x790867…
05-14 09:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xefbd64…
05-14 09:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xe0dec4…
05-14 09:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xff5046…
05-14 09:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x23f16b…
05-14 09:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x5f45f1…
05-14 09:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x756d56…
05-14 09:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7c565a…
05-14 09:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x20fef5…
05-14 09:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x31ebf6…
05-14 09:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$3	0x9d3aa8…
05-14 09:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x374f57…
05-14 09:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xc1bb51…
05-14 09:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7ac49d…
05-14 09:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x40840e…
05-14 09:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x3b998c…
05-14 08:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6b9710…
05-14 08:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2b9e75…
05-14 08:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0xed04a8…
05-14 08:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xd43c16…
05-14 08:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0x581cff…
05-14 08:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x63906c…
05-14 08:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x861efd…
05-14 08:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe81953…
05-14 08:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x7516b9…
05-14 08:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x6848fe…
05-14 08:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xcb2cff…
05-14 08:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf57f39…
05-13 23:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x90340b…
05-13 23:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x55aca8…
05-13 23:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x54d2ca…
05-13 23:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xec1019…
05-13 23:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x55a3b7…
05-13 23:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x12d2f8…
05-13 23:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xc1e580…
05-13 23:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x12e22e…
05-13 23:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x066d0f…
05-13 23:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x38bd66…
05-13 23:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xb67f1e…
05-13 23:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd9bf09…
05-13 22:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x20ce3d…
05-13 22:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf071cb…
05-13 22:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x6f29d3…
05-13 22:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x93bbd3…
05-13 22:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x1a8299…
05-13 22:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xb1ac6a…
05-13 22:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xfe328b…
05-13 22:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x1c7bb1…
05-13 22:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xef774c…
05-13 21:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x893fda…
05-13 20:11:44	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xd0f726…
05-13 20:00:07	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3d712d…
05-13 19:56:58	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfc2cc1…
05-13 19:56:09	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xbeb733…
05-13 19:56:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0x435959…
05-13 19:53:46	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x00e015…
05-13 19:52:31	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0xc4791e…
05-13 19:52:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x053dbf…
05-13 19:51:56	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0xe510ad…
05-13 19:51:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xee652e…
05-13 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xe79408…
05-13 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0xb7844d…
05-13 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xf6a448…
05-13 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x82e25c…
05-13 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x12fdf8…
05-13 19:49:06	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf5908e…
05-13 19:45:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x3effd7…
05-13 19:42:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x4bf07d…
05-13 19:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x6e8a19…
05-13 19:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x466f71…
05-13 08:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	66¢	$24	0xcd5e00…
05-13 08:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$24	0xb8c58c…
05-13 08:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0xf51052…
05-13 04:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd221cf…
05-13 04:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0x2d9ca6…
05-13 04:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xeb0cf9…
05-13 04:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x5556b3…
05-13 04:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x4fcfcd…
05-13 04:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x4e6f19…
05-13 04:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x17d245…
05-13 04:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x066b34…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	480	$93.3K	15,860	05-14 10:18
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	477	$41.4K	6,066	05-14 10:17
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	476	$155.4K	42,076	05-14 10:18
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	476	$151.5K	22,607	05-14 10:18
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	476	$140.1K	37,496	05-14 10:18
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	476	$137.1K	20,094	05-14 10:18
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	475	$404.8K	48,013	05-14 10:17
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	475	$74.2K	5,237	05-14 10:17