Regal-Macadamia — Polymarket

├──spot/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

├──perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──favourites

│ ├──heatmap

│ ├──treemap

│ └──orderflow

├──cex-perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──funding

│ ├──spreads

│ ├──sentiment

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

└──options/

├──btc

├──eth

└──sol

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

7

Trades

21

lifetime

Volume

$102

lifetime

Avg / trade

$5

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 15:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$6	10	+10	Up	$-6	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Down	+$1	05-04 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$6	14	+14	Down	$-6	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$6	7	+7	Up	+$1	05-04 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$6	9	+9	Up	+$3	05-05 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$6	14	+14	Up	+$8	05-05 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-05 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-05 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-05 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-05 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 15:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x8bdaa1…
05-05 13:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x749b36…
05-05 12:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x14a250…
05-05 12:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x05a681…
05-05 11:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0xd81de3…
05-05 11:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x985030…
05-05 10:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdde30f…
05-05 09:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1411f3…
05-05 09:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0xfb327e…
05-05 09:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x45135e…
05-05 08:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x16c1d3…
05-05 07:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xeec7fe…
05-05 07:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa1e73c…
05-05 07:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc6f31d…
05-05 05:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6ac285…
05-05 03:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xd795cc…
05-05 02:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x213aef…
05-05 02:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x7c0edc…
05-05 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xd51a80…
05-04 20:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x4ff22a…
05-04 20:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x93f359…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	20	$7.44K	127	05-05 15:02
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	15	$1.45K	73	05-05 13:37
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	13	$1.22K	65	05-05 13:37
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	13	$1.08K	59	05-05 13:35
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	13	$523	35	05-05 13:37
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	10	$634	15	05-05 12:41
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	10	$570	14	05-05 13:37
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	9	$546	46	05-05 13:37

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