Leafy-Tic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

867

lifetime

Volume

$38.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-31 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 67% +$8

Other

13% — —

Tech

4% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	7	$1.4K	750	750	+0	open	—	04-28 07:34
btc updown 5m 1775763000	7	$798	407	407	+0	open	—	04-09 19:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$740	400	400	+0	open	—	05-20 20:23
btc updown 5m 1775769900	8	$568	387	379	+8	open	—	04-09 21:29
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$416	217	217	+0	open	—	04-24 17:38
btc updown 5m 1775765700	4	$403	206	206	+1	open	—	04-09 20:19
btc updown 5m 1775769300	9	$394	280	273	+6	open	—	04-09 21:19
btc updown 5m 1775763600	3	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	04-09 19:44
btc updown 5m 1775764200	4	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	04-09 19:55
btc updown 5m 1775756100	2	$387	200	199	+1	open	—	04-09 17:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	3	$375	200	200	+0	open	—	04-17 14:33
btc updown 5m 1775770800	7	$320	184	182	+2	open	—	04-09 21:43
btc updown 5m 1775040900	3	$308	388	109	+278	open	—	04-01 11:00
btc updown 5m 1774993200	2	$303	155	154	+0	open	—	03-31 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$294	300	0	+300	Up	+$6	05-05 20:04
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	3	$288	150	150	+0	open	—	04-18 16:17
btc updown 5m 1775773800	4	$280	178	175	+3	open	—	04-09 22:34
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$278	179	179	+0	open	—	04-08 05:10
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	2	$275	140	140	+0	open	—	04-14 19:00
epl mun lee 2026 04 13 lee	2	$274	140	140	+0	open	—	04-13 21:07
mlb hou sea 2026 04 13	3	$274	140	140	+0	open	—	04-13 22:07
btc updown 5m 1774907700	4	$266	138	137	+0	open	—	03-30 21:59
btc updown 5m 1775649300	3	$265	137	136	+0	open	—	04-08 11:59
btc updown 5m 1774987500	5	$261	135	134	+0	open	—	03-31 20:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$257	200	200	+0	open	—	04-17 14:32
btc updown 5m 1775770500	10	$256	197	192	+5	open	—	04-09 21:39
btc updown 5m 1775757300	3	$253	135	134	+1	open	—	04-09 18:00
cricipl che del 2026 04 11	2	$252	150	149	+1	open	—	04-11 17:34
btc updown 5m 1775649600	4	$242	124	124	+0	open	—	04-08 12:05
btc updown 5m 1774970400	3	$240	121	121	+0	open	—	03-31 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 22:05:25	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0x2114a4…
05-27 20:10:21	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xcefb98…
05-25 22:50:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x11c9ef…
05-25 22:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1432cf…
05-25 22:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x653b5b…
05-24 20:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x9d9ffe…
05-24 20:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf26431…
05-24 20:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xca6034…
05-24 20:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe4b34c…
05-24 19:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc5425b…
05-24 19:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x8871b9…
05-24 19:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x070a81…
05-24 19:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbc2a3f…
05-24 18:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc29f26…
05-23 13:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe3b113…
05-23 13:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xff36b7…
05-23 13:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x38aea5…
05-23 13:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0882e2…
05-23 13:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x3d4288…
05-23 13:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa0ba4f…
05-22 22:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x6f0bbc…
05-22 22:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x996fbb…
05-22 22:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0d7bbf…
05-22 22:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xbcd827…
05-22 22:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x19c820…
05-22 22:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x805b85…
05-22 22:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd534ab…
05-22 22:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xcc1f07…
05-22 22:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x0b4150…
05-22 22:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x7ccea1…
05-22 22:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x33af47…
05-22 22:13:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xa7eb41…
05-21 10:05:47	Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	76¢	$65	0x3d8ee1…
05-21 10:03:43	Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x41c1b0…
05-20 20:33:40	Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xf1ee6d…
05-20 20:23:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	400	97¢	$389	0xec5e92…
05-18 20:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xc496c4…
05-18 20:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2472df…
05-12 23:02:52	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x759f79…
05-12 19:52:17	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x4dc31b…
05-12 17:05:33	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd7f220…
05-06 18:57:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xd146f2…
05-05 20:34:48	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xd50704…
05-05 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x86f22b…
05-05 20:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	142	98¢	$139	0xd1da30…
05-05 20:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	158	98¢	$155	0xa16f5f…
05-05 18:39:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x5535ab…
05-05 18:32:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf017f2…
05-05 18:16:42	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xd1dbc0…
05-05 18:11:42	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x830ed3…
05-03 23:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x199b45…
05-01 18:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x10ce2f…
05-01 17:13:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	400	88¢	$352	0x0da914…
04-29 18:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xeac342…
04-28 20:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x289db5…
04-28 20:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x1b6e4b…
04-28 14:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xee2c7f…
04-28 14:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x8ecd48…
04-28 14:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x3888c7…
04-28 14:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x151a23…
04-28 07:34:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	99¢	$740	0xa6f657…
04-24 17:38:30	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0xb93634…
04-24 17:37:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	296	89¢	$263	0xd4bac2…
04-24 17:36:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xa18246…
04-24 17:35:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x02c29d…
04-24 17:35:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xec2683…
04-24 17:34:58	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xe05d48…
04-24 17:34:32	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	130	98¢	$128	0x032e5f…
04-24 17:33:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	219	88¢	$193	0xef033b…
04-21 13:05:44	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x56d0e0…
04-20 07:40:06	Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd2923e…
04-19 09:07:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xcea995…
04-19 08:51:34	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	No	BUY	150	96¢	$145	0x2b4e31…
04-18 19:16:00	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xf2fa99…
04-18 19:14:56	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe1aa41…
04-18 19:14:28	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x2c38f9…
04-18 19:13:58	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x950331…
04-18 19:07:58	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xc4fefc…
04-18 19:06:10	will 70 79 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 178	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x06274d…
04-18 19:02:24	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0836fb…
04-18 18:58:00	tur gen gal 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xf3ddc8…
04-18 18:46:46	Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x051720…
04-18 16:17:54	ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	New Zealand	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x5a0f35…
04-18 16:17:52	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	135	98¢	$132	0x60ffa0…
04-18 16:17:26	ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	New Zealand	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x06cd7e…
04-18 16:17:04	ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	New Zealand	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x340bb7…
04-18 16:15:08	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x3bdbf2…
04-17 19:15:34	ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	New Zealand	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xdeeb43…
04-17 18:27:32	ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	New Zealand	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0xcd9b13…
04-17 18:14:04	ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	New Zealand	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x176355…
04-17 16:34:48	cricipl guj kol 2026 04 17	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x5b1c24…
04-17 14:37:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xb1a52c…
04-17 14:36:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0xef01cc…
04-17 14:36:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	72¢	$42	0xca5ab7…
04-17 14:34:20	crint bgd nzl 2026 04 17	New Zealand	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbdf4e0…
04-17 14:33:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x25775b…
04-17 14:32:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	200	83¢	$167	0x32c4d9…
04-16 15:02:48	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x3c3e9a…
04-16 14:57:28	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x052f2c…
04-16 14:57:24	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x0ffc9c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	283	$43.3K	3,477	05-25 22:05
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	279	$257.0K	14,015	05-25 22:09
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	278	$32.7K	6,583	05-25 22:07
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	278	$14.6K	3,349	05-24 20:09
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	276	$110.4K	2,577	06-01 04:51
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	276	$733	1,558	05-25 22:09
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	274	$46.9K	3,862	05-25 22:07
(anonymous) 0x5b87…b6bd	273	$85.9K	18,881	05-23 13:09