Bumpy-Armament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$812

Unrealized P&L

-$127

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$601

Open exposure

$37

1 position

First seen

2026-03-09

last 07-23 00:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 100% +$12

Other

27% 80% +$103

Politics

17% 67% -$928

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+391	$164	10¢	$37	-$127	07-23 00:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	2	$2.0K	1,520	1,520	+0	Louisville Cardinals	+$0	03-18 15:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$2.0K	1,250	1,250	+0	No	+$38	04-27 20:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$1.3K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$64	04-28 13:53
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	4	$1.3K	1,318	1,318	+0	No	-$990	05-25 05:41
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$1.1K	1,099	0	+1,099	No	+$3	04-29 19:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 29?	4	$1.1K	1,095	0	+1,095	No	+$1	04-29 16:51
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	1	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$59	05-01 20:13
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 17	1	$1.0K	1,021	0	+1,021	No	+$1	03-17 15:15
ethereum above 2100 on march 16	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Yes	+$1	03-16 14:12
will xrp dip to 1pt25 on march 15	1	$1.0K	1,019	0	+1,019	No	+$1	03-15 19:03
will the price of solana be between 80 90 on march 14	1	$1.0K	1,016	0	+1,016	Yes	+$1	03-14 14:36
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 13	1	$1.0K	1,015	0	+1,015	No	+$1	03-13 14:29
ethereum above 1800 on march 10	1	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	Yes	+$1	03-10 07:46
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	1	$1.0K	1,010	0	+1,010	No	+$1	03-09 09:42
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 19	1	$968	969	0	+969	No	+$1	03-19 15:35
will solana dip to 85 on march 14	1	$686	687	0	+687	No	+$1	03-15 03:17
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 18	1	$377	378	0	+378	No	+$1	03-19 00:57
will xrp reach 1pt55 on march 18	1	$347	348	0	+348	No	+$1	03-19 00:59
will xrp reach 1pt6 on march 18	1	$301	302	0	+302	No	+$0	03-19 00:53
will xrp reach 1pt5 on march 14	1	$191	192	0	+192	No	+$0	03-15 03:15
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$171	171	0	+171	No	+$0	06-02 13:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$170	171	0	+171	No	+$1	06-29 16:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$164	391	0	+391	open	—	07-23 00:51
will solana dip to 80 on march 14	1	$138	138	0	+138	No	+$0	03-15 03:16
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 19	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	03-19 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 00:51:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	391	42¢	$164	0x908c34…
06-29 16:04:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0x891c37…
06-02 13:13:18	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0xdaf286…
05-25 05:41:29	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,318	10¢	$138	0x7bf9f5…
05-02 20:26:16	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	280	88¢	$246	0x212dd1…
05-02 20:25:14	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0xd864fd…
05-02 20:23:10	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	85¢	$33	0x315640…
05-01 20:13:22	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	1,100	95¢	$1,041	0xff1373…
04-29 19:41:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,099	100¢	$1,096	0xb35bb8…
04-29 16:51:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 29?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xe7b7f6…
04-29 16:23:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6535ac…
04-29 16:15:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 29?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5bf5e9…
04-29 16:11:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 29?	No	BUY	792	100¢	$791	0x3fd90a…
04-28 13:53:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	1,600	42¢	$672	0x688676…
04-27 21:01:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	1,600	38¢	$608	0x1bd06b…
04-27 20:18:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1,250	81¢	$1,013	0x70000a…
04-27 19:27:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1,250	78¢	$975	0xa03fcb…
03-19 15:36:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 19	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x3f4d6c…
03-19 15:35:35	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 19	No	BUY	969	100¢	$968	0x560dbf…
03-19 00:59:41	will xrp reach 1pt55 on march 18	No	BUY	348	100¢	$347	0x5bf78b…
03-19 00:57:31	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 18	No	BUY	378	100¢	$377	0x687727…
03-19 00:53:49	will xrp reach 1pt6 on march 18	No	BUY	302	100¢	$301	0xa91487…
03-18 15:58:37	cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	Louisville Cardinals	SELL	1,520	66¢	$1,003	0x018632…
03-18 15:30:37	cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	Louisville Cardinals	BUY	1,520	66¢	$1,003	0xae8cbc…
03-17 15:15:39	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 17	No	BUY	1,021	100¢	$1,020	0x07e4e2…
03-16 14:12:05	ethereum above 2100 on march 16	Yes	BUY	1,020	100¢	$1,019	0xfa3e1f…
03-15 19:03:17	will xrp dip to 1pt25 on march 15	No	BUY	1,019	100¢	$1,018	0x5b7d89…
03-15 03:17:35	will solana dip to 85 on march 14	No	BUY	687	100¢	$686	0x6affe9…
03-15 03:16:11	will solana dip to 80 on march 14	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x6a3fa2…
03-15 03:15:23	will xrp reach 1pt5 on march 14	No	BUY	192	100¢	$191	0x2fe757…
03-14 14:36:31	will the price of solana be between 80 90 on march 14	Yes	BUY	1,016	100¢	$1,015	0x74c246…
03-13 14:29:23	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 13	No	BUY	1,015	100¢	$1,014	0xb377f3…
03-10 07:46:19	ethereum above 1800 on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,011	100¢	$1,010	0xcb8ed2…
03-09 09:42:19	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	No	BUY	1,010	100¢	$1,009	0x0a7103…