Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$610

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

492

Trades

1,288

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$233

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 10-27 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 45% -$265

Other

30% 42% -$359

Politics

14% 28% +$18

Sports

1% 36% -$4

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+253	$212	91¢	$230	+$18	10-27 21:04
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+77	$2	2¢	$2	$0	10-20 18:42
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	38¢	$1	$0	10-21 21:27
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+268	$2	0¢	$1	-$1	10-20 18:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	2	$432	233	233	+0	Yes	+$32	06-23 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 21:25 UTC	3	$424	244	227	+18	Up	+$27	04-02 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 22:35 UTC	6	$388	225	199	+26	Up	+$7	04-02 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 21:20 UTC	6	$388	216	202	+15	Down	+$13	04-02 21:25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$385	282	282	+0	Yes	+$73	10-26 00:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 22:45 UTC	3	$385	212	195	+17	Down	+$1	04-02 22:50
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	14	$372	378	125	+253	open	—	10-27 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 21:05 UTC	3	$362	192	191	+1	Down	+$17	04-02 21:10
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	6	$335	384	384	+0	Yes	-$120	07-10 07:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	13	$324	222	222	+0	open	—	10-27 20:55
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	5	$312	179	179	+0	No	+$43	07-03 15:35
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$306	198	198	+0	Yes	+$12	10-26 22:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 20:55 UTC	4	$282	170	152	+18	Down	+$21	04-02 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 16:30 UTC	13	$263	247	126	+121	Up	-$7	04-03 16:35
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	1	$253	301	0	+301	No	-$253	06-23 19:54
Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?	3	$230	133	133	+0	Yes	+$32	09-21 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 22:55 UTC	3	$221	229	29	+200	Down	-$161	04-02 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:30 UTC	18	$208	346	147	+200	Down	+$91	04-03 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 19:05 UTC	2	$196	109	108	+1	Up	+$19	04-01 19:11
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	14	$178	140	140	+0	open	—	10-27 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 18:55 UTC	2	$170	91	90	+1	Down	+$9	04-01 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 15:05 UTC	2	$156	128	122	+7	Up	+$91	04-02 15:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 20:15 UTC	2	$154	202	195	+8	Down	-$35	04-01 20:17
cs2 minlat ursa 2026 04 03	3	$152	91	86	+5	Ursa	-$1	04-03 17:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:20 UTC	14	$150	216	73	+143	Up	-$4	04-03 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:05 UTC	18	$138	142	72	+70	Up	+$7	04-03 15:10
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	7	$135	99	99	+0	open	—	10-27 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:45 UTC	2	$134	167	0	+167	Down	+$0	04-02 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 00:05 UTC	6	$130	117	71	+47	Down	+$12	04-03 00:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:55 UTC	8	$129	143	65	+79	Down	+$2	04-03 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:04:14	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	253	84¢	$212	0x354bbe…
10-27 20:55:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	52	48¢	$25	0x761dee…
10-27 20:55:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	68	68¢	$46	0x96406e…
10-27 20:11:33	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x3095fd…
10-27 20:11:20	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0x649aa8…
10-27 20:02:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0x73fcd7…
10-27 20:02:11	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0x820fe1…
10-27 19:24:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	26	66¢	$17	0x60bf8a…
10-27 19:24:48	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	27	67¢	$18	0x36363f…
10-27 19:00:05	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x34e063…
10-27 18:58:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x636c8f…
10-27 18:58:50	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x061c1a…
10-27 18:35:50	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	64	14¢	$9	0x6962ad…
10-27 18:35:00	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xd24865…
10-27 18:34:56	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xe2b013…
10-27 18:20:15	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc77bca…
10-27 15:51:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x1ba3eb…
10-27 15:50:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	38	75¢	$29	0x26ead9…
10-27 15:50:27	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	39	75¢	$30	0xba3caa…
10-27 15:50:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	68	81¢	$55	0xda1531…
10-27 15:28:27	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0xedf069…
10-27 15:28:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	33	37¢	$12	0x7dafd2…
10-27 15:05:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x1e060d…
10-27 15:05:24	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0x409af7…
10-27 10:29:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	35	73¢	$25	0x96103c…
10-27 09:35:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xfdf4d0…
10-27 09:35:12	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdc6faf…
10-27 09:00:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x5859da…
10-27 09:00:00	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x84791a…
10-27 08:59:56	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0x611497…
10-27 08:59:51	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xfe04df…
10-27 08:59:45	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xda5537…
10-27 08:59:39	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0xf2ff85…
10-27 08:59:35	Will Republicans win the Mississippi, South Carolina, and Montana Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x27a741…
10-27 08:59:18	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0x799f3e…
10-27 08:51:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x860827…
10-27 07:23:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x133fdb…
10-27 07:23:18	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xf5bf7d…
10-27 07:21:18	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x580289…
10-27 07:20:38	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xbb9da9…
10-27 06:05:56	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x887cd1…
10-27 06:02:45	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xe707c9…
10-27 06:02:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xc8ee59…
10-27 06:01:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x8b48c2…
10-26 22:51:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xd4ab14…
10-26 21:31:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x4ca22d…
10-26 21:29:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	159	75¢	$120	0xd5f3fd…
10-26 20:43:20	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0x2b8176…
10-26 18:57:32	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	SELL	48	59¢	$29	0x7486fc…
10-26 17:57:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	122	73¢	$89	0x4f9371…
10-26 10:50:17	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x58f01b…
10-26 10:49:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x35cbfb…
10-26 09:08:59	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	15	83¢	$13	0x316a2c…
10-26 09:08:33	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$3	0xd98974…
10-26 00:08:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	166	100¢	$165	0x58df52…
10-25 22:47:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	45	63¢	$28	0x4c1b8b…
10-25 22:47:23	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	21	74¢	$15	0xd1cd88…
10-25 22:47:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0x99ef1b…
10-25 22:37:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	121	69¢	$83	0x2067f9…
10-25 22:32:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xfad5c4…
10-25 22:32:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	76	74¢	$56	0x0c92c7…
10-25 22:31:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	41	25¢	$10	0x72cfda…
10-25 22:30:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe68250…
10-25 22:30:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	24	68¢	$16	0x07f3e6…
10-25 22:29:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xbaf9b5…
10-25 22:29:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	35	73¢	$25	0x41e8c1…
10-25 21:59:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x29e358…
10-25 19:50:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xf6ff7d…
10-25 12:56:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	32	43¢	$14	0xc10b09…
10-25 12:55:50	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$10	0x51f6e4…
10-25 12:55:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xddce34…
10-25 06:31:03	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x9caa27…
10-25 06:28:50	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x809a4c…
10-25 06:28:30	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc33ed9…
10-25 06:26:48	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb935f7…
10-25 06:25:45	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xfbefc0…
10-25 06:25:30	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x787047…
10-25 06:22:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4b4931…
10-24 07:42:59	Will FK Dinamo Moskva win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x69a0fe…
10-24 07:32:23	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xe0e632…
10-24 07:24:56	Will Republicans win the Mississippi, South Carolina, and Montana Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x7db95d…
10-24 00:54:35	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4951e7…
10-24 00:54:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x60757f…
10-23 19:44:06	Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)	PARIVISION	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x5758fb…
10-23 15:28:35	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xc93392…
10-23 15:28:30	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0x8733d6…
10-23 08:58:48	Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)	PARIVISION	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xd5616a…
10-23 08:58:00	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x9fcee9…
10-23 08:57:33	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0xdfbc92…
10-23 08:57:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x27aa6b…
10-23 08:56:48	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x58090b…
10-23 08:55:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0x51a963…
10-23 08:55:11	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	73¢	$16	0x8c8974…
10-22 21:38:23	Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)	PARIVISION	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x8e4bef…
10-22 19:47:06	Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5)	PARIVISION	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x371d16…
10-22 17:01:30	Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf1ae5b…
10-22 17:00:57	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x1869d0…
10-22 14:28:15	Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5)	PARIVISION	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xdfdcc8…
10-22 14:23:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x2112ea…
10-22 14:22:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x19cff0…