Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$37

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 10-09 10:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

43% 80% +$1

Other

38% 86% +$0

Sports

14% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	+3	$3	97¢	$3	+$0	08-05 17:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$2	88¢	$2	+$0	10-01 09:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	09-07 09:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	09-07 09:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	09-07 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 10:27:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8f1fdd…
10-01 09:48:42	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x9c45bc…
10-01 09:48:17	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3debc0…
09-07 09:20:31	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8427a6…
09-07 09:20:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6b8067…
09-07 09:19:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8f9c73…
08-20 14:48:24	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd04463…
08-20 14:48:06	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe1ff7c…
08-20 14:44:43	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1dfe4e…
08-20 14:44:27	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe7f456…
08-18 10:51:31	Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7b98d4…
08-05 17:06:48	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa4f0f4…
08-05 17:05:53	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa071d1…
07-15 19:14:49	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4c58ed…
07-15 19:11:53	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9a1ef3…
07-15 19:10:56	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xc7b655…
06-14 17:49:10	Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6733ee…
06-14 17:40:46	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe87871…
06-14 17:39:16	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb9be7b…
05-01 09:06:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdca351…
04-27 12:23:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xabb09e…
04-13 09:06:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c26fe…
04-10 14:38:27	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x14bafb…
04-09 16:14:01	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeebff4…
04-09 11:57:29	Will the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x565d16…
04-09 11:57:25	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x498216…
04-09 11:52:01	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x46dfc4…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	08-05 17:06
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	10-09 10:27
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	07-15 19:10
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	08-05 17:05
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	08-20 14:48
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-20 14:48
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	04-10 14:38
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	04-09 16:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-01 09:48
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	06-14 17:39
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	07-15 19:11
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-18 10:51
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	09-07 09:20
Will the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-09 11:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-13 09:06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-27 12:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-01 09:06
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	07-15 19:14
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-14 17:40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	09-07 09:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	09-07 09:20
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-14 17:49