Kindhearted-Picture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-19 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

53% 95% -$2

Crypto

43% 84% -$3

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	10-19 15:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$109	109	+109	Yes	+$0	03-13 09:07
bitcoin above 74k on march 9	1	$109	109	+109	No	+$0	03-09 01:22
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 380 399	1	$108	109	+109	No	+$0	04-01 06:16
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$108	109	+109	No	+$1	02-12 03:58
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	02-04 06:29
bitcoin above 76k on march 28	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	03-27 10:52
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	03-23 09:13
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	01-31 09:05
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 220 239	1	$108	108	+108	No	+$0	01-27 06:42
bitcoin above 84k on january 23	1	$107	108	+108	Yes	+$1	01-22 08:45
bitcoin above 62k on april 13	1	$105	105	+105	Yes	+$0	04-12 08:45
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	1	$105	107	+107	No	+$2	01-18 08:09
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$102	102	+102	No	+$0	05-10 06:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$102	102	+102	No	+$0	05-05 09:03
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$102	102	+102	No	+$0	05-17 08:17
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	1	$101	101	+101	No	+$0	04-17 10:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16?	1	$101	101	+101	Yes	+$0	05-14 10:44
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 440 459	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	04-07 03:43
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$99	99	+99	No	+$0	05-28 07:42
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?	1	$99	99	+99	No	+$0	05-25 06:34
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	1	$99	99	+99	No	+$0	06-05 08:00
bitcoin above 82k on april 23	1	$96	97	+97	No	+$0	04-23 10:44
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	03-17 08:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	08-26 14:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	07-24 08:40
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	09-03 09:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	10-19 15:47
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	1	$7	18	+18	Tampa Bay Rays	+$11	10-19 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$4	1,790	+1,790	No	-$4	04-23 10:44
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$3	1,620	+1,620	No	-$3	04-17 10:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 15:47:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1ae694…
10-19 15:31:09	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x9f03a9…
09-03 09:58:00	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb4c82f…
09-03 09:54:09	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x2b190c…
08-26 14:49:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd42be5…
07-24 08:40:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa7e2f0…
06-05 08:00:33	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x539cea…
05-28 07:42:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xba9e4f…
05-25 06:34:29	Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x3f2abf…
05-25 06:34:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,615	0¢	$3	0x911c4a…
05-17 08:17:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x2d0c67…
05-14 10:44:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x4c3d0b…
05-10 06:51:58	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xb74cf5…
05-05 09:03:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x1b0d68…
04-23 10:44:52	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	97	100¢	$96	0x9908f1…
04-23 10:44:46	Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfeae67…
04-23 10:44:36	Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd46bcc…
04-23 10:44:26	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,790	0¢	$4	0x8199f8…
04-17 10:41:12	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 190 214	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x3fd9ea…
04-17 10:41:00	Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b53e0…
04-17 10:40:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa27add…
04-17 10:40:32	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,620	0¢	$3	0xff8ba4…
04-12 08:45:17	bitcoin above 62k on april 13	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x12683b…
04-12 08:45:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c6f2a…
04-12 08:44:51	Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf6ae6d…
04-12 08:44:29	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68261a…
04-07 03:43:19	ethereum above 2400 on april 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4de8a…
04-07 03:43:15	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce0927…
04-07 03:43:03	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 440 459	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa1c950…
04-01 06:16:01	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 380 399	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0xaf1284…
04-01 06:15:13	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5e0f37…
03-27 10:52:09	bitcoin above 76k on march 28	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xcd4077…
03-23 09:13:23	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x79bece…
03-17 08:59:51	ethereum above 2100 on march 17	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c2394…
03-17 08:59:37	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x64a647…
03-17 08:59:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd4710d…
03-13 09:07:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x3a0302…
03-09 01:22:29	bitcoin above 74k on march 9	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xbaa4bb…
02-12 03:58:27	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x901641…
02-04 06:29:54	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x528966…
01-31 09:05:48	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x68e2af…
01-27 06:42:27	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 220 239	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x1bdd02…
01-22 08:45:54	bitcoin above 84k on january 23	Yes	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x941cc2…
01-18 08:09:38	will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	No	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0xac7949…