Vague-Suede — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

192 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$207

$2.01K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 09-02 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

74% 84% -$79

Politics

21% 82% -$15

Tech

4% 88% +$1

Sports

1% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Google say "Alphabet" during earnings call?	2	$78	41	41	+0	Yes	-$2	04-19 08:25
will china or chinese be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600442	2	$50	54	0	+54	Yes	+$4	07-22 20:00
will problem be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957177	2	$47	50	0	+50	Yes	+$2	07-15 19:36
will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 15 20260611144822150	2	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	$0	06-13 15:58
will rookie be said during the valorant masters london 2026 grand finals 20260609165010371	1	$40	43	0	+43	Yes	+$3	06-21 14:29
will soul be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915153	4	$40	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	07-12 08:32
will level be said 15 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915151	3	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	07-09 23:21
will cava say shrimp during earnings call 20260807205722559	2	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$1	08-11 21:06
will cisco say growth during earnings call 20260807205828982	2	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	08-12 20:34
will yeti say international 20 times during earnings call 20260810174204162	2	$35	36	0	+36	No	-$35	08-13 12:51
will best buy say deliver or delivered during earnings call	2	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	08-27 12:04
will masterclass be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915164	4	$33	30	20	+10	Yes	+$0	07-12 05:40
Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 31?	3	$32	33	16	+17	No	-$11	09-01 21:08
will trump say space force during tribute to america rally 20260630160620567	2	$28	29	0	+29	Yes	+$1	07-05 03:45
will music be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 15 20260611144822149	1	$20	25	0	+25	Yes	+$4	06-12 17:06
will different be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957176	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-15 20:02
will green be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001208	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 22:21
will ai or artificial intelligence be said 15 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957167	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-15 23:40
will trump say pennsylvania at freedom 250 showcase 20260713143133760	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-13 18:44
will trump say barack hussein obama this week 20260719005322456	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-21 15:31
will trump say state of the union or state of union in august 20260728220215912	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	08-05 22:00
will trump say stupid this week 20260710153927805	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	07-13 18:10
will iran or iranian be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260604160625620	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	06-10 19:25
will texas be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of june 22 20260618145747656	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	-$3	06-22 14:59
will cava say expansion during earnings call 20260807205722558	2	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	08-11 21:05
will cava say salmon during earnings call 20260807205722556	2	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	08-11 21:06
will trump say tremendous this week 20260906	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	08-31 19:11
Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 31?	1	$15	309	0	+309	No	-$15	09-01 17:01
will fuck or fucking be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 10 20260807160754647	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	08-12 17:03
Will Nvidia say "Anthropic" during earnings call?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	08-26 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 23:14:28	Will Trump say "God" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc428d4…
09-02 17:56:10	Will Trump say "Fever" or "Flu" this week?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x085d68…
09-01 21:08:30	Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 31?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x142166…
09-01 21:08:13	Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 31?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0xa21465…
09-01 17:50:30	Will "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xce0f0c…
09-01 17:27:37	Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x180237…
09-01 17:01:48	Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	309	5¢	$15	0x3ef32d…
08-31 19:14:00	Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "TrumpRX Dot Gov" in August?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x48504e…
08-31 19:11:34	will trump say tremendous this week 20260906	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6ad3dd…
08-27 12:04:31	will best buy say deliver or delivered during earnings call	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x88dd08…
08-27 12:04:30	will best buy say deliver or delivered during earnings call	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xab7361…
08-26 21:15:16	Will Nvidia say "Taiwan" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x690375…
08-26 21:06:43	Will Nvidia say "Anthropic" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd6a4c7…
08-26 21:04:45	Will Nvidia say "Cosmos" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe0230f…
08-26 19:00:46	Will "China" or "Chinese" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9657d0…
08-13 12:51:13	will yeti say international 20 times during earnings call 20260810174204162	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x565f3d…
08-13 12:51:12	will yeti say international 20 times during earnings call 20260810174204162	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9f337f…
08-12 20:39:40	will cisco say chip during earnings call 20260807205828983	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2e94a2…
08-12 20:34:40	will cisco say growth during earnings call 20260807205828982	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb9e71a…
08-12 20:34:40	will cisco say growth during earnings call 20260807205828982	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb1345c…
08-12 19:05:31	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 10 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260807161048094	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb853d8…
08-12 17:06:46	will red be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 10 20260807160754656	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc47257…
08-12 17:03:51	will fuck or fucking be said 10 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 10 20260807160754647	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x80dd30…
08-11 21:06:57	will cava say shrimp during earnings call 20260807205722559	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8c0ff1…
08-11 21:06:57	will cava say shrimp during earnings call 20260807205722559	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x09744e…
08-11 21:06:30	will cava say salmon during earnings call 20260807205722556	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd8ba60…
08-11 21:06:30	will cava say salmon during earnings call 20260807205722556	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x017149…
08-11 21:05:51	will cava say expansion during earnings call 20260807205722558	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeaad5c…
08-11 21:05:49	will cava say expansion during earnings call 20260807205722558	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x88300e…
08-07 19:21:49	will trump say rare earth or mineral during friday roundtable 20260805211427285	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3b8116…
08-07 19:17:49	will trump say copper during friday roundtable 20260807001205003	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5eeafd…
08-06 23:19:42	will trump say world cup in august 20260728220215938	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb22c76…
08-06 23:15:27	will trump say historic during team usa reception 20260806140037179	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbb806a…
08-06 23:15:11	will trump say hottest during team usa reception 20260806140037184	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5e9a68…
08-06 20:24:00	will trump say middle east in august 20260728181450065	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbdc6cd…
08-05 22:21:00	will trump say dictionary in august 20260728220215917	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf861d2…
08-05 22:00:39	will trump say state of the union or state of union in august 20260728220215912	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb0695b…
08-05 22:00:36	will trump say state of the union or state of union in august 20260728220215912	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20eed1…
08-05 21:21:14	will trump say dictionary in august 20260728220215917	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe6c373…
08-05 19:11:11	will prediction be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260731210500899	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8b6d2b…
08-05 19:05:14	will money be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260731210500902	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8fac7c…
08-05 19:05:14	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 10 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260731210500896	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x08f0ad…
08-05 19:01:38	will red be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260731210500903	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb3247a…
08-05 19:00:53	will time be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260731210500901	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3e7c6d…
08-05 19:00:53	will think be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260731210500900	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01e212…
08-05 17:00:47	will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932769	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2c7c7…
07-29 19:08:45	will money be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260727161101873	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12811e…
07-29 19:08:18	will problem be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260727161140056	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xedeff0…
07-29 19:06:51	will trump be said 5 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260727161101866	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7241a8…
07-29 19:03:30	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260727161101867	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa52487…
07-29 19:02:33	will time be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260727161101872	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x599e49…
07-29 19:00:56	will different be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260727161101874	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b5536…
07-29 19:00:51	will think be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260727161101870	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44885c…
07-28 18:35:11	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd5eb82…
07-28 18:29:53	will trump say security during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556649	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x185be6…
07-28 17:41:41	will spy be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025071	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x72d3d4…
07-28 17:15:17	will problem be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025085	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe18956…
07-28 17:01:25	will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 27 20260723172025074	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79ebe0…
07-22 20:02:36	will problem be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715172625719	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdf9937…
07-22 20:02:07	will money be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715172625716	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2234e7…
07-22 20:00:54	will china or chinese be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600442	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x5c7275…
07-22 20:00:52	will china or chinese be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600442	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x13260b…
07-21 17:03:18	will right be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012855	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbc62c…
07-21 17:01:46	will different be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012862	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x686954…
07-21 17:01:10	will crazy be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 20 20260714183012860	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf73329…
07-21 15:31:55	will trump say barack hussein obama this week 20260719005322456	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd4828e…
07-21 15:31:48	will trump say barack hussein obama this week 20260719005322456	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd3633b…
07-17 01:23:38	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc7c083…
07-17 01:23:28	will trump say fentanyl during speech to the nation 20260713200621439	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x48b939…
07-17 01:13:25	will trump say maduro during speech to the nation 20260713200621437	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x304e91…
07-17 00:56:40	will trump say fentanyl during speech to the nation 20260713200621439	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8b7de9…
07-15 23:40:31	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 15 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957167	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbe1c61…
07-15 20:15:13	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 15 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957167	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab1e46…
07-15 20:02:50	will different be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957176	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcb7b44…
07-15 19:37:08	will red be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957178	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x820219…
07-15 19:36:10	will different be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957176	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xde5466…
07-15 19:36:05	will problem be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957177	Yes	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x2abf08…
07-15 19:36:04	will problem be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260709163957177	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2d9a39…
07-13 18:44:32	will trump say pennsylvania at freedom 250 showcase 20260713143133760	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa0884c…
07-13 18:10:17	will trump say stupid this week 20260710153927805	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2c88e2…
07-13 18:10:14	will trump say stupid this week 20260710153927805	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8fdfa…
07-13 18:09:59	will trump say freedom at freedom 250 showcase 20260713143133747	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bb612…
07-13 18:08:37	will trump say greatest at freedom 250 showcase 20260713143133750	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x80d52b…
07-13 18:08:11	will trump say pennsylvania at freedom 250 showcase 20260713143133760	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78d206…
07-13 18:05:28	will trump say august at freedom 250 showcase 20260713143133749	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc5cd22…
07-12 09:23:38	will dive be said 10 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915152	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6aac8e…
07-12 08:32:34	will soul be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915153	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf595bb…
07-12 07:49:46	will soul be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915153	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2dc8ba…
07-12 06:58:25	will dominating or domination be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915159	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2f8cce…
07-12 06:36:55	will gold be said 30 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915150	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3db717…
07-12 05:59:44	will pentakill or penta be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915156	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa8f5a0…
07-12 05:40:14	will masterclass be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915164	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf219b3…
07-11 02:49:14	will soul be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915153	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x12f229…
07-11 02:40:11	will spacex be said 3 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212416	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x887847…
07-11 02:40:08	will ipo be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212417	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x65a804…
07-11 02:40:07	will anthropic be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212421	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdfe907…
07-11 02:40:05	will software be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260707174212425	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe439b4…
07-09 23:22:38	will masterclass be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915164	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xfe6695…
07-09 23:21:46	will level be said 15 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915151	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xce81a2…
07-09 08:44:07	will soul be said 5 times during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915153	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6604c6…