Noisy-Lox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

402

Trades

586

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 10-05 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 53% -$2,230

Other

3% 67% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 20:35 UTC	4	$954	608	608	+0	Down	+$154	08-09 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:20 UTC	4	$813	736	475	+261	Down	-$186	08-10 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:50 UTC	3	$704	609	327	+281	Up	-$96	10-05 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:00 UTC	3	$673	514	268	+246	Up	+$56	08-10 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$522	948	478	+470	Down	-$466	09-06 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$499	813	813	+0	Down	-$344	09-06 06:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:45 UTC	3	$495	307	307	+0	Up	+$95	10-03 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 19:40 UTC	3	$433	368	209	+159	Up	+$35	08-10 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$361	329	269	+60	Up	+$79	09-05 13:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 19:50 UTC	2	$349	200	200	+0	Up	+$33	08-10 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:35 UTC	3	$320	360	0	+360	Down	+$5	10-03 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:30 UTC	2	$319	513	513	+0	Up	-$196	08-10 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:00 UTC	1	$316	611	0	+611	Down	-$316	10-05 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$300	306	0	+306	Up	+$6	10-05 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$284	192	192	+0	Up	+$88	09-06 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:10 UTC	1	$258	315	0	+315	Down	-$258	08-10 20:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:05 UTC	1	$245	261	0	+261	Up	+$16	08-10 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:35 UTC	4	$236	127	127	+0	Down	+$4	08-10 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$218	427	0	+427	Down	-$218	09-06 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$217	425	0	+425	Up	+$208	10-02 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 19:25 UTC	2	$203	318	318	+0	Up	-$117	08-10 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 19:55 UTC	1	$193	196	0	+196	Up	+$3	08-10 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 11:40 UTC	3	$181	171	103	+68	Down	+$10	08-10 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 19:45 UTC	2	$168	179	0	+179	Down	-$5	08-10 19:49
dota2 ngx flc 2026 08 20	5	$156	125	125	+0	Nigma Galaxy	-$15	08-20 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:40 UTC	4	$146	174	34	+140	Up	+$6	10-03 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:20 UTC	5	$142	180	172	+8	Down	-$57	08-09 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$140	98	98	+0	Up	+$40	09-05 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$133	90	90	+0	Up	+$43	09-05 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$127	143	0	+143	Up	+$2	10-03 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 10:59:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	611	52¢	$316	0x1eb1d2…
10-05 10:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0xdb8c14…
10-05 10:14:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x2f2fa6…
10-05 10:02:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x0cb8a4…
10-05 09:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	281	36¢	$100	0x8b5b01…
10-05 09:53:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:50 UTC	Up	SELL	327	93¢	$304	0x62195d…
10-05 09:52:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	327	92¢	$300	0x45ec39…
10-05 09:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x75ae0e…
10-05 09:43:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	126	80¢	$100	0x6357cf…
10-05 09:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0xabd7d0…
10-05 09:28:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0xd3feb6…
10-05 09:12:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x89a34d…
10-05 09:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xe29973…
10-05 08:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xcb08c0…
10-05 08:54:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xdb646e…
10-05 08:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x2ab13b…
10-05 08:42:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x45a0a4…
10-05 08:38:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xa21302…
10-05 08:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa831ce…
10-05 08:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x0bdb8e…
10-03 19:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x34151f…
10-03 19:42:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x074ace…
10-03 19:41:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	34	18¢	$6	0xe24c0f…
10-03 19:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xcc1c90…
10-03 19:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x951466…
10-03 19:37:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xf50aad…
10-03 19:33:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x72ffff…
10-03 19:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x2ea811…
10-03 19:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xdf435c…
10-03 19:22:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x473410…
10-03 19:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x4aa9bb…
10-03 19:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0x48b10b…
10-03 19:16:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x880c71…
10-03 19:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x9e34ec…
10-03 19:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xe80abd…
10-03 19:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd4d2cc…
10-03 19:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x5745bc…
10-03 19:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	32	18¢	$6	0x2dbe78…
10-03 19:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x3e3053…
10-03 19:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x14f149…
10-03 19:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x8c40f9…
10-03 18:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4acb2f…
10-03 18:55:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb1ac30…
10-03 18:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xf27e1f…
10-03 18:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x46660d…
10-03 18:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x968966…
10-03 18:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x4f5130…
10-03 18:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xf5b8fd…
10-03 18:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xcc6f32…
10-03 18:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x3f042d…
10-03 18:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x461328…
10-03 18:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x2bc2e1…
10-03 18:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xa80603…
10-03 18:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x23fbf6…
10-03 18:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x7b8e61…
10-03 18:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xed46af…
10-03 18:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x0f55e2…
10-03 18:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x9c10c0…
10-03 18:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x970aca…
10-03 18:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x958908…
10-03 18:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x012f07…
10-03 18:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xdedea1…
10-03 18:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xd07f2e…
10-03 17:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0x35a1b5…
10-03 17:48:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	67	52¢	$35	0x4498cc…
10-03 17:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdef791…
10-03 17:38:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xa69350…
10-03 17:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xdf16ae…
10-03 17:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x8f8c2c…
10-03 17:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xb9d7e2…
10-03 17:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb55b2b…
10-03 17:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x971c0d…
10-03 17:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x11c375…
10-03 17:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x7421e2…
10-03 17:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x8a9119…
10-03 17:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xe3530e…
10-03 15:12:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:10 UTC	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xea67b3…
10-03 15:09:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xc88923…
10-03 15:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:05 UTC	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x3a100d…
10-03 15:05:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8425fa…
10-03 15:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xc9da7a…
10-03 14:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xf7049a…
10-03 14:59:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x41bccf…
10-03 14:55:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x34d2ce…
10-03 14:48:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa9b466…
10-03 14:46:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	307	96¢	$295	0xab38ba…
10-03 14:45:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xcda6c0…
10-03 14:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	177	56¢	$100	0xce89b4…
10-03 14:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xad2ebc…
10-03 14:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xca9af6…
10-03 14:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xbf7b38…
10-03 14:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0xf3d13a…
10-03 14:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6ad9a5…
10-03 13:48:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb8ac3c…
10-03 12:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x274745…
10-03 12:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	73	48¢	$35	0x14920a…
10-03 12:07:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x421927…
10-03 12:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf190ad…
10-03 12:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xefafef…
10-03 11:55:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xb388ba…