Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$38,292
Trades
3,625
Unique wallets
766
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2026-10-03
First seen
2026-10-03
last 10-03 19:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.2¢
(top1%: 24% YES on $13.2K
vs crowd: 24% YES on $34.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 151 | $4.2K | $14.4K | $10.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 210 | $1.8K | $6.8K | $5.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 249 | $1.9K | $4.2K | $2.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 156 | $334 | $726 | $391 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 161 | $3.2K | $10.1K | $6.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 92 | $1.1K | $4.1K | $3.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 49 | $130 | $1.1K | $932 |
| Median | 42 | $18 | $293 | $276 |
| Below median | 176 | $295 | $2.3K | $2.0K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 103 | $252 | $1.7K | $1.5K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 93 | $1.2K | $3.4K | $2.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 50 | $2.0K | $3.1K | $1.1K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x24fa…acc9 | Up | +2,807 | $720 | $720 | 20 | 10-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x718e…0126 | Down | +1,116 | $900 | $900 | 3 | 10-03 19:37 |
| Writhing-Cure 0xb17a…f7e5 | Down | +1,000 | $990 | $990 | 3 | 10-03 19:39 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | +895 | $68 | $68 | 2 | 10-03 19:37 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +895 | $544 | $544 | 11 | 10-03 19:39 |
| Stale-Timpani 0x404e…4cd2 | Down | +839 | $831 | $831 | 1 | 10-03 19:38 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | +836 | $89 | $89 | 14 | 10-03 19:38 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +735 | $75 | $75 | 41 | 10-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +735 | $202 | $202 | 37 | 10-03 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +734 | $538 | $538 | 29 | 10-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xa931…8430 | Down | +650 | $634 | $634 | 1 | 10-03 19:38 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +600 | $6 | $6 | 8 | 10-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b10…2920 | Up | +593 | $383 | $383 | 1 | 10-03 19:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb43…98b0 | Up | +572 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-03 19:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4e2…fef6 | Down | +556 | $469 | $469 | 7 | 10-03 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +538 | $68 | $68 | 40 | 10-03 19:37 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +523 | $430 | $430 | 31 | 10-03 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +518 | $93 | $93 | 22 | 10-03 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x321e…b542 | Down | +458 | $449 | $449 | 1 | 10-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x762d…964c | Down | +435 | $416 | $416 | 9 | 10-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +427 | $250 | $250 | 5 | 10-03 19:36 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +426 | $75 | $75 | 33 | 10-03 19:37 |
| Whole-Transcript 0xc9b8…599b | Up | +415 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 10-03 19:38 |
| Utter-Decade 0x1c92…3e42 | Up | +415 | $8 | $8 | 7 | 10-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 19 | 10-03 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x870b…4111 | Up | +400 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-03 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x5326…7510 | Up | +400 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x56a7…f4ea | Down | +400 | $344 | $344 | 12 | 10-03 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Up | +395 | $49 | $49 | 41 | 10-03 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +390 | $57 | $57 | 28 | 10-03 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Up | +377 | $62 | $62 | 35 | 10-03 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xaae2…3624 | Up | +375 | $56 | $56 | 15 | 10-03 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +373 | $277 | $277 | 12 | 10-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +366 | $226 | $226 | 13 | 10-03 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Down | +364 | $299 | $299 | 25 | 10-03 19:38 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Up | +354 | $44 | $44 | 12 | 10-03 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Down | +342 | $225 | $225 | 10 | 10-03 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +336 | $213 | $213 | 7 | 10-03 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d89…65fd | Up | +327 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 10-03 19:36 |
| Noisy-Lox 0x1c4a…081b | Down | +325 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 10-03 19:37 |
| Daring-Spasm 0xfc2f…0fdf | Up | +324 | $6 | $6 | 21 | 10-03 19:38 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +322 | $218 | $218 | 5 | 10-03 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | +320 | $215 | $215 | 8 | 10-03 19:36 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +318 | $29 | $29 | 5 | 10-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xe815…d7cb | Down | +306 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-03 19:38 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +304 | $280 | $280 | 1 | 10-03 19:36 |
| Watchful-Milk 0xdb1d…b6c2 | Down | +300 | $153 | $153 | 4 | 10-03 19:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | +300 | $167 | $172 | 4 | 10-03 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 15 | 10-03 19:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Up | +297 | $28 | $28 | 15 | 10-03 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x8df9…114c | Down | +293 | $249 | $249 | 1 | 10-03 19:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Down | +283 | $280 | $280 | 1 | 10-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xe516…cd13 | Down | +282 | $146 | $146 | 12 | 10-03 19:36 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | +280 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 10-03 19:37 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +280 | $210 | $210 | 12 | 10-03 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xe134…ba10 | Down | +279 | $248 | $248 | 16 | 10-03 19:38 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +276 | $213 | $213 | 22 | 10-03 19:38 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +275 | $43 | $43 | 21 | 10-03 19:39 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +270 | $21 | $21 | 6 | 10-03 19:38 |
| Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7 | Down | +255 | $109 | $109 | 11 | 10-03 19:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 19:41:36 | (anonymous) 0x00b8…0c84 | Down | SELL | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x6d0167… |
| 10-03 19:41:36 | (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | BUY | 23 | 100¢ | $23 | 0x6d0167… |
| 10-03 19:41:13 | (anonymous) 0x1073…ee05 | Down | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x85a5e5… |
| 10-03 19:41:13 | (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x85a5e5… |
| 10-03 19:39:37 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x83b46a… |
| 10-03 19:39:37 | Dead-Dinosaur 0xc263…9325 | Down | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x83b46a… |
| 10-03 19:39:30 | (anonymous) 0xc2c3…0e32 | Down | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x428b26… |
| 10-03 19:39:30 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Down | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x428b26… |
| 10-03 19:39:13 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2f12b0… |
| 10-03 19:39:13 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x58e577… |
| 10-03 19:39:13 | (anonymous) 0x3d11…5349 | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2f12b0… |
| 10-03 19:39:13 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x58e577… |
| 10-03 19:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Down | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x72dfd3… |
| 10-03 19:39:12 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0af2de… |
| 10-03 19:39:12 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3ad52a… |
| 10-03 19:39:12 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Down | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x3f3287… |
| 10-03 19:39:12 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Down | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x72dfd3… |
| 10-03 19:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x3d11…5349 | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0af2de… |
| 10-03 19:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Down | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x3f3287… |
| 10-03 19:39:12 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0fbec6… |
| 10-03 19:39:12 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x83ed75… |
| 10-03 19:39:12 | (anonymous) 0xa3db…924c | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3ad52a… |
| 10-03 19:39:12 | (anonymous) 0xa3db…924c | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0fbec6… |
| 10-03 19:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x3d11…5349 | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x83ed75… |
| 10-03 19:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x052d…1845 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x914ae6… |
| 10-03 19:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x8f55…8b51 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5d1e33… |
| 10-03 19:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5d1e33… |
| 10-03 19:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x914ae6… |
| 10-03 19:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xaf7eb6… |
| 10-03 19:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x022b…f107 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6a69f0… |
| 10-03 19:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xb745a6… |
| 10-03 19:39:09 | Blue-Valuable 0x78b3…3a3d | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xaf7eb6… |
| 10-03 19:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x022b…f107 | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xb745a6… |
| 10-03 19:39:09 | Slippery-Peach 0x888a…7197 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd00485… |
| 10-03 19:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xec5940… |
| 10-03 19:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x2ea6…25ea | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x5c7d88… |
| 10-03 19:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x6a69f0… |
| 10-03 19:39:09 | (anonymous) 0xeb7e…8213 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xec5940… |
| 10-03 19:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd00485… |
| 10-03 19:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x5c7d88… |
| 10-03 19:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x0c0d…05de | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x691765… |
| 10-03 19:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x66d3b7… |
| 10-03 19:39:07 | Blue-Valuable 0x78b3…3a3d | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x5cabe7… |
| 10-03 19:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x691765… |
| 10-03 19:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x6fb14c… |
| 10-03 19:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x5cabe7… |
| 10-03 19:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x022b…f107 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x66d3b7… |
| 10-03 19:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x022b…f107 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x742338… |
| 10-03 19:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x022b…f107 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x079df8… |
| 10-03 19:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x079df8… |
| 10-03 19:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x742338… |
| 10-03 19:39:07 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x6fb14c… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | Thoughtful-Proportion 0x8192…0664 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5c1835… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0x02cd71… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xa0626b… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0xd77d…cfb8 | Down | SELL | 179 | 99¢ | $177 | 0x02cd71… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x78ea54… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x722d…46c5 | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x4042b6… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0e2033… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | Rough-Vitamin 0x8ff4…5607 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf238f0… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x022b…f107 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xd9664a… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | Writhing-Cure 0xb17a…f7e5 | Down | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $149 | 0x02cd71… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x022b…f107 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xe4818b… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x78ea54… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | Careful-Rations 0xe8ad…a859 | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x4042b6… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | Writhing-Cure 0xb17a…f7e5 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x6192c2… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xd9664a… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x5cfb…2ac5 | Down | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xa0626b… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | Careful-Rations 0xe8ad…a859 | Down | SELL | 815 | 99¢ | $806 | 0x5c1835… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | Careful-Rations 0xe8ad…a859 | Down | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x8f3af2… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0xfb06…cb25 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x8f3af2… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x022b…f107 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x6192c2… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | Writhing-Cure 0xb17a…f7e5 | Down | BUY | 850 | 99¢ | $841 | 0x5c1835… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5c1835… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xe4818b… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf238f0… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | Careful-Rations 0xe8ad…a859 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0e2033… |
| 10-03 19:39:06 | (anonymous) 0xe56b…c452 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5c1835… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Virtuous-Reef 0x5e30…1613 | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x5232c3… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Intentional-Sepal 0x09b7…d0e2 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x6b0e30… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Plain-Cashew 0x4c66…96a4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x694791… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x8dbe…88f8 | Down | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x805099… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Up | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfdfa6f… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Plain-Cashew 0x4c66…96a4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x39d98e… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Harmonious-Perch 0xf055…4b07 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x65c482… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xed022a… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x69cd75… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | BUY | 44 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6aad5c… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x016b0f… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Frank-Ballpark 0xdcaa…eeeb | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xfdfa6f… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Impressionable-Crust 0x05a5…40ae | Down | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x69cd75… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Up | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x799859… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Careful-Rations 0xe8ad…a859 | Down | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x805099… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Untidy-Lane 0x0f0d…b27d | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9735d0… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Careful-Rations 0xe8ad…a859 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9735d0… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb1c320… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Careful-Rations 0xe8ad…a859 | Down | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x08e4b3… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2e2513… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Careful-Rations 0xe8ad…a859 | Down | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x78f2d6… |
| 10-03 19:39:04 | Plain-Cashew 0x4c66…96a4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb1c320… |