Serious-Theism — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

324 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$45

$3.46K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-14 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 237 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% -$2

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-14 18:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:08
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:54
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:17
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:10
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:47
highest temperature in chongqing on april 22 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 10:25
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 12:46
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 01:30
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 16:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 06:22
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:23
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-18 08:48
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 16:05
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:42
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:09
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:22
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:11
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:52
highest temperature in jeddah on april 14 2026 32c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-14 16:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-14 05:40
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfd4f17…
11-13 07:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x030a83…
11-12 08:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfda1fa…
11-11 08:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0fa8f9…
11-08 11:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe59ab1…
11-07 10:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd15539…
11-06 09:58:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6b4fb3…
11-05 00:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2d2c34…
11-04 04:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x34c059…
11-03 17:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc1c3fb…
11-03 07:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x49b2fa…
11-02 09:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe5235a…
10-31 17:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa37d72…
10-31 04:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x66ee15…
10-30 08:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf99bc2…
10-29 15:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7ebc88…
10-29 06:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xac5436…
10-28 04:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x07eed1…
10-27 15:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2bcfe3…
10-27 07:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1643da…
10-26 04:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x137ec9…
10-24 06:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x89f3af…
10-22 09:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3e6483…
10-20 04:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x214cda…
10-19 06:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x56f244…
10-18 05:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3cc8cf…
10-17 07:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x22ebd7…
10-16 04:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1afe68…
10-15 05:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7320be…
10-14 06:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7eb27a…
10-13 13:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x229e74…
10-13 01:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x548bd9…
10-12 01:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb875c5…
10-11 01:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5387e0…
10-08 04:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x502f1f…
10-07 08:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x77f8cc…
10-06 14:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb60110…
10-06 05:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75ef88…
10-04 07:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5da98…
10-03 00:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x502800…
10-02 07:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x896030…
10-02 03:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68e270…
10-01 05:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa677b2…
09-30 07:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x176a6d…
09-29 06:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4937c4…
09-28 07:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf975d…
09-27 10:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe996f0…
09-26 08:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0f074…
09-25 01:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x223c07…
09-24 01:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c8464…
09-23 05:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf55d12…
09-22 01:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaadfed…
09-21 06:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d93fe…
09-20 02:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab50b0…
09-19 05:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17b036…
09-18 09:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x504b41…
09-18 01:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddfb1d…
09-17 00:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x834745…
09-16 07:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8a72f…
09-15 23:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x118e78…
09-15 01:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd628c6…
09-14 00:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74e7b8…
09-13 12:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f4477…
09-12 03:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5744de…
09-11 01:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce6e67…
09-10 01:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9707ba…
09-09 00:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8487c…
09-08 01:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc69b7c…
09-07 13:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1a94e…
09-07 01:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81821f…
09-06 17:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacf3af…
09-06 01:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd0c98…
09-05 08:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3b376…
09-04 08:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf92f4a…
09-03 01:06:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa0cb3…
09-02 11:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f4044…
09-01 01:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x357238…
08-30 00:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf38fc4…
08-29 05:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d0e6b…
08-28 01:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45797c…
08-27 01:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabd721…
08-26 01:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45e554…
08-25 01:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ada24…
08-24 07:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c1c08…
08-23 01:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4c64a…
08-22 01:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c2e98…
08-21 01:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0660af…
08-20 05:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x465330…
08-19 00:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78307a…
08-18 00:09:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaaf0ab…
08-17 05:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa37851…
08-16 01:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49874f…
08-15 01:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ce012…
08-14 01:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3c0f3…
08-13 00:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15c210…
08-12 00:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa2a9b…
08-11 00:12:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1c576…
08-10 00:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x795240…
08-09 00:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd374ec…
08-08 00:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1aaf3…