Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
3,148 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$27.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$209
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 08-17 21:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
91% 75% -$2,000
Politics
6% 60% -$32
Crypto
2% 33% -$560
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 67% +$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-17).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +49 $48 100¢ $49 +$1 05-15 15:18
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +49 $39 99¢ $48 +$9 05-15 20:20
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +45 $45 99¢ $45 +$0 05-15 03:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +45 $13 92¢ $42 +$29 05-17 17:03
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -10 -$1 91¢ $-9 -$8 05-01 03:29
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +5 $1 92¢ $5 +$3 08-17 21:26
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +49 $46 9¢ $5 -$41 05-15 15:18
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 08-11 01:07
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +5 $4 53¢ $3 -$1 06-05 02:21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -10 -$6 8¢ $-1 +$5 05-01 03:19
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -10 -$3 1¢ $-0 +$3 05-01 02:39
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-09 00:16
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-02 03:23