Ugly-Spill-Revival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$330

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-20

last 05-24 10:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

59% 50% -$2

Politics

39% 100% +$2

Crypto

2% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	2	$130	90	90	+0	No	+$2	05-24 08:45
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?	3	$63	1,102	0	+1,102	Yes	-$63	05-20 15:38
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	1	$46	50	0	+50	Yes	+$4	05-21 02:44
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	1	$37	100	0	+100	Yes	+$63	05-21 01:23
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	3	$36	40	0	+40	Yes	+$4	05-22 17:16
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	3	$11	135	135	+0	Yes	-$8	05-23 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	05-24 10:25
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	1	$1	50	0	+50	No	-$1	05-21 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 10:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa3f691…
05-24 08:45:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	90	73¢	$66	0xafbd19…
05-24 08:01:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	90	71¢	$64	0x0fff6b…
05-23 16:44:56	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xdf6bb1…
05-23 04:22:26	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x9029e3…
05-22 17:16:58	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$16	0x94565a…
05-22 15:37:34	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x46fc9b…
05-22 10:51:20	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x350b45…
05-21 12:33:59	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdafa37…
05-21 02:44:47	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xeddaa6…
05-21 01:23:31	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x877b08…
05-20 15:38:00	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xc63c7d…
05-20 15:01:33	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?	No	BUY	852	6¢	$50	0x126d0b…
05-20 14:59:58	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xf163c7…
05-20 13:26:26	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	135	7¢	$9	0xd7e75e…