Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$863

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$191

Open exposure

$831

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 09-03 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

77% 35% -$888

Other

19% 25% +$94

Crypto

3% 43% -$58

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No		+462	$300	96¢	$445	+$145	09-03 22:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+1,977	$530	20¢	$385	-$145	07-17 19:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	4	$1.6K	1,148	608	+540	No	+$146	07-17 19:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.1K	591	591	+0	Yes	+$93	04-08 01:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$979	1,835	0	+1,835	Yes	-$979	04-08 17:35
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$599	1,667	1,667	+0	Yes	-$1	02-24 08:08
will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	2	$599	1,603	0	+1,603	No	+$1,004	02-24 07:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$530	1,977	0	+1,977	open	—	07-17 19:31
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	2	$528	744	744	+0	open	—	07-30 19:15
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$500	707	0	+707	Yes	+$207	02-25 18:07
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	1	$500	694	0	+694	No	+$194	02-24 07:56
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$395	726	0	+726	Yes	-$395	04-07 22:54
will trump say kennedy or autism during the 2026 state of the union address 214	2	$301	452	452	+0	No	-$299	02-25 05:17
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$300	1,111	0	+1,111	Yes	-$300	03-13 04:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$300	833	0	+833	No	-$300	03-06 01:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	1	$300	462	0	+462	open	—	09-03 22:00
will trump say ai or artificial intelligence 2 times during the 2026 state of the union address 624 823	1	$300	385	0	+385	Yes	+$85	02-21 20:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$300	429	0	+429	No	+$129	03-11 01:29
will trump say scam or hoax during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$299	789	0	+789	Yes	-$299	02-24 08:39
will trump say hockey during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$200	1,225	0	+1,225	Yes	-$200	02-24 05:53
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	1	$150	429	0	+429	Yes	+$279	02-25 18:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 06:00 UTC	2	$74	73	72	+1	Down	+$14	03-05 06:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:55 UTC	3	$65	93	35	+58	Up	-$34	03-05 05:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:50 UTC	3	$65	76	32	+45	Up	+$9	03-05 05:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$51	968	968	+0	No	-$9	07-15 05:32
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$50	278	0	+278	No	-$50	03-07 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:30 UTC	1	$40	82	0	+82	Up	+$42	03-05 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:45 UTC	2	$31	49	0	+49	Down	-$29	03-05 05:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 06:05 UTC	1	$30	64	0	+64	Down	-$30	03-05 06:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 06:10 UTC	1	$30	50	0	+50	Up	-$30	03-05 06:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$30	517	0	+517	No	-$30	07-09 03:08
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$30	421	0	+421	No	-$30	02-28 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 22:00:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0x11ce8f…
07-30 19:15:18	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	744	32¢	$238	0x5e1ff6…
07-17 19:31:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,852	27¢	$500	0xceba4d…
07-17 19:31:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	540	100¢	$539	0x666a0f…
07-16 21:06:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x68527d…
07-15 05:32:20	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	968	2¢	$21	0x837e38…
07-09 03:08:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	517	6¢	$30	0x41039e…
07-09 03:08:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xdbaeb7…
07-08 21:05:14	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	968	3¢	$30	0x7af387…
07-08 21:04:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x47f2a8…
07-06 20:22:17	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	744	39¢	$290	0xd0de55…
07-01 17:44:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,148	87¢	$1,000	0xf2bd07…
04-08 17:35:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	838	70¢	$590	0x90aff9…
04-08 01:19:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	591	100¢	$590	0xe2c95f…
04-07 23:00:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	998	39¢	$389	0x16b352…
04-07 22:54:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	232	41¢	$95	0xe3601f…
04-07 02:38:41	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x625ea0…
04-04 01:58:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	591	84¢	$496	0xffad15…
04-01 20:36:01	will trump say april fool or april fools during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xf5a565…
04-01 20:35:47	will trump say six seven during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x87ebcb…
03-28 01:59:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xac3a26…
03-13 04:42:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	493	61¢	$300	0x7dc35e…
03-13 04:40:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	1,111	27¢	$300	0x5e4ad1…
03-11 01:29:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0x418a4f…
03-07 02:16:03	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x403288…
03-07 02:14:41	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x06b0e7…
03-06 01:54:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	833	36¢	$300	0x58b9c8…
03-05 06:10:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x679463…
03-05 06:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xbddb5b…
03-05 06:03:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 06:00 UTC	Up	SELL	72	61¢	$44	0x81e64d…
03-05 06:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xfc869e…
03-05 05:57:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x8ebcc0…
03-05 05:57:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:55 UTC	Up	SELL	35	43¢	$15	0x885b7e…
03-05 05:56:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x321484…
03-05 05:54:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x0b0743…
03-05 05:53:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	32	47¢	$15	0x81c29f…
03-05 05:51:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xe988e2…
03-05 05:47:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x4c2af7…
03-05 05:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf1839f…
03-05 05:30:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x9a8d17…
02-28 08:49:45	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	421	7¢	$30	0x832565…
02-25 18:07:38	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x646fc0…
02-25 18:03:06	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	429	35¢	$150	0x8885ff…
02-25 05:17:42	will trump say kennedy or autism during the 2026 state of the union address 214	Yes	SELL	452	0¢	$1	0x0d4a71…
02-24 08:39:22	will trump say scam or hoax during the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	789	38¢	$299	0x96466c…
02-24 08:08:08	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	1,667	18¢	$299	0xb6a24b…
02-24 07:56:52	will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	No	BUY	694	72¢	$500	0x92d1ed…
02-24 07:33:42	will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	No	BUY	1,367	37¢	$500	0x7b533d…
02-24 05:53:32	will trump say hockey during the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	1,225	16¢	$200	0xcfd243…
02-21 23:12:38	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	1,667	18¢	$300	0x3ab3ed…
02-21 21:10:02	will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	No	BUY	236	42¢	$99	0x755651…
02-21 21:07:12	will trump say kennedy or autism during the 2026 state of the union address 214	Yes	BUY	452	66¢	$300	0xf74504…
02-21 20:58:30	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence 2 times during the 2026 state of the union address 624 823	Yes	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0x39cd41…
02-21 20:06:56	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0x9d268a…