Baggy-Watcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$384

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

7,265

Trades

10,931

lifetime

Volume

$58.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-11 23:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

72% 27% +$241

Crypto

28% 36% -$509

Politics

0% 0% -$116

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 698 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	56	$4.4K	3,514	3,514	+0	No	+$264	05-17 18:05
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$3.1K	2,098	2,098	+0	No	+$1,109	05-15 14:25
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 btts	2	$1.9K	1,117	1,108	+9	Yes	+$301	04-07 20:34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	6	$1.8K	2,499	2,499	+0	No	+$158	06-03 07:58
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	26	$1.8K	1,668	1,668	+0	No	+$156	05-14 15:00
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$1.2K	1,122	1,122	+0	Yes	+$538	05-14 04:47
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	2	$1.1K	1,211	1,165	+46	Yes	+$561	04-07 14:45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	2	$1.1K	564	564	+0	No	+$6	05-25 01:06
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	5	$1.1K	581	581	+0	Under	+$52	05-24 16:36
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	8	$1.0K	3,162	3,162	+0	No	-$35	05-26 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	17	$982	3,098	3,123	-25	Yes	-$507	05-19 15:52
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	5	$933	540	539	+0	Yes	+$70	05-24 16:10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	13	$928	1,011	1,011	+0	Yes	+$83	06-04 08:29
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$857	1,142	1,142	+0	No	-$9	06-02 10:01
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$796	404	404	+0	No	-$4	06-21 12:04
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	3	$772	422	422	+0	Under	+$30	06-21 01:16
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	1	$699	1,076	0	+1,076	No	-$699	04-08 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	1	$692	2,077	0	+2,077	No	-$692	05-18 15:33
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	3	$680	538	538	+0	Yes	+$20	05-12 04:47
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	2	$611	470	470	+0	Under	-$178	06-21 16:41
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 btts	2	$600	417	417	+0	No	+$200	06-20 04:55
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?	2	$592	466	466	+0	Yes	+$117	05-24 15:53
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 65 89	2	$586	301	300	+1	Yes	+$15	04-06 16:47
fl1 lor pfc 2026 04 05 total 3pt5	2	$568	302	302	+1	Under	+$6	04-05 16:20
sea cre bol 2026 04 05 bol	2	$564	289	289	+0	Yes	-$1	04-05 14:53
sea cre bol 2026 04 05 total 4pt5	2	$517	293	292	+2	Under	+$50	04-05 14:30
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?	2	$494	1,074	0	+1,074	No	-$494	05-25 16:51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	3	$494	1,439	0	+1,439	No	-$494	06-05 02:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	15	$479	539	539	+0	Yes	+$172	05-24 15:55
lal mad bar 2026 04 04 total 4pt5	2	$452	305	302	+3	Under	+$52	04-04 20:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 23:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xf8e4a1…
10-11 21:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	44	9¢	$4	0xf7eccf…
10-11 21:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	44	8¢	$4	0x8fbb85…
10-11 18:31:33	Lillestrøm SK vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	48	48¢	$23	0x92dce9…
10-11 18:30:30	Lillestrøm SK vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa4cdab…
10-11 17:16:42	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xec3a7d…
10-11 17:16:40	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x240106…
10-11 17:07:10	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0xf23b65…
10-11 17:02:10	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x4f64c7…
10-11 17:01:25	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc50cd5…
10-11 16:35:51	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa30427…
10-11 16:35:51	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8adf44…
10-11 14:05:55	Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Nottingham Forest FC O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	48	74¢	$35	0xf7b66b…
10-11 01:44:39	Minnesota United FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0x472a1d…
10-11 01:08:47	Charlotte FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xd7318f…
10-11 00:53:04	Charlotte FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x4b72a7…
10-10 18:43:06	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0xbf10a5…
10-10 18:19:57	Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc976ea…
10-10 17:44:07	Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xeda4ab…
10-10 17:41:46	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	38	18¢	$7	0x9a3fc9…
10-10 16:21:37	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	38	18¢	$7	0x8a67a5…
10-10 16:21:09	Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf5aef2…
10-10 15:13:45	Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x88b210…
10-08 13:15:26	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	3¢	$7	0x6c0753…
10-07 12:17:43	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	79	69¢	$55	0x295018…
10-07 12:16:28	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	88¢	$56	0x804a55…
10-07 07:49:09	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	86¢	$54	0xe3db30…
10-07 07:47:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0x883b6b…
10-06 20:52:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	20¢	$12	0xa1b873…
10-05 17:38:41	Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x11727a…
10-05 17:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb6f26c…
10-05 17:18:49	BNB Up or Down - October 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xa1642a…
10-05 17:15:22	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x90c5db…
10-05 17:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x72b9b9…
10-05 17:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	21¢	$1	0x11b2b6…
10-05 17:15:20	BNB Up or Down - October 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe515ba…
10-05 10:29:47	Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xb525fd…
10-05 10:28:58	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x093bd7…
10-05 08:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x59c6cf…
10-02 22:50:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xf73d35…
10-02 22:03:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x022e5f…
10-02 20:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	15¢	$29	0x728842…
10-02 20:26:14	Poland vs. Romania: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	85	37¢	$31	0xdbf6fa…
10-02 20:11:17	Poland vs. Romania: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	85	70¢	$59	0xc0ed33…
10-02 20:05:44	Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	79	77¢	$61	0xc83025…
10-02 19:58:17	Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	79	50¢	$40	0x7b4ec4…
10-02 19:56:02	Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	120	35¢	$42	0x2e7af3…
10-02 19:23:39	Faroe Islands vs. Slovakia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	120	45¢	$54	0xd116b9…
10-02 19:22:20	Belgium vs. Türkiye: Belgium O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xd83057…
10-02 18:39:47	Belgium vs. Türkiye: Belgium O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	56	92¢	$51	0xbd8e06…
10-02 18:35:27	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xef6519…
10-02 18:35:27	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xca5b1f…
10-02 18:35:26	BNB Up or Down - October 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3a43c4…
10-02 18:35:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x418c36…
10-02 18:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x04b316…
10-02 18:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfe6c1c…
10-02 18:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x82132f…
10-02 18:30:47	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8c5b74…
10-02 18:30:47	BNB Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1c345a…
10-02 18:30:45	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x86202f…
10-02 18:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x97a94d…
10-02 18:20:57	BNB Up or Down - October 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb5ba45…
10-02 18:20:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x68641d…
10-02 18:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xc58544…
10-02 18:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x9b3868…
10-02 18:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x033a36…
10-02 18:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4a8837…
10-02 18:06:03	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe3292b…
10-02 18:05:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1dd0c7…
10-02 18:00:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xfe5fda…
10-02 18:00:42	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xf26beb…
10-02 18:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdaebdc…
10-02 18:00:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x6584a7…
10-02 18:00:42	BNB Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x38382f…
10-02 18:00:41	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xeac461…
10-02 18:00:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9eeb9b…
10-02 18:00:41	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7abb56…
10-02 09:14:08	Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	59	82¢	$49	0x35ec9e…
10-02 09:12:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x7ac534…
10-01 23:58:51	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0xcee882…
10-01 23:58:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	12¢	$37	0x12b5a9…
10-01 20:33:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	12¢	$35	0xe71746…
10-01 20:31:45	Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x12f517…
10-01 18:08:35	Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0x75c216…
10-01 18:08:08	Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xed08ca…
10-01 15:56:56	Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xeaad4a…
09-30 13:05:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xeed29c…
09-30 03:07:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0xbce48f…
09-29 06:02:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	18¢	$18	0xad437c…
09-26 09:40:06	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x83a7cc…
09-26 09:15:35	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb05305…
09-26 09:15:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd40022…
09-26 09:10:35	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa2de1d…
09-26 09:10:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x63240f…
09-26 09:10:29	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xe8b05e…
09-26 09:10:29	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x062219…
09-26 09:10:24	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x5080a6…
09-26 09:10:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x7726e9…
09-26 09:10:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x030ebd…
09-26 09:10:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfb0f5f…