Wary-Lad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.03K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

3,064

Trades

3,347

lifetime

Volume

$110.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$3,026

Other

0% 0% -$3

Sports

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	—	+4	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-28 02:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 9	1	$1.9K	3,612	0	+3,612	Down	-$1,928	02-08 17:25
bitcoin up or down on january 10	3	$1.7K	1,446	1,160	+286	Down	+$479	01-09 22:40
bitcoin up or down on january 29	2	$1.4K	2,661	0	+2,661	Down	+$1,085	01-28 16:46
bitcoin above 90k on january 13	2	$1.1K	556	556	+0	Yes	+$55	01-13 16:32
bitcoin up or down february 9 12pm et	2	$993	515	515	+0	Up	+$36	02-09 18:10
bitcoin up or down on february 8	1	$964	1,890	0	+1,890	Up	-$964	02-07 16:54
bitcoin up or down on february 7	2	$962	1,878	0	+1,878	Down	-$5	02-06 17:08
bitcoin up or down on february 4	11	$931	1,545	0	+1,545	Down	+$614	02-03 17:47
bitcoin up or down on january 28	2	$840	1,672	0	+1,672	Up	-$448	01-27 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$789	1,683	0	+1,683	Down	+$894	09-12 06:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 05:00 UTC	1	$653	1,151	0	+1,151	Up	+$499	09-20 04:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:45 UTC	1	$600	611	0	+611	Down	-$600	07-15 17:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 03:20 UTC	1	$592	613	0	+613	Down	+$21	07-14 03:21
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$575	599	0	+599	Down	+$24	07-15 13:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 02:40 UTC	1	$565	592	0	+592	Up	+$27	07-14 02:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 12:50 UTC	1	$560	577	0	+577	Up	+$17	07-15 12:51
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 00:10 UTC	1	$535	564	0	+564	Up	+$29	07-14 00:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 19:30 UTC	2	$526	273	272	+0	Up	+$14	02-09 19:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 23:50 UTC	1	$525	540	0	+540	Up	+$15	07-13 23:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 19:00 UTC	1	$520	1,073	0	+1,073	Up	-$520	09-25 19:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:15 UTC	1	$517	1,047	0	+1,047	Down	-$517	09-27 21:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 23:20 UTC	1	$516	528	0	+528	Down	+$12	07-11 23:21
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 12:30 UTC	1	$515	562	0	+562	Up	+$47	07-15 12:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 22:20 UTC	1	$509	518	0	+518	Down	+$9	07-11 22:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:00 UTC	1	$500	933	0	+933	Up	-$500	09-27 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 18:45 UTC	1	$500	1,103	0	+1,103	Down	-$500	09-25 18:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 04:45 UTC	1	$500	955	0	+955	Up	-$500	09-20 04:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 18:00 UTC	1	$500	529	0	+529	Up	+$29	07-13 18:02
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 01:30 UTC	1	$491	520	0	+520	Down	+$29	07-15 01:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:35 UTC	1	$489	499	0	+499	Down	+$10	07-13 12:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9f9de6…
10-28 01:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6cb9d6…
10-28 01:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe59f0e…
10-28 01:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa24434…
10-28 01:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcc9c75…
10-28 00:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfc4e5d…
10-28 00:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x73d4dc…
10-28 00:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb83b60…
10-28 00:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa80e04…
10-28 00:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe671a4…
10-27 23:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0dca1c…
10-27 23:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xba1983…
10-27 23:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3f279e…
10-27 23:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa461b4…
10-27 22:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x93904c…
10-27 22:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcc1225…
10-27 22:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0d8ae7…
10-27 05:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc4b032…
10-27 05:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa8173b…
10-27 05:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb57280…
10-27 04:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x85349d…
10-27 04:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x20f99d…
10-27 04:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6a5d5f…
10-27 04:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0d5e79…
10-27 03:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcfd727…
10-27 03:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcdf014…
10-27 03:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8c473b…
10-27 03:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb65f9c…
10-27 02:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2447b5…
10-27 02:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x793b6f…
10-27 02:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	332	48¢	$160	0xf1e7d1…
10-27 02:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	157	51¢	$80	0x4036ba…
10-27 01:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x42e2e2…
10-27 01:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xee9eb9…
10-27 01:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x4e7295…
10-27 01:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6f9ddb…
10-27 00:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xee1441…
10-27 00:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa07e9c…
10-27 00:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6f4077…
10-27 00:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x791249…
10-26 23:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x44f239…
10-26 23:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc5ec43…
10-26 23:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x10b7ae…
10-26 23:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc6a030…
10-26 23:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x431687…
10-26 22:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf3e1e7…
10-26 22:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb3ce7f…
10-26 22:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8e35c4…
10-26 21:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x016b96…
10-26 21:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xda8388…
10-26 21:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7c1c34…
10-26 21:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x644237…
10-26 20:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6d2c0b…
10-26 20:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb9c2a2…
10-26 20:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x764825…
10-26 20:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1daf6e…
10-26 19:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0xd8abab…
10-26 19:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x0c2fc3…
10-26 19:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf67269…
10-26 19:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x023fc0…
10-26 18:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe76383…
10-26 18:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1f03b2…
10-26 18:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x65fa28…
10-26 18:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9884e3…
10-26 17:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc78f5f…
10-26 17:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0c46d8…
10-26 17:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8492f9…
10-26 17:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7fe2f3…
10-26 16:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7afcc5…
10-26 16:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe2e067…
10-26 16:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xbccfe8…
10-26 16:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5fbe1f…
10-26 15:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x176784…
10-26 15:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0de7a2…
10-26 15:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x437918…
10-26 15:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8847fa…
10-26 14:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4a4836…
10-26 14:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x530b48…
10-26 14:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x2e7433…
10-25 14:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	129	49¢	$64	0x02cc20…
10-25 14:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0x97014d…
10-25 14:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0xeb8685…
10-25 13:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x8f8f57…
10-25 13:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xe5a816…
10-25 13:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x03cdfe…
10-25 13:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xe46e60…
10-25 07:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x7e7e9b…
10-25 07:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x202e05…
10-25 06:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1d4126…
10-25 06:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xaecc83…
10-25 06:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa83f76…
10-25 06:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6cb8a3…
10-25 06:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe5d67f…
10-25 05:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x55cb6c…
10-25 05:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfb55b8…
10-25 05:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6f008d…
10-25 05:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xd6c6f3…
10-25 04:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe8a0b4…
10-25 04:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xba7242…
10-25 04:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x00d2b1…