Watchful-Payee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$3.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-30 04:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

88% 40% $-23

Sports

7% 25% $-22

Crypto

3% 33% $-3

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	4	$351	213	213	+0	open	—	06-10 17:48
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner	4	$303	181	181	+0	open	—	05-16 02:05
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	9	$265	259	162	+97	open	—	06-30 02:13
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	9	$254	450	400	+50	open	—	06-24 12:48
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	7	$208	153	153	+0	open	—	05-28 02:19
will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	2	$165	100	100	+0	open	—	06-10 01:17
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?	4	$158	150	150	+0	open	—	05-13 16:29
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	3	$156	80	80	+0	open	—	05-17 17:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	9	$135	182	172	+10	open	—	05-27 07:46
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	6	$131	100	100	-0	open	—	05-14 05:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	7	$128	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 04:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$118	80	80	+0	open	—	05-12 10:12
Knicks vs. 76ers	7	$102	125	80	+45	Knicks	$-20	05-09 01:23
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$91	83	83	+0	open	—	05-31 02:51
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	6	$69	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 04:29
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	10	$60	160	260	-100	open	—	05-03 02:16
will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	5	$60	150	150	+0	open	—	06-25 00:22
will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	2	$55	40	40	+0	open	—	06-25 13:20
will xagusd dip to 64 by june 22 2026	4	$55	80	70	+10	open	—	06-22 15:39
will mu dip to 1110 by june 22 2026	3	$53	40	40	+0	open	—	06-23 10:08
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	05-04 05:18
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of May 4 2026?	3	$52	50	50	+0	Yes	+$6	05-06 02:00
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	2	$46	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 14:37
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	4	$39	50	50	+0	open	—	05-27 03:33
will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	4	$39	50	50	+0	open	—	06-11 15:01
will mu reach 1290 by june 22 2026	5	$36	42	42	+0	open	—	06-26 01:28
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	2	$35	50	50	+0	open	—	05-19 13:47
dota2 flc gl 2026 04 21 game2	2	$35	22	22	+0	open	—	04-21 11:33
will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	4	$32	100	50	+50	open	—	06-30 04:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 07:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 04:23:13	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	47	25¢	$12	0xac2d69…
06-30 04:15:44	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x0c3978…
06-30 02:13:16	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x9a544d…
06-26 14:26:17	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x99ffdc…
06-26 01:52:10	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x957318…
06-26 01:28:14	will mu reach 1290 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0xfe3c54…
06-25 13:43:29	will mu reach 1290 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x5fb809…
06-25 13:20:53	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x37eb65…
06-25 02:49:46	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	29	76¢	$22	0x21f078…
06-25 02:02:02	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0x9396c5…
06-25 01:39:32	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x1bdb46…
06-25 00:22:58	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	150	10¢	$15	0xc36dfd…
06-24 12:48:01	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xf5b19b…
06-24 12:42:16	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x6baa7b…
06-24 12:37:07	will xauusd dip to 3900 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x22837b…
06-24 12:25:53	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xb77c7f…
06-24 12:25:23	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0xe1c27f…
06-24 12:22:31	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x4cf0a4…
06-24 11:47:59	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x125a78…
06-24 01:24:02	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xb77f5a…
06-23 10:08:25	will mu dip to 1110 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	40	84¢	$33	0x489633…
06-23 05:16:14	will mu reach 1290 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfccd83…
06-23 04:22:16	will mu reach 1290 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x7fa251…
06-23 04:17:31	will mu reach 1290 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x533416…
06-23 03:39:05	will mu dip to 1110 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xec6a97…
06-23 03:15:35	will mu dip to 1110 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7b7877…
06-23 01:50:58	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x6dd7e6…
06-23 01:50:49	will xagusd reach 68 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xb8729f…
06-22 15:39:16	will xagusd dip to 64 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb57a0e…
06-22 14:40:46	will xagusd dip to 64 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	70	38¢	$27	0xfe1e9b…
06-22 14:13:37	will xagusd dip to 64 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xd3b157…
06-22 14:12:50	will xagusd dip to 64 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x361ad4…
06-22 05:30:29	will xagusd reach 68 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x12ac28…
06-22 05:13:41	will xagusd reach 68 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xad8d4d…
06-22 02:16:13	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	300	37¢	$111	0x601940…
06-15 09:53:49	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0x2b6e5d…
06-13 19:26:00	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	243	35¢	$85	0xf8ed03…
06-13 18:35:31	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xa082f2…
06-12 20:18:57	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x7fd666…
06-12 19:56:40	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x65d509…
06-12 15:16:27	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	97	47¢	$45	0x47f888…
06-12 13:42:30	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	62	49¢	$30	0xb68367…
06-12 08:17:09	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0xb5d30a…
06-12 08:08:00	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x52eb7a…
06-11 15:01:28	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	45	39¢	$17	0x3bdb33…
06-11 15:00:15	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x37ac52…
06-11 14:59:04	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x9f6121…
06-11 13:01:15	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xc420aa…
06-11 12:39:28	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xbf4304…
06-11 09:52:01	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x1ccb26…
06-11 09:43:28	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xfd23f2…
06-10 17:48:39	will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	113	92¢	$105	0x08a672…
06-10 17:34:30	will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x9592af…
06-10 16:11:10	will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x72dc69…
06-10 02:42:49	will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x998a9d…
06-10 01:17:55	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x820169…
06-07 18:16:43	will xagusd dip to 64 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x16dbdf…
05-31 02:51:42	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x9756a4…
05-31 02:42:10	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x5682fd…
05-31 02:37:12	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xd793dc…
05-31 02:34:28	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xce2516…
05-30 03:11:55	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd24da8…
05-28 04:29:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x3b05f9…
05-28 02:19:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xe2feba…
05-28 02:03:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x0fd77e…
05-27 07:46:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	49	32¢	$16	0x333e1a…
05-27 07:38:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x41c9e5…
05-27 07:16:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	90	38¢	$34	0x5a1432…
05-27 07:07:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x70a1da…
05-27 05:33:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xd64c6c…
05-27 05:11:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xfeae9b…
05-27 04:56:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x99bddf…
05-27 04:56:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0x6c8d77…
05-27 03:33:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x2784df…
05-27 03:33:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0xd7816f…
05-27 03:33:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x5451ca…
05-27 03:24:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x07f781…
05-27 03:14:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x231ee4…
05-27 02:52:11	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x91a137…
05-27 02:31:29	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe8bb88…
05-21 12:52:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x4fee53…
05-21 12:48:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x21bacb…
05-21 12:38:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x33a831…
05-21 10:55:57	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x2c15d8…
05-20 08:55:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x3cfbe3…
05-20 04:01:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x35f963…
05-19 13:47:11	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x60e502…
05-18 00:30:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	SELL	53	35¢	$19	0x9287cc…
05-17 17:57:03	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Tundra Esports	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xd3822a…
05-17 17:41:41	Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner	Team Heretics	SELL	11	76¢	$9	0x546adf…
05-17 17:28:23	Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner	Team Heretics	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xeed61e…
05-17 17:09:08	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Tundra Esports	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x6aef88…
05-17 17:08:50	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Tundra Esports	BUY	73	95¢	$69	0x3b7d01…
05-17 16:49:30	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	REKONIX	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0x452a63…
05-17 06:25:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xe6616d…
05-17 06:01:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x07692a…
05-16 21:08:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0a7489…
05-16 17:41:33	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xc07714…
05-16 16:50:39	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Falcons	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0407e4…
05-16 16:17:22	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x76c2db…