Fantastic-Conflict — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

92.3%

Resolved

181

Trades

313

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-16 04:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

49% 94% +$57

Politics

45% 91% -$111

Tech

4% 100% +$8

Crypto

0% 67% -$20

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		+11	$10	98¢	$11	+$1	05-08 21:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mwoh can fra 2026 02 15	1	$717	720	0	+720	Canada	+$3	02-14 14:35
will christian menefee win the texas house special election runoff by 15 or more	2	$715	715	0	+715	Yes	+$1	02-04 11:15
highest temperature in nyc on february 3 2026 32 33f	1	$713	714	0	+714	Yes	+$1	02-04 03:56
Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?	4	$681	584	101	+483	No	+$2	04-16 03:14
mwoh swe lat 2026 02 17	1	$631	632	0	+632	Sweden	+$1	02-17 22:06
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$608	610	0	+610	Yes	+$2	02-01 21:56
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$589	490	100	+390	No	+$1	04-02 16:58
mwoh can swi 2026 02 13	1	$299	336	0	+336	Canada	+$37	02-13 03:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$293	263	157	+107	Yes	-$101	04-07 22:58
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	6	$235	242	0	+242	No	+$7	04-07 22:57
will the drama opening weekend box office be between 14m and 15m	1	$206	207	0	+207	Yes	+$2	04-07 04:29
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-31 22:48
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	02-12 00:25
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	2	$198	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	02-03 01:30
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$197	199	0	+199	Yes	+$1	01-30 04:29
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 costa rican presidential election be between 68 and 70	17	$189	102	90	+13	Yes	+$1	02-03 03:41
googl up or down on january 30 2026	3	$130	131	0	+131	Down	+$1	01-31 00:58
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	3	$129	131	0	+131	Yes	+$2	02-22 05:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$120	124	0	+124	No	+$4	04-01 16:03
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	01-31 22:29
nvda up or down on january 30 2026	6	$119	120	0	+120	Down	+$1	01-30 23:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$107	78	78	+0	Yes	-$36	04-07 22:52
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$107	110	0	+110	No	+$3	01-31 22:34
Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?	6	$102	84	21	+63	No	+$1	04-26 08:06
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	04-01 16:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$100	101	0	+101	Yes	+$1	04-16 03:14
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-26 04:33
will trump visit greenland by march 31	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-26 04:35
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	05-15 20:20
will catherine trautmann be the next mayor of strasbourg	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	03-25 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 04:41:10	Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf71e36…
05-15 20:24:01	Major US official out by May 31?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x630e1b…
05-15 20:23:49	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf8332c…
05-15 20:23:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xdc8659…
05-15 20:23:38	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4a6a84…
05-15 20:23:35	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x18f46a…
05-15 20:23:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7c118c…
05-15 20:23:07	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa534bc…
05-15 20:22:44	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdc6966…
05-15 20:22:40	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf676d…
05-15 20:22:37	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xebe778…
05-15 20:22:32	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd02137…
05-15 20:22:28	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3ddc88…
05-15 20:22:16	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa7c3c5…
05-15 20:20:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb07994…
05-15 20:20:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1cd1db…
05-15 20:20:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7e8b03…
05-15 20:20:13	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdbfa10…
05-15 20:15:46	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xaddfcb…
05-15 20:15:32	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xfe1c50…
05-15 20:14:55	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x94eedd…
05-15 20:14:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x18f082…
05-08 21:35:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x573763…
05-02 20:56:48	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbf4414…
04-26 08:06:56	Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x994fb6…
04-25 05:56:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe3ec1e…
04-23 04:03:16	Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x28a8b9…
04-22 21:24:02	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x19585f…
04-21 23:25:14	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5b7eef…
04-21 23:24:14	Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x10b536…
04-16 03:14:28	Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	382	100¢	$381	0xfbd543…
04-16 03:14:04	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x17e30d…
04-14 02:38:47	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb978d1…
04-13 19:26:31	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xbf2cae…
04-11 23:43:55	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdb9693…
04-09 04:23:15	Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x075564…
04-09 04:22:03	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x486243…
04-07 23:01:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xf428f9…
04-07 23:01:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x70fad4…
04-07 23:01:19	Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x03a031…
04-07 22:58:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x6ebbf2…
04-07 22:58:25	Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xb42a43…
04-07 22:57:41	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xf53b62…
04-07 22:56:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	63	43¢	$27	0x8ceb5c…
04-07 22:52:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x452a92…
04-07 22:52:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	78	45¢	$35	0x7e670e…
04-07 22:50:59	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0xf25359…
04-07 22:49:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	57	82¢	$47	0x54be22…
04-07 22:48:53	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x2a8e7f…
04-07 22:39:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x40c5d6…
04-07 22:38:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xe226bb…
04-07 22:36:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	157	27¢	$42	0xefa523…
04-07 04:29:05	will the drama opening weekend box office be between 14m and 15m	Yes	BUY	207	99¢	$206	0xb486c3…
04-06 20:22:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5269a4…
04-06 17:59:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x0b8608…
04-06 17:58:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xccca74…
04-06 17:58:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x46b936…
04-06 07:06:53	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xaf00fa…
04-05 23:36:11	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x6c598f…
04-05 23:36:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x887501…
04-05 23:35:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xba387a…
04-05 23:35:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x53a05d…
04-05 23:35:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb5e094…
04-05 23:32:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xdf4ae7…
04-05 23:32:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x17b7e3…
04-05 18:22:05	Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5127f5…
04-03 04:15:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	370	6¢	$21	0x054df2…
04-03 04:06:09	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x598070…
04-03 04:05:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x55a80f…
04-03 04:04:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x2fc0a4…
04-03 04:00:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 03:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8ff428…
04-03 04:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xf0c98c…
04-03 03:59:49	will the slovenian democratic party sds win 30 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2ca017…
04-02 21:29:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xe69c90…
04-02 21:23:35	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x94960c…
04-02 17:01:59	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x6b3890…
04-02 17:00:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x7ce8e3…
04-02 17:00:37	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x257d79…
04-02 16:58:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd7a955…
04-02 04:12:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0x34fcaa…
04-02 01:15:59	will trump say six seven during address to the nation	No	BUY	32	96¢	$30	0x730f10…
04-02 01:15:43	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0xfbcfca…
04-01 18:30:47	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	459	100¢	$459	0xdf1869…
04-01 16:09:27	Insurrection Act invoked by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x64c3dd…
04-01 16:09:17	Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x057921…
04-01 16:09:07	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf8abf7…
04-01 16:08:47	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x35f6f7…
04-01 16:08:33	Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x77f9fe…
04-01 16:08:21	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x188e0a…
04-01 16:08:05	U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6b491d…
04-01 16:07:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x191593…
04-01 16:07:17	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf72317…
04-01 16:07:03	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x218c02…
04-01 16:06:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa56152…
04-01 16:06:29	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x485405…
04-01 16:06:11	Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x226fbd…
04-01 16:05:59	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x270b24…
04-01 16:05:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x11b72d…
04-01 16:05:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa3c976…
04-01 16:05:13	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x792824…