Serpentine-Obligation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

67 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$23.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$354

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 11-07 11:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% -$91

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		-5	-$5	99¢	$-5	$0	11-07 11:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 26	1	$1.1K	1,144	+1,144	No	+$2	03-26 02:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	1	$1.1K	1,142	+1,142	No	+$2	03-25 02:49
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	1	$1.1K	1,140	+1,140	No	+$2	03-24 02:46
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 23	1	$1.1K	1,137	+1,137	No	+$2	03-23 01:46
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	1	$1.1K	1,135	+1,135	No	+$3	03-22 01:33
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	1	$1.1K	1,132	+1,132	No	+$2	03-21 01:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	1	$1.1K	1,129	+1,129	No	+$3	03-20 03:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	1	$1.1K	1,125	+1,125	No	+$2	03-19 02:39
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 18	1	$1.1K	1,124	+1,124	No	+$4	03-18 02:17
xrp above 1pt9 on march 17	1	$1.1K	1,119	+1,119	No	+$2	03-17 07:39
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	1	$1.1K	1,117	+1,117	No	+$2	03-16 08:44
will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	1	$1.1K	1,116	+1,116	No	+$3	03-15 02:29
ethereum above 2300 on march 14	1	$1.1K	1,111	+1,111	No	+$4	03-14 04:00
ethereum above 2400 on march 13	1	$1.1K	1,107	+1,107	No	+$2	03-13 03:06
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	1	$1.1K	1,104	+1,104	No	+$2	03-12 03:42
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 11	1	$1.1K	1,102	+1,102	No	+$3	03-11 03:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 10	1	$1.1K	1,099	+1,099	No	+$3	03-10 02:57
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 9	1	$1.1K	1,096	+1,096	No	+$3	03-09 08:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	1	$1.1K	1,092	+1,092	No	+$3	03-08 03:59
bitcoin above 62k on march 7	1	$1.1K	1,089	+1,089	Yes	+$3	03-07 03:54
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	1	$1.1K	1,085	+1,085	No	+$3	03-06 08:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 5	3	$69	3,300	+3,300	No	-$69	02-05 03:54
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	3	$14	3,376	+3,376	No	-$14	02-27 03:44
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	05-26 12:50
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	06-12 06:02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	05-19 07:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	05-12 12:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	05-04 03:15
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	07-13 08:57
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	07-24 08:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 11:59:18	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8612bb…
09-09 04:17:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x320e2e…
08-20 03:52:12	bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb61776…
08-11 05:50:24	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5e27ad…
08-06 04:34:02	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaa5119…
07-30 03:29:15	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8a450f…
07-24 08:23:21	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd4b0e3…
07-13 08:57:29	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa78924…
07-07 11:12:59	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x138581…
07-01 09:21:34	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x21b26d…
06-25 06:12:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x199181…
06-20 08:18:52	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcba6e5…
06-12 06:02:39	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd370aa…
05-26 12:50:18	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd7ce43…
05-19 07:05:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x30f175…
05-12 12:12:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x2459de…
05-04 03:15:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x05d6b3…
04-17 03:15:00	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4d06b2…
03-30 01:37:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 30	Yes	BUY	1,143	0¢	$2	0x26027c…
03-26 02:02:17	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 26	No	BUY	1,144	100¢	$1,141	0x26100d…
03-25 02:49:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	No	BUY	1,142	100¢	$1,139	0xa8d2bb…
03-24 02:46:13	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	No	BUY	1,140	100¢	$1,138	0x47f3ab…
03-23 01:46:13	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 23	No	BUY	1,137	100¢	$1,134	0x7b1502…
03-22 01:33:53	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	1,135	100¢	$1,131	0xe197f9…
03-21 01:34:17	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	No	BUY	1,132	100¢	$1,129	0x2d1db8…
03-20 03:11:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	No	BUY	1,129	100¢	$1,125	0xecddfc…
03-19 02:39:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	1,125	100¢	$1,123	0xaed975…
03-18 02:17:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 18	No	BUY	1,124	100¢	$1,119	0xdb4d31…
03-17 07:39:31	xrp above 1pt9 on march 17	No	BUY	1,119	100¢	$1,117	0x3e29a0…
03-16 08:44:13	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	1,117	100¢	$1,114	0xb722df…
03-15 02:29:01	will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	No	BUY	1,116	100¢	$1,112	0x2bef71…
03-14 04:00:57	ethereum above 2300 on march 14	No	BUY	1,111	100¢	$1,106	0xf1981d…
03-13 03:06:11	ethereum above 2400 on march 13	No	BUY	1,107	100¢	$1,104	0x3928f5…
03-12 03:42:51	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	No	BUY	1,104	100¢	$1,102	0xd32bf1…
03-11 03:42:23	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 11	No	BUY	1,102	100¢	$1,099	0x001bb1…
03-10 02:57:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 10	No	BUY	1,099	100¢	$1,096	0xccf819…
03-09 08:37:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 9	No	BUY	1,096	100¢	$1,092	0x4270b3…
03-08 03:59:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	No	BUY	1,092	100¢	$1,089	0x3d77e5…
03-07 03:54:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	1,089	100¢	$1,085	0x617424…
03-06 08:56:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	No	BUY	1,085	100¢	$1,082	0x0c4309…
03-04 02:07:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	Yes	BUY	1,112	0¢	$3	0x2a7ad3…
03-04 02:00:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	Yes	BUY	1,114	0¢	$3	0x57f0ed…
03-04 01:55:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 4	Yes	BUY	1,111	0¢	$3	0xded8a5…
02-27 03:44:50	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,125	0¢	$4	0x1b2284…
02-27 03:44:00	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,126	0¢	$5	0xce86ac…
02-27 03:42:18	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,126	0¢	$5	0xf2d763…
02-23 04:32:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	Yes	BUY	1,112	0¢	$3	0x44bbfa…
02-23 04:31:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	Yes	BUY	1,112	0¢	$3	0x1d8bf0…
02-23 04:29:48	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	Yes	BUY	1,112	0¢	$3	0x8b2bd0…
02-20 02:57:10	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	Yes	BUY	1,104	0¢	$3	0x2d69d9…
02-20 02:56:12	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	Yes	BUY	1,104	0¢	$3	0x7a306e…
02-20 02:55:02	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	Yes	BUY	1,104	0¢	$3	0x51e9ac…
02-14 06:30:55	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,128	0¢	$3	0x77b27a…
02-12 01:05:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 12	Yes	BUY	1,150	0¢	$5	0x6ee627…
02-10 00:22:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,129	1¢	$7	0xe7433a…
02-08 00:35:07	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	Yes	BUY	1,107	1¢	$9	0x7b8ca6…
02-05 03:54:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 5	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xc495f2…
02-05 03:54:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 5	Yes	BUY	3,166	2¢	$66	0x3a5ef7…
02-05 03:54:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 5	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0x045c6a…
02-03 07:05:26	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	Yes	BUY	1,073	1¢	$12	0x10fe1e…
02-02 10:10:34	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57a769…
01-31 06:29:56	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc9e327…
01-30 07:59:08	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc76cab…
01-29 06:01:00	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17784b…
01-27 04:00:21	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x194fc2…
01-26 09:18:25	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6fd6fe…
01-24 10:22:28	ethereum above 2800 on january 24	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x4d6d3d…