Old-Fashioned-Thyme — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$168

Open exposure

$227

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 06-28 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% 100% +$0

Sports

32% — —

Politics

9% 50% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+229	$226	99¢	$227	+$0	06-28 19:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spy up or down on june 17 2026	5	$2.8K	1,419	1,419	+0	open	—	06-17 19:52
mlbb forzee tst 2026 06 16 game handicap away 1pt5	3	$1.2K	1,165	0	+1,165	open	—	06-16 16:51
will panama reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149755	3	$903	452	452	+0	open	—	06-24 00:54
will uzbekistan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134509	3	$576	289	289	+0	open	—	06-24 03:57
Will Marco Rubio say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press briefing today?	1	$500	500	0	+500	Yes	+$0	05-05 21:35
Will Panama reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$355	355	0	+355	open	—	06-23 19:22
Will Marco Rubio say "Regime" or "Administration" 5+ times during press briefing today?	1	$322	322	0	+322	Yes	+$0	05-05 21:35
will new zealand reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134494	3	$268	135	135	+0	open	—	06-26 00:28
cs2 sparta g1 2026 06 12 game3 round total 21pt5	1	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	06-12 17:15
mlbb forzee tst 2026 06 16 total games 2pt5	1	$250	250	0	+250	open	—	06-16 16:43
Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$226	229	0	+229	open	—	06-28 19:44
will jordan clarkson score 50 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023421912	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	06-08 06:37
Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$182	91	91	+0	open	—	06-26 11:34
cs2 sparta g1 2026 06 12 game2 round total 21pt5	1	$170	170	0	+170	open	—	06-12 17:17
will luke kornet score 50 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023421909	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	06-08 06:37
will trump say oil gas 5 times during pennsylvania events 20260619211746754	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	06-23 19:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	2	$89	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-05 19:26
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	06-09 17:16
cs2 ill g2a 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	1	$88	88	0	+88	open	—	06-10 21:02
will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	1	$78	79	0	+79	open	—	03-26 18:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-22 00:17
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-22 00:26
Will Solana reach $150 in April?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-22 00:26
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-22 00:26
white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 100 119	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	04-07 22:50
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 20 39	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	04-07 22:51
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 0 19	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	04-07 22:51
Will Chainlink dip to $2 in April?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-22 00:15
Will Chainlink reach $18 in April?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-22 00:15
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 40 59	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-07 22:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 19:44:37	Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	229	99¢	$226	0x443532…
06-26 11:34:52	Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x88a33a…
06-26 00:28:01	will new zealand reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134494	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x4ce429…
06-25 22:19:04	will new zealand reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134494	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x32c09b…
06-24 03:57:32	will uzbekistan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134509	No	SELL	289	100¢	$288	0x0576b0…
06-24 00:54:20	will panama reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149755	No	SELL	452	100¢	$452	0xb054a9…
06-23 19:29:28	Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xe29723…
06-23 19:27:01	will uzbekistan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134509	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0xc244ae…
06-23 19:26:04	will new zealand reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134494	No	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x5b8e6b…
06-23 19:25:01	will uzbekistan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134509	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x68cdd9…
06-23 19:23:25	will panama reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149755	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x86ac92…
06-23 19:23:19	will panama reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149755	No	BUY	427	100¢	$426	0x640bc2…
06-23 19:22:10	Will Panama reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	355	100¢	$355	0xf0cf8f…
06-23 19:17:59	will trump say oil gas 5 times during pennsylvania events 20260619211746754	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc05fa4…
06-17 19:52:34	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	315	100¢	$314	0x500fe6…
06-17 19:51:17	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5ebd78…
06-17 19:51:07	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x664757…
06-17 19:50:11	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x87ee61…
06-17 19:42:37	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	1,419	100¢	$1,416	0x342c53…
06-16 16:51:14	mlbb forzee tst 2026 06 16 game handicap away 1pt5	FORZE Esports	BUY	415	100¢	$414	0x1e7049…
06-16 16:48:50	mlbb forzee tst 2026 06 16 game handicap away 1pt5	FORZE Esports	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x549e5a…
06-16 16:43:52	mlbb forzee tst 2026 06 16 game handicap away 1pt5	FORZE Esports	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xd6a078…
06-16 16:43:07	mlbb forzee tst 2026 06 16 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xf43fe5…
06-12 17:17:28	cs2 sparta g1 2026 06 12 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x848b86…
06-12 17:15:24	cs2 sparta g1 2026 06 12 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x0c9fba…
06-10 21:02:03	cs2 ill g2a 2026 06 10 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xf01209…
06-09 17:16:46	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x4987c4…
06-08 06:37:09	will luke kornet score 50 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023421909	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb3c5d6…
06-08 06:37:03	will jordan clarkson score 50 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023421912	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x835e96…
06-08 06:36:51	will mitchell robinson score 50 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023421911	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ca34a…
05-05 21:35:22	Will Marco Rubio say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press briefing today?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xa9395a…
05-05 21:35:10	Will Marco Rubio say "Regime" or "Administration" 5+ times during press briefing today?	Yes	BUY	322	100¢	$322	0x939425…
05-05 19:26:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xd23918…
05-05 19:17:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xb6b23b…
04-22 00:26:36	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa84706…
04-22 00:26:30	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x423887…
04-22 00:26:24	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4cd98a…
04-22 00:17:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfbc833…
04-22 00:15:52	Will Chainlink dip to $4 in April?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb08a51…
04-22 00:15:48	Will Chainlink reach $18 in April?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa0bcc2…
04-22 00:15:42	Will Chainlink dip to $2 in April?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x50d391…
04-22 00:15:36	Will Chainlink reach $20 in April?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf38bda…
04-07 22:59:05	nyc mayor of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 200plus	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x05a428…
04-07 22:57:13	cz binance of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 180 199	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb3776…
04-07 22:56:55	cz binance of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 200plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc8ccf…
04-07 22:54:31	cz binance of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 180 199	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6ee03…
04-07 22:54:17	cz binance of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 200plus	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x18d887…
04-07 22:52:29	ted cruz of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 0 19	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff01ac…
04-07 22:51:57	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 40 59	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6dcde6…
04-07 22:51:43	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 20 39	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2a6bf…
04-07 22:51:15	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 0 19	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb1454…
04-07 22:50:45	white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 100 119	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6f0175…
03-26 18:42:23	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0xf7930c…