Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

106

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$176

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

8 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-06 13:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

83% 50% +$6

Politics

15% 46% -$4

Tech

2% 67% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	+3	$2	88¢	$3	+$0	09-03 21:25
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	+3	$1	94¢	$2	+$1	11-05 01:04
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	100¢	$2	+$1	11-05 19:26
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	+3	$1	88¢	$2	+$1	11-03 17:55
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	+1	$1	70¢	$1	$0	11-06 13:07
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	28¢	$0	-$1	10-25 14:48
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	11-03 08:33
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	+2	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	11-06 03:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 07:29
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-09 03:29
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 23:18
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-21 15:17
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	09-20 22:16
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-07 11:57
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	09-11 15:28
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-10 03:13
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-11 00:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$2	7	+7	Up	+$4	09-18 18:37
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$4	09-21 07:17
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	+$7	09-07 20:37
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-16 15:23
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-14 05:32
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-14 13:33
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	09-03 21:25
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-13 21:31
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 14:29
wti closes above 82 on august 11 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-11 11:10
will nvda reach 228 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-18 04:46
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	11	+11	Yes	-$2	08-12 11:40
will xauusd dip to 4300 by august 10 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	08-10 18:05
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	-$2	09-16 06:46
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-09 23:32
will tsla dip to 367 50 by september 21 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-22 07:20
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-17 20:42
will coin reach 157 50 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-18 04:48
will nvda dip to 212 by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-10 07:34
will tsla reach 337 50 by august 10 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-11 02:07
will rklb reach 94 by august 10 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-10 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 13:07:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x495ca2…
11-06 03:57:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x064b31…
11-05 19:26:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7f30f0…
11-05 10:27:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5b04cb…
11-05 01:04:42	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa64f46…
11-04 03:18:10	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9906cc…
11-03 17:55:46	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfa00dc…
11-03 08:33:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x424bd1…
11-03 00:33:03	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1ec444…
11-02 16:32:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5c2f68…
11-02 08:17:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x742062…
11-02 00:17:24	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc405d6…
10-29 12:10:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9f99d1…
10-29 04:05:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1afe0e…
10-28 07:56:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb75ebe…
10-27 11:46:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa94798…
10-27 03:32:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc2dede…
10-25 14:48:11	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb2eccf…
10-25 02:07:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x51fd4e…
10-22 23:23:08	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc89127…
10-22 13:28:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2856be…
10-21 04:34:39	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2d85ee…
10-20 20:22:20	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa73d20…
10-20 12:09:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9e5f0e…
10-18 00:05:39	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf51e27…
10-17 15:59:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa33a7c…
10-16 08:14:58	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe63deb…
10-16 00:02:36	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x719e94…
10-15 13:31:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf79ecd…
10-15 05:06:14	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6e29ce…
10-14 09:05:41	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x49e7fa…
10-14 01:04:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdebe2e…
10-13 16:03:55	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x30d42e…
10-11 19:58:46	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4bc2db…
10-11 11:42:32	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x26407c…
10-11 03:03:33	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0a7bf6…
10-10 11:41:58	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x44f503…
10-10 10:42:21	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.15B?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf75145…
10-09 00:00:08	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf50918…
10-08 04:16:14	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0bfefa…
10-07 17:53:19	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x646623…
10-07 09:43:29	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb1ec0b…
10-07 01:43:23	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf7ae83…
10-06 17:43:17	will rklb reach 76 by october 5 2026 from october 6	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x21f111…
10-06 09:05:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd4fbb0…
10-06 01:04:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x04e133…
10-05 15:12:37	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf60775…
10-05 00:32:26	will ewy dip to 185 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5923ac…
10-02 09:55:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2581eb…
10-02 01:36:48	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026 from october 1	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xee987d…
10-01 11:58:26	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x857700…
10-01 11:58:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xff1a7d…
10-01 03:57:08	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcad012…
09-30 18:49:59	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9bda0e…
09-30 07:42:35	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x03b85f…
09-29 23:37:24	will googl reach 350 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe6ce58…
09-29 15:17:48	will abnb reach 160 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x11c0c9…
09-29 05:42:33	will hood dip to 112 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x099be7…
09-28 21:42:08	will meta reach 740 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0d7012…
09-28 12:46:57	will ewy reach 193 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd70915…
09-28 04:46:18	will nvda reach 232 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe5e0b6…
09-27 20:46:11	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xaa1371…
09-27 10:17:33	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe3e35a…
09-27 01:43:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4e4726…
09-26 07:41:41	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x56d6aa…
09-24 15:56:03	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x96df69…
09-23 07:41:26	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xd9170d…
09-22 07:20:22	will tsla dip to 367 50 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xbeb21e…
09-21 23:18:33	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x7b33b5…
09-21 15:17:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfef8c1…
09-21 07:17:15	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x598fd2…
09-20 22:16:23	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x6de862…
09-19 07:29:28	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x47403f…
09-18 18:37:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x26be09…
09-16 15:23:38	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xc5d25e…
09-16 06:46:31	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x191885…
09-14 22:28:09	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2d90ba…
09-14 13:33:13	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xa333ca…
09-14 05:32:03	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xae73d5…
09-13 21:31:27	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x327df9…
09-11 15:28:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x6689f1…
09-11 11:22:03	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x101a00…
09-11 00:57:25	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $335 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x51e20e…
09-10 03:13:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x3b50de…
09-09 03:29:48	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x97c9b1…
09-08 14:29:22	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x922ca8…
09-07 20:37:22	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x1618f1…
09-07 11:57:34	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xfdbc7a…
09-03 21:25:24	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x33f7b5…
08-27 06:15:19	will trump say russia or russian during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xd3c05a…
08-24 08:46:46	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $184 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x6da913…
08-24 00:45:30	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xedf3a4…
08-22 09:23:58	github com critical incident by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xeebc3e…
08-22 01:19:12	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf2faf0…
08-20 15:05:48	will coin reach 185 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa4556e…
08-20 01:12:15	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xb27e42…
08-18 12:51:24	will xagusd reach 67 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc727b4…
08-18 04:48:51	will coin reach 157 50 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3956c0…
08-18 04:46:43	will nvda reach 228 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x728278…
08-17 20:42:07	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0920e4…