Fat-Hovel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

560

lifetime

Volume

$693

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-22 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 0% $-3

Other

9% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes		+4	$1	16¢	$1	$-0	06-08 00:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1770930900	7	$13	24	18	+6	open	—	02-12 21:26
will china join the board of peace	3	$11	150	150	+0	open	—	02-04 21:38
eth updown 15m 1770930000	4	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-12 21:14
btc updown 15m 1771434000	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-18 17:12
btc updown 15m 1771867800	6	$9	8	4	+5	open	—	02-23 17:44
btc updown 15m 1771866000	5	$8	7	4	+3	open	—	02-23 17:14
btc updown 15m 1770928200	5	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	02-12 20:44
bill clinton charged by march 31	3	$7	50	50	+0	open	—	01-30 19:01
btc updown 5m 1771357200	5	$7	6	3	+3	open	—	02-17 19:44
btc updown 15m 1771472700	4	$7	6	3	+3	open	—	02-19 03:59
eth updown 15m 1771011000	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	02-13 19:45
will russia join the board of peace	9	$7	0	26	-26	open	—	02-03 19:24
hillary clinton charged by march 31	2	$6	50	50	+0	open	—	01-26 15:58
will india join the board of peace	3	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	01-26 06:01
eth updown 15m 1771191000	3	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	02-15 21:44
btc updown 15m 1771473600	4	$6	5	3	+2	open	—	02-19 04:15
btc updown 15m 1771868700	4	$6	5	3	+2	open	—	02-23 17:57
btc updown 15m 1771541100	4	$6	5	3	+1	open	—	02-19 22:58
btc updown 15m 1771470000	4	$6	5	3	+2	open	—	02-19 03:12
btc updown 15m 1771348500	4	$6	5	3	+2	open	—	02-17 17:29
btc updown 5m 1771350900	4	$6	5	3	+2	open	—	02-17 17:59
btc updown 5m 1771350300	4	$6	5	3	+2	open	—	02-17 17:48
eth updown 15m 1771186500	4	$6	6	5	+0	open	—	02-15 20:30
btc updown 15m 1771012800	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	02-13 20:14
eth updown 15m 1770917400	6	$5	38	3	+36	open	—	02-12 17:42
Netanyahu out by April 30?	1	$5	200	0	+200	open	—	03-30 20:49
btc updown 15m 1769196600	3	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	01-23 19:41
btc updown 15m 1769380200	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	01-25 22:42
btc updown 15m 1770851700	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	02-11 23:22
btc updown 5m 1771359300	5	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	02-17 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 01:59:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x21c90b…
06-22 01:08:53	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa4c5e6…
06-08 00:33:49	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd309cc…
05-29 18:24:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x820155…
05-29 18:20:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf37296…
05-13 02:58:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x07c96e…
05-09 00:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd6a5e2…
05-08 23:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xec55c3…
05-08 23:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbd6239…
05-08 22:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf21717…
05-07 01:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xac6214…
04-29 20:09:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x9e2239…
04-24 14:31:08	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x9c5a63…
04-16 22:30:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6df22f…
04-08 18:22:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa24bbf…
04-08 18:18:03	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xca25a7…
03-30 20:49:37	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x69408e…
03-27 19:00:07	Major solar storm by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x364918…
03-25 21:27:19	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x843f01…
03-24 04:39:09	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x6a4412…
03-21 11:03:43	Major solar storm by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x78f9fb…
03-16 14:36:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x889abd…
03-16 14:16:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xa32b10…
02-26 16:38:58	bitcoin up or down february 26 11am et	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x166be9…
02-26 15:45:26	bitcoin up or down february 26 10am et	Up	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x01fcea…
02-26 15:33:40	bitcoin up or down february 26 10am et	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xc5ab4a…
02-26 15:33:38	bitcoin up or down february 26 10am et	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xfb58b2…
02-26 15:33:38	bitcoin up or down february 26 10am et	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xf45db8…
02-26 15:33:38	bitcoin up or down february 26 10am et	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x0efcb2…
02-26 15:01:30	bitcoin up or down february 26 10am et	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1298b1…
02-26 14:51:16	btc updown 5m 1772117400	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x371c21…
02-25 16:32:02	btc updown 15m 1772037000	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf93d21…
02-25 02:57:20	bitcoin up or down february 24 9pm et	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x62be49…
02-25 02:00:34	bitcoin up or down february 24 9pm et	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1ca7c1…
02-24 03:06:22	btc updown 15m 1771902000	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x321df7…
02-24 03:02:10	btc updown 15m 1771902000	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6a84c3…
02-23 18:04:36	btc updown 15m 1771869600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0aed09…
02-23 18:01:56	btc updown 15m 1771869600	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd95a6d…
02-23 18:01:28	btc updown 15m 1771869600	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xf24097…
02-23 18:00:12	btc updown 15m 1771869600	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3a2e84…
02-23 17:57:38	btc updown 15m 1771868700	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xa52ff7…
02-23 17:54:24	btc updown 15m 1771868700	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xacb5fd…
02-23 17:54:06	btc updown 15m 1771868700	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc463e6…
02-23 17:50:12	btc updown 15m 1771868700	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x95f416…
02-23 17:44:50	btc updown 15m 1771867800	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc94527…
02-23 17:41:44	btc updown 15m 1771867800	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb8f287…
02-23 17:36:52	btc updown 15m 1771867800	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x805ed2…
02-23 17:34:34	btc updown 15m 1771867800	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc020e8…
02-23 17:34:28	btc updown 15m 1771867800	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x30c4af…
02-23 17:30:20	btc updown 15m 1771867800	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbccc3d…
02-23 17:14:30	btc updown 15m 1771866000	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x16635d…
02-23 17:10:12	btc updown 15m 1771866000	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x324d79…
02-23 17:05:08	btc updown 15m 1771866000	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfb87a3…
02-23 17:01:48	btc updown 15m 1771866000	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x62d7cb…
02-23 16:59:22	btc updown 15m 1771866000	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa5dca3…
02-23 16:57:12	btc updown 15m 1771865100	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xbf41ab…
02-23 16:45:22	btc updown 15m 1771865100	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x98e5b2…
02-23 16:45:00	btc updown 15m 1771864200	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xed869c…
02-23 16:30:42	btc updown 15m 1771864200	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbc9138…
02-23 16:30:08	btc updown 15m 1771863300	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x214755…
02-23 16:21:32	btc updown 15m 1771863300	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xedf256…
02-23 16:15:38	btc updown 15m 1771863300	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2f8977…
02-23 16:15:20	btc updown 15m 1771863300	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc237f3…
02-23 16:08:12	btc updown 15m 1771862400	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x168ffc…
02-23 16:08:08	btc updown 15m 1771862400	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xc3e2a0…
02-23 02:09:56	btc updown 15m 1771812000	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x81da56…
02-23 01:24:56	btc updown 15m 1771809300	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa92897…
02-20 20:07:56	btc updown 15m 1771617600	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x72bd6f…
02-20 15:45:44	trump invokes war powers against iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xc0e9e5…
02-20 14:34:56	btc updown 5m 1771597800	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x595f9f…
02-20 05:09:14	trump invokes war powers against iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x320603…
02-20 04:58:04	btc updown 15m 1771562700	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xc31e2c…
02-20 04:51:24	btc updown 15m 1771562700	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x63f0f2…
02-20 04:51:02	btc updown 15m 1771562700	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7f41fb…
02-20 04:41:56	btc updown 5m 1771562400	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x77eb84…
02-20 04:39:28	btc updown 5m 1771562100	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x404459…
02-20 04:36:46	btc updown 5m 1771562100	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x107b88…
02-20 04:34:38	btc updown 5m 1771561800	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9c1ace…
02-20 04:33:18	btc updown 5m 1771561800	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd7eb41…
02-20 04:32:52	btc updown 5m 1771561800	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x302f9e…
02-19 23:44:28	btc updown 15m 1771543800	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xdcf142…
02-19 23:32:54	btc updown 15m 1771543800	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x44ddb9…
02-19 23:25:54	btc updown 15m 1771542900	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x379c90…
02-19 23:16:00	btc updown 15m 1771542900	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc1900c…
02-19 23:13:20	btc updown 15m 1771542000	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x96ef9b…
02-19 23:02:52	btc updown 15m 1771542000	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdbcd49…
02-19 23:01:40	btc updown 15m 1771542000	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd29cd7…
02-19 22:58:26	btc updown 15m 1771541100	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x008084…
02-19 22:53:22	btc updown 15m 1771541100	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4e975b…
02-19 22:52:56	btc updown 15m 1771541100	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9a06bf…
02-19 22:46:48	btc updown 15m 1771541100	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0acee0…
02-19 22:44:20	btc updown 5m 1771540800	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x989dd7…
02-19 22:41:26	btc updown 5m 1771540800	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe5fa1b…
02-19 22:41:06	btc updown 5m 1771540800	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x172cf8…
02-19 20:55:04	btc updown 15m 1771533900	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x52b57d…
02-19 20:48:48	btc updown 5m 1771533900	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf13a31…
02-19 20:29:34	btc updown 15m 1771532100	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe360a9…
02-19 20:19:42	btc updown 15m 1771532100	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8c7d6f…
02-19 20:14:50	btc updown 15m 1771531200	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x36cf3a…
02-19 20:10:12	btc updown 15m 1771531200	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x83d2b3…