Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$289

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-21 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

67% 27% +$351

Politics

24% 29% -$64

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

0% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$395	0	1,412	-1,412	Yes	+$395	05-11 22:01
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?	3	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	10-15 11:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$82	64	64	+0	Yes	+$4	03-02 10:03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	6	$69	100	20	+80	open	—	10-19 12:59
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?	6	$63	78	22	+57	open	—	10-12 08:09
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	9	$59	104	20	+85	open	—	10-16 02:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$1	03-01 14:45
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	3	$52	40	40	+0	open	—	10-19 12:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$40	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	-$40	03-03 23:37
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 18?	4	$35	60	20	+40	No	-$7	10-15 21:53
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	5	$34	40	40	+0	open	—	10-19 12:59
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-13 06:10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-11 House election by 10%-15%?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	10-12 22:01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 25%-30%?	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	10-13 06:10
will google googl q3 youtube ads revenue be above 20261008120051000 12b	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	10-14 04:40
will bill clinton say plane during his epstein testimony	4	$28	245	0	+245	No	-$28	03-02 22:23
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	3	$25	22	18	+3	open	—	10-19 12:59
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	10-19 12:59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$24	17	17	+0	Yes	-$4	03-04 09:16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 65%-70%?	3	$23	40	40	+0	open	—	10-15 07:23
will hillary say bill clinton during her epstein testimony	2	$21	38	0	+38	No	-$21	02-24 21:23
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-20 21:28
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-20 17:16
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	1	$20	69	0	+69	Yes	+$49	03-01 14:47
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$20	48	0	+48	Yes	-$20	02-26 17:28
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	4	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	10-16 14:42
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	3	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	10-20 23:03
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	2	$19	38	0	+38	open	—	10-16 20:51
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	2	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	10-14 22:53
will donald trumps tie be another color	2	$18	13	13	+0	No	-$2	02-24 21:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 19:10:33	Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x8e5533…
10-21 18:46:00	Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x372516…
10-21 18:44:29	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe97a26…
10-21 03:01:08	Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xd5a7d4…
10-21 01:25:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xed83af…
10-21 01:02:53	Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x96001c…
10-20 23:31:48	Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xd1df58…
10-20 23:03:51	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x5fc4ce…
10-20 21:28:35	Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x29e7d6…
10-20 20:57:27	Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2e2859…
10-20 20:49:39	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x1a434b…
10-20 20:49:02	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xe37f90…
10-20 18:29:44	Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xae126f…
10-20 18:10:33	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x31238e…
10-20 18:10:32	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc0e594…
10-20 17:55:14	Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x19e577…
10-20 17:45:36	Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xd6302b…
10-20 17:16:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4df3fc…
10-20 15:41:21	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x95d771…
10-20 15:41:21	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x539ca6…
10-20 11:08:35	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc1c4b6…
10-20 05:08:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xb1cbc2…
10-20 03:47:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x2f165b…
10-20 01:15:45	Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x9562a8…
10-19 23:31:44	Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x87b04d…
10-19 12:59:24	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x8ed739…
10-19 12:59:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xc73ccc…
10-19 12:59:23	Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0xaa3bcd…
10-19 12:59:23	Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x863cdc…
10-19 12:59:23	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x7e7931…
10-19 12:59:23	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x5573d8…
10-19 12:59:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0xd64456…
10-19 12:59:21	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0xc3b406…
10-19 12:59:21	Will Abdul El-Sayed underperform Kamala in Michigan?	Yes	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0x84aa75…
10-19 12:59:21	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $327,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x2fa1c1…
10-19 12:59:20	Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xc3fb1d…
10-19 12:02:03	Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x21ef0e…
10-19 11:58:06	Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x4b14d0…
10-18 14:44:50	Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x6bff09…
10-18 12:53:20	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x4c7ddf…
10-18 10:39:56	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb61027…
10-17 17:44:17	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x8a82c6…
10-17 12:09:12	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x970b10…
10-17 10:28:30	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 17?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe53607…
10-17 09:07:57	Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb8047f…
10-17 04:20:59	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x7cd0dc…
10-17 02:32:26	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x58a04b…
10-17 01:20:32	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xe3b329…
10-16 20:51:14	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	No	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xbb383e…
10-16 18:46:25	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0xc57f6f…
10-16 14:42:25	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7bf81e…
10-16 14:32:03	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x704e9e…
10-16 14:32:03	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2c1301…
10-16 13:57:33	Will Chuck Schumer be the next US Senate Minority Leader?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x0051dd…
10-16 12:52:58	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x1141ca…
10-16 10:12:04	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0xe1fdb4…
10-16 06:27:21	Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x03fec8…
10-16 05:09:09	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xcc2a6c…
10-16 02:23:49	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xf244dc…
10-15 23:08:27	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $327,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3c627a…
10-15 22:31:36	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x2114df…
10-15 21:53:41	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 18?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x31d3d1…
10-15 17:54:41	Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x2d4005…
10-15 14:16:16	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x3fcfe4…
10-15 14:16:16	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x238dfc…
10-15 13:00:38	Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x3ae90a…
10-15 12:55:14	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x16f7bc…
10-15 11:54:49	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xcd78f9…
10-15 11:54:23	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 18?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x3cc2e4…
10-15 11:20:25	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x504957…
10-15 08:03:49	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x26995f…
10-15 08:03:46	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xc2d5dd…
10-15 07:23:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 65%-70%?	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x9d9cd0…
10-15 06:04:10	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x06ded6…
10-15 05:40:50	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x01e93a…
10-15 04:43:02	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa58c92…
10-15 02:35:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 65%-70%?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe3d7ee…
10-15 01:31:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 65%-70%?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xf1425a…
10-14 23:11:03	israel military action against lebanon on october 17	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x22e58e…
10-14 22:53:43	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	OpenAI	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xe4702e…
10-14 22:33:33	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xbc5762…
10-14 20:57:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x90fcb4…
10-14 15:17:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-05 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xa4b7c5…
10-14 14:36:31	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x6cea57…
10-14 14:05:06	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xd2a713…
10-14 05:37:37	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	16¢	$7	0x6545fb…
10-14 04:47:26	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xf99b93…
10-14 04:40:47	will google googl q3 youtube ads revenue be above 20261008120051000 12b	No	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0x71c392…
10-14 04:40:47	will google googl q3 youtube ads revenue be above 20261008120051000 12b	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x5f9516…
10-14 04:40:20	will google googl q3 youtube ads revenue be above 20261008120051000 12b	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x5458de…
10-14 03:23:55	Will Abdul El-Sayed underperform Kamala in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x3956c1…
10-14 03:04:50	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	17¢	$7	0x8a118a…
10-14 00:44:33	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc65940…
10-13 19:52:12	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe99872…
10-13 19:11:49	Will Abdul El-Sayed underperform Kamala in Michigan?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0x5c00b7…
10-13 17:33:34	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x827670…
10-13 16:27:03	Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $519,000 and $521,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xb88499…
10-13 16:08:18	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x75bd1c…
10-13 15:58:10	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xebeb96…
10-13 14:06:28	Will Abdul El-Sayed underperform Kamala in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x450ba1…