Venerated-Balloonist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

114

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-09 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 99% $-24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$86	86	+86	Up	+$0	05-09 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$81	81	+81	Down	+$0	05-09 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$81	81	+81	Down	+$0	05-09 01:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$77	77	+77	Up	+$0	05-09 05:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$73	73	+73	Up	+$0	05-09 15:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$73	73	+73	Up	+$0	05-09 06:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$64	64	+64	Down	+$0	05-09 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$60	60	+60	Down	+$0	05-09 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$56	56	+56	Up	+$0	05-09 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$55	55	+55	Down	+$0	05-09 15:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$51	51	+51	Down	+$0	05-09 15:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$51	51	+51	Up	+$0	05-09 05:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$43	43	+43	Up	+$0	05-09 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$43	43	+43	Up	+$0	05-09 01:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$43	43	+43	Down	+$0	05-09 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$42	42	+42	Up	+$0	05-09 13:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$38	38	+38	Down	+$0	05-09 11:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$38	38	+38	Up	+$0	05-09 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$38	38	+38	Down	+$0	05-09 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$26	26	+26	Down	$-26	05-09 17:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$21	21	+21	Up	+$0	05-09 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$21	21	+21	Up	+$0	05-09 08:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	05-09 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-03 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-03 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-03 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-01 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-03 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-01 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-03 12:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 17:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd63f2e…
05-09 17:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8b8147…
05-09 17:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbcc81a…
05-09 17:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x92f549…
05-09 16:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x990160…
05-09 15:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8b2a48…
05-09 15:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xdfdacf…
05-09 15:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xe8c29a…
05-09 15:09:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xb81cee…
05-09 14:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x02d318…
05-09 13:44:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9cfc05…
05-09 13:24:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x575507…
05-09 13:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x58de4a…
05-09 11:44:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x8fee8d…
05-09 08:44:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x6962f1…
05-09 08:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1dd4b1…
05-09 06:04:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xb7d771…
05-09 05:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xe860eb…
05-09 05:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xc71c98…
05-09 04:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x2d2265…
05-09 04:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x9f6fc3…
05-09 02:34:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xcdf006…
05-09 01:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x1a9eb9…
05-09 01:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x5b7748…
05-09 01:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb1c325…
05-09 00:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x19bdc3…
05-09 00:24:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8b4992…
05-08 23:39:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf3afd5…
05-08 22:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a2c3e…
05-08 21:43:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbe40ec…
05-08 18:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb4e755…
05-08 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x710743…
05-08 18:04:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x04495b…
05-08 17:39:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x81a6e7…
05-08 16:49:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a8f1a…
05-08 16:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbaba6e…
05-08 16:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xeef792…
05-08 14:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5e0dcd…
05-08 13:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7cc75…
05-08 13:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x644a85…
05-08 12:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb65aa8…
05-08 12:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x932762…
05-08 12:13:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6216b5…
05-08 10:59:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x76395c…
05-08 10:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x48e0aa…
05-08 09:44:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x357ec9…
05-08 09:13:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa48d5a…
05-08 09:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x08ee68…
05-08 08:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6fd1cb…
05-08 08:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa23c33…
05-08 07:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5424c8…
05-08 06:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x596017…
05-08 06:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3f4dbb…
05-08 06:09:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d5b3f…
05-08 05:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdf9fe0…
05-08 05:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x815b8a…
05-08 04:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21d098…
05-08 04:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x76da25…
05-08 04:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb934f4…
05-08 03:03:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x46f6f2…
05-08 02:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x60c059…
05-08 02:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xedde67…
05-08 02:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc76300…
05-08 02:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x079758…
05-07 23:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbe7af…
05-07 23:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ed2f3…
05-07 10:15:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe7fbb2…
05-07 09:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x494bb9…
05-07 08:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23092a…
05-07 06:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5b0337…
05-07 06:09:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x40d7eb…
05-07 03:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cda91…
05-07 03:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62adaa…
05-07 02:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf6b289…
05-07 01:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a530c…
05-06 23:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd923ca…
05-06 23:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9223ae…
05-06 21:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc0d124…
05-06 20:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1c9460…
05-06 20:04:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x611594…
05-06 19:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x769edd…
05-06 17:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9f8d31…
05-06 15:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9a9385…
05-06 13:04:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x777e5f…
05-06 12:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0659a8…
05-06 12:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x634ac5…
05-06 11:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7eb7a…
05-06 09:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x853be6…
05-06 08:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5efe65…
05-06 07:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x32121e…
05-06 06:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x011d0f…
05-06 04:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x50a43d…
05-06 03:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x26de50…
05-06 02:59:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5227cc…
05-05 23:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x803b2f…
05-05 21:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8b6d19…
05-05 21:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2266ec…
05-05 20:39:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6efb0…
05-05 15:14:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe34b18…
05-05 14:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x331d3f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	165	$30.4K	8,477	05-09 17:44
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	165	$27.3K	7,469	05-09 17:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	161	$365.4K	9,970	05-09 17:44
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	161	$29.5K	4,324	05-09 17:42
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	160	$66.0K	3,531	05-09 17:44
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	158	$26.6K	3,756	05-09 17:42
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	157	$12.4K	1,667	05-09 17:44
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	155	$48.9K	3,670	05-09 17:40