Insecure-Photo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$124

Unrealized P&L

+$318

Hit rate

35.8%

Resolved

Trades

952

lifetime

Volume

$52.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$513

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-08 03:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

73% 50% $-124

Other

26% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No		+333	$100	90¢	$300	+$200	05-31 15:04
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No		+286	$94	74¢	$213	+$119	06-07 18:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	15	$3.9K	1,700	3,800	-2,100	open	—	03-29 21:12
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	3	$3.7K	1,550	3,650	-2,100	open	—	03-29 14:24
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	24	$2.9K	2,317	3,300	-983	open	—	04-21 23:36
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	16	$2.6K	3,657	4,236	-579	open	—	04-22 12:44
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	13	$1.7K	1,664	2,397	-734	open	—	03-18 13:20
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	14	$1.6K	2,486	2,338	+147	open	—	04-21 14:35
will the freedom movement gs win 25 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	5	$1.2K	800	1,000	-200	open	—	04-07 07:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,050	869	+181	open	—	04-28 00:47
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	7	$1.1K	798	900	-102	open	—	03-18 14:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	30	$1.1K	1,794	1,508	+286	open	—	04-16 18:05
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$955	300	1,000	-700	open	—	04-12 15:55
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	3	$845	696	696	+0	open	—	05-22 04:57
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$835	300	1,000	-700	open	—	04-12 15:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$636	286	536	-250	open	—	05-22 04:55
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	2	$635	300	800	-500	open	—	04-09 08:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	19	$628	2,549	0	+2,549	open	—	04-07 22:35
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	3	$607	286	536	-250	open	—	05-22 04:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$588	225	525	-300	open	—	03-29 13:45
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	7	$491	400	400	+0	open	—	04-09 01:20
will trump praise allah again by april 15	8	$443	3,382	0	+3,382	open	—	04-11 13:01
will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3	16	$443	2,762	0	+2,762	open	—	03-10 16:33
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	17	$436	1,400	2,200	-800	open	—	04-09 02:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	13	$434	3,657	0	+3,657	Yes	$-434	05-09 04:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	4	$421	536	536	+0	open	—	04-20 16:31
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	17	$421	3,586	0	+3,586	open	—	04-20 20:32
will bill clinton say massage during his epstein testimony	2	$417	120	400	-280	open	—	03-03 07:58
will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	6	$393	1,612	1,172	+441	open	—	04-13 13:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	10	$381	869	869	+0	open	—	04-17 13:48
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3	9	$371	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	03-10 16:33
will qatar strike iran by march 31	10	$355	865	282	+583	open	—	03-17 06:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 03:03:51	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0xa3d094…
06-07 19:54:27	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0xcc09dd…
06-07 18:56:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	286	33¢	$94	0x10d9ef…
06-04 14:12:54	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xcaa270…
06-04 14:12:52	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x580f60…
05-31 15:05:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	250	36¢	$90	0x9bd0ad…
05-31 15:04:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xbbaf0c…
05-31 15:03:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	286	34¢	$97	0xa106ef…
05-31 15:00:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0xff20f6…
05-29 21:10:45	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0xd86e37…
05-29 21:10:17	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	210	26¢	$55	0x9e6d8e…
05-26 14:34:49	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	250	37¢	$92	0x31eee9…
05-25 22:56:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x02a74c…
05-25 22:56:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	BUY	333	26¢	$87	0x88fe05…
05-25 22:56:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0x7e8ee9…
05-25 22:56:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	400	22¢	$88	0xca8a00…
05-25 22:55:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xa13d7b…
05-25 22:55:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xa67e6c…
05-25 22:55:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	Yes	BUY	286	33¢	$94	0x68095b…
05-25 22:55:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	286	31¢	$89	0x038b62…
05-25 22:55:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	250	37¢	$92	0x036cc3…
05-25 22:55:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	286	31¢	$89	0x2e6e6c…
05-25 22:55:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	250	39¢	$98	0xd89ae2…
05-25 22:55:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x8ba7a1…
05-25 22:55:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	286	34¢	$97	0xff2685…
05-25 01:12:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	286	79¢	$226	0xc037d4…
05-23 17:44:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	286	32¢	$92	0xc5e56f…
05-23 00:57:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	286	31¢	$89	0x087332…
05-22 21:49:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	286	31¢	$89	0xe8eb4b…
05-22 21:27:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x9ed9e5…
05-22 21:27:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	250	36¢	$90	0x010446…
05-22 05:08:23	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xfab5d6…
05-22 05:08:23	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	78	21¢	$16	0x23f3a6…
05-22 05:03:22	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	SELL	340	49¢	$167	0x8436e0…
05-22 04:59:03	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xbf03cd…
05-22 04:58:54	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0x6548a6…
05-22 04:57:20	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	696	98¢	$680	0x9e2731…
05-22 04:56:55	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	390	99¢	$384	0x00e2a0…
05-22 04:55:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	536	100¢	$535	0xf0f42b…
05-21 18:20:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xb8e7fb…
05-21 15:23:47	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x8822c3…
05-21 15:23:45	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	48	34¢	$16	0xb97df2…
05-21 15:23:45	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0x6e719d…
05-21 15:23:44	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xab9a2e…
05-21 15:23:44	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x8d6bb3…
05-21 15:23:44	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x5e8412…
05-21 15:23:44	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x38d0c3…
05-21 15:23:42	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x96de0b…
05-21 15:23:12	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	250	36¢	$90	0x3a4bc6…
05-20 01:58:04	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	SELL	1,669	6¢	$101	0xb0cc2b…
05-19 23:27:45	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0x43a18b…
05-15 14:23:03	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	89	26¢	$23	0x34ad2d…
05-14 21:42:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0xc4605e…
05-14 16:29:19	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	296	22¢	$65	0x2c920b…
05-14 16:29:04	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x8f50a5…
05-13 22:59:44	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	No	BUY	81	34¢	$28	0xad808f…
05-13 18:54:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x71434b…
05-12 23:19:21	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x6eff4f…
05-12 07:21:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	286	32¢	$92	0x376418…
05-09 04:32:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	5¢	$75	0xf51532…
05-09 04:32:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	900	9¢	$81	0x4ba00f…
05-09 04:31:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	657	14¢	$92	0xf8516a…
05-09 04:31:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x899267…
05-09 04:31:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xc5886e…
05-09 04:31:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	151	33¢	$50	0xc2cb8b…
05-09 04:31:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	29¢	$22	0xb83638…
05-09 04:31:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x7d0ccc…
05-09 04:31:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	186	29¢	$54	0x603585…
05-09 04:31:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0x4a5f9b…
05-09 04:31:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x1aaf1a…
05-09 04:31:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	96	33¢	$32	0x142e9d…
05-09 04:31:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa63676…
05-06 11:11:18	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	250	98¢	$246	0x68bdf6…
05-04 13:01:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	110	22¢	$24	0x60da71…
05-04 13:01:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	290	22¢	$64	0xbb1638…
05-04 11:10:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xd45ba5…
05-01 00:25:12	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xcea08a…
05-01 00:25:08	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0x81a55c…
04-30 04:52:26	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	146	92¢	$135	0xa03ebf…
04-30 00:21:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	36¢	$23	0x088980…
04-29 22:20:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	333	26¢	$87	0x24620c…
04-28 00:48:28	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	250	60¢	$150	0x267c23…
04-28 00:47:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	SELL	869	100¢	$868	0x345a4a…
04-27 05:55:28	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	250	39¢	$98	0x71922b…
04-25 15:18:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	900	8¢	$72	0x7e1882…
04-25 15:16:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	32¢	$52	0xe509ce…
04-25 15:15:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x3a6598…
04-25 15:15:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0x2b72fe…
04-24 20:42:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	22¢	$88	0x9c6bec…
04-24 17:10:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	36¢	$90	0x728e0e…
04-24 15:45:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	250	37¢	$92	0x91249a…
04-24 15:45:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x15e6e0…
04-24 08:16:48	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0x0d2730…
04-22 12:44:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	286	33¢	$94	0xe73012…
04-22 12:44:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	171	36¢	$62	0x19ac00…
04-22 12:42:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	170	31¢	$53	0x0ea83d…
04-22 12:42:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	367	36¢	$132	0x75c707…
04-22 12:34:16	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x1ca51b…
04-22 11:30:22	ba quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 neg0pt59	No	BUY	815	4¢	$33	0x028baf…
04-22 11:30:18	ba quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 neg0pt59	No	BUY	337	4¢	$13	0x8a07bb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	250	$810.2K	59,590	06-10 01:07
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	233	$786.0K	59,509	06-01 04:50
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	231	$109.7K	23,929	05-06 18:45
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	225	$27.3M	49,190	06-10 02:01
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	211	$141.1K	15,326	06-08 10:59
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	207	$1.48M	26,948	06-10 01:20
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	197	$33.0K	5,673	06-07 23:31
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	180	$130.1K	1,614	06-08 20:18